针对瓦斯事故的安全投资效益评估方法研究

煤矿生产中瓦斯事故的发生及其危害程度的不确定性使得定量评价损失很困难.本文提出一种评估煤矿瓦斯事故严重程度和相关安全投资效益的方法.通过分析影响煤矿瓦斯事故发生的主要因素,利用专家调查法推断出瓦斯事故的发生概率和严重程度,进而估计出瓦斯事故的风险度并定量评价相关的安全投资效益.通过这种方法,可以提出各种安全投资方案并进行安全投资效益比较,据此选择安全投资效益最好的安全投资方案进行安全投资决策,最大限度地降低煤矿瓦斯事故的发生概率和危害程度.实例分析表明这种方法是有效的.     

国外乡村公路交通安全水平

收集和整理了美国、加拿大、英国、澳大利亚等国关于乡村公路交通安全的管理和研究成果;归纳国外乡村公路的定义;分析乡村公路在交通事故数量、伤亡人数、死伤率等方面的基本情况。笔者通过对国外乡村公路交通安全水平研究,有如下3个结论:第一,目前还没有一个被普遍接受的乡村公路的定义;第二,乡村公路的交通事故后果比城市道路严重得多;第三,乡村公路交通安全水平提高的速度比城市道路慢;吸取国外乡村公路交通安全管理经验,为我国农村公路交通安全水平的改善提供有益的借鉴。     

The INDICATE safety program: evaluation of a method to proactively improve airline safety performance

A number of recent and highly publicised fatal aircraft accidents, within the Australian regional airline industry, has highlighted the need for operators of regular public transport aircraft to be more proactive in identifying and addressing aviation safety hazards. Despite this need, there are currently few proactive safety management programs that are practical, simple, cost effective and which reliably demonstrate improvements in airline safety performance. This paper outlines a new proactive airline safety program called INDICATE (Identifying Needed Defences In the Civil Aviation Transport Environment) that has been applied within the Australian regional airline industry. To evaluate the INDICATE program, a major Australian regional airline agreed to implement the program in one of its operational bases while another base was used as a control group. Five evaluation criteria were applied to determine whether the program would have a positive influence on the airline's safety performance. These criteria included airline safety culture, staff risk perception of aviation safety hazards, willingness of staff to report safety hazards, action taken on identified safety hazards and staff comments about safety management within the airline. Results from the trial suggest that the program can have a positive influence on airline safety performance, specifically: improving staff confidence in how safety is managed, increasing staff willingness to report safety hazards and incidents, improving organisational safety culture and reducing staff perceptions of the severity and likelihood of safety hazards occurring within the airline. The success of the trial has resulted in a number of Australian and International airlines adopting the program.     

The Merseyside Accident Information Model (MAIM) can reveal components of accidents that lead to attendance at fracture clinics and cause disability: a new approach to accident prevention

The objectives of this study were to identify components of accidents that cause the most disability and to discover the principal sources of injuries treated in the fracture clinics. Patients attending fracture clinics of the Royal Liverpool University Hospital were interviewed using a portable computer-based questionnaire, the Merseyside Accident Information Model (MAIM). Patients were followed up by telephone interview or letter to enquire about disability continuing after discharge. Disability was measured by the pre-accident to post-discharge changes in scores for 11 normal functions. Of the 1326 patients interviewed, 900 (68%) were successfully followed up and 37% reported disability after discharge. First events ‘tripping’, ‘slipping’ and ‘other underfoot events’ accounted for 433 patients (194 reporting disability), and ‘collapsed/fainted — no other event' for 66 patients (27 reporting disability). Activities at the time of accident most frequently associated with disability involved moving about on foot. Among first event objects, ground surfaces and underfoot hazards were reported in 35%. Sources of injuries included underfoot accidents (48%), sport (13%), and transport accidents (12%.). Underfoot accidents contributed to 58% of patients reporting disability, sport 6% and transport accidents 11%. Underfoot accidents together with ‘collapsed/fainted — no other event’ accounted for 79% of female patients reporting disability and 50% of men. Such data could be used for cost-effective targeting of preventative measures, and to study the effectiveness of accident prevention initiatives.     

