三峡库区小流域农户氮循环和排放特征

中国农业生产是以农户为单位进行的,农户氮素利用及平衡对农业生产和农村环境有非常重要的影响.本研究选择三峡库区秭归县张家冲小流域,对农户农田氮肥施用量、农户购买的饲料与食物、人畜粪便排放等进行了调查,并对农户氮素循环特征进行了分析.结果表明,根据该流域农户氮素流动的特点,可将其分为养殖型农户、柑橘种植户、茶叶种植户、蔬菜种植户、传统种植户5种类型;其氮素负荷大小顺序为养殖型农户蔬菜种植户柑橘种植户茶叶种植户≈传统种植户,以氮计分别为(363±129)、(355±127)、(345±107)、(152±60)和(151±73)kg.(hm2.a)-1;不同农户农田氮素循环分析表明,单位面积农田氮盈余变化在(102±68)~(303±134)kg.(hm2.a)-1之间,大小顺序为蔬菜种植户柑橘种植户茶叶种植户养殖型农户≈传统种植户,分别为(303±134)、(262±100)、(111±46)、(102±68)和(103±67)kg.(hm2.a)-1;在农户氮负荷中,居民生活排放的氮占28%,农田氮盈余占72%,说明农田是主要的氮污染源,生活污染也是不可忽视的.该地区的养殖型农户、蔬菜种植户和柑橘种植户对水体质量威胁较大,是氮素污染重点防治对象;实地调查农户生产与生活的方法能清晰地明确农业生态系统中氮循环的不同环节和估算循环流量,有利于揭示区域氮素循环特征.     

丙烯罐区火灾、爆炸风险的故障树分析

应用故障树分析法对齐鲁石化某丙烯罐区的火灾、爆炸风险及原因进行了分析评价,从而提出了预防火灾爆炸事故的建议和措施。     

青岛华威风电场风能资源分析

根据华威风电场2008年4月1日-2009年3月31日一整年的测风仪测风资料,对风电场的风能资源各参数进行了详细地计算和分析,对风电场的风能资源进行评价,为当地的风能开发提供分析基础。     

腈纶生产装置危险化学品储存与安全管理

根据危险化学品易燃、易爆、有毒的特点,提出安全储存和管理的管理思路,同时探讨了装卸入库的安全注意管理点。     

Association analysis of accident factors in petrochemical storage tank farms

In order to identify and clarify the association between the factors leading to accidents in a petrochemical tank area, this study analyzes investigation reports of 212 petrochemical tank farm accidents and combines this with the “association rule” mining and science related to complex networks. The main risk factors are determined and a risk factor data set is constructed; 75 association rules are extracted from the factor data set based on the Apriori algorithm. Then the obtained association rules are used to construct an accident factors network of the petrochemical storage tank area, and the topology characteristics of the network are further analyzed to reveal the importance of factors. Factors with large node degree, betweenness, and clustering coefficients are obtained, such as “violation of operating regulations”, “high concentration of flammable gas in the air”, “lack of experience