国外安全生产事故独立调查机制的启示

事故调查的根本目的是为了找出导致事故发生的可能原因，进而提出防止类似事故再次发生的对策措施，而保持事故调查的独立性达成此根本目的起着至关重要的作用。从事故调查的独立性进行考虑，剖析了事故调查的法律制定、调查机构、经济支持、技术与司法调查分离、公众知情权等独立性表现，分析了我国目前事故调查的工作现状及存在的一些问题。对比分析了发达国家的事故调查机构的独立运作机制和特点。最后，针对上述问题，对我国安全生产事故独立调查机制的建立提出了一些建议。     

我国工业锅炉的爆炸事故与预防对策

工业锅炉既是应用广泛、分布面广的常见设备，又是近年来特别容易发生爆炸事故的特殊设备。分折了工业锅炉的爆炸机理和产生爆炸的原因，着重就加强对锅炉的监察，加大对“土锅炉”的查处力度，减少因设计、制造缺陷造成的事故；推进技术进步，提高锅炉安全性等能有效遏制锅炉爆炸事故的措施，从理论和实践等方面作了论述。     

Seaborne Petrochemical Spill Analysis Within the United States, 1992–1999

Through discussion of causative factors and examination of historical data, petrochemical spill prevention in US waters is reviewed. Unintentional petrochemical outflow is analyzed in a comprehensive manner and presented as a hierarchical sequence of antecedent events to reveal the trends of causative factors leading to release. Specifically, a seaborne petrochemical spill is examined in terms of four basic, antecedent events: (1) an underway source, (2) a failure incident, (3) a marine accident capable of breaching the hull and cargo block, and (4) the onset of outflow. These events are further subdivided into underlying, contributing events to form a causative framework for spill prevention. While a hierarchical review is not necessary to uncover the elements of causation, it does provide a comprehensive and logical structure that clearly defines these elements in terms of occurrence frequency and contribution to resulting outflow. It is found that relatively small, frequent spills less than 40,000 liters (10,567 gallons), attributable to human operator failures, leading to grounding, and cargo transfer system failure accidents, dominate US seaborne petrochemical outflow from 1992 to 1999. Given the frequency of groundings, structural reinforcement regulations such as those contained in the Oil Pollution Act of 1990 (requiring double hulls) appear well justified. However, passive restraint systems are secondary to the need for vigilant training and licensing of tank vessel operators.     

供电企业操作岗位员工安全胜任力模型的构建

为给供电企业的安全管理工作提供胜任力方面的理论依据和实践指导,通过采用系统编制的供电企业操作岗位员工安全胜任力调查问卷,对供电企业操作岗位员工进行整群随机抽样的问卷调查。对346份有效数据进行探索性因素分析,初步构建供电企业操作岗位员工安全胜任力的5因素模型;重新发放问卷,对141份有效数据进行的验证性因素分析支持了该模型因素结构的合理性;再次重新取样,对120份有效数据进行独立样本t检验和多层回归分析,检验5个安全胜任力因素对违章行为的影响。供电企业操作岗位员工安全胜任力模型以职业素养、安全意识、职业技能、身心健康和情绪稳定性5个因素为基本结构,其中,职业素养、安全意识、身心健康和情绪稳定性4个安全胜任力因素对违章行为具有显著负向影响。     

危险化学品事故损失计算研究

基于事故损失基本方法和研究成果,探讨构建适合中国国情的危险化学品事故损失计算的二维要素体系。通过将事故损失划分为2个维度,一维是按照不同的损失承担者,即政府、企业、个人划分;另一维是按照损失的经济特征,即直接经济损失、间接经济损失和无形损失划分,提出事故损失计算二维要素体系,并选择适合危险化学品事故各计算要素的相应计算方法,最后通过案例加以验证。结果表明:危险化学品事故损失大部分由国家承担,且无形经济损失大于有形经济损失。     

法国核电规划对江苏发展核电的几点启示

通过调研法国的核电规划、核电厂址的布局和核安全监督管理等工作,比较了法国和江苏在电力需求、区域特点、核电厂址分布等特点,在总结法国核电的发展历程对于江苏核电的规划发展值得借鉴的经验基础上,提出了江苏在建设滨海核电站的基础上新建滨河等内陆核电站需要注意的问题和对策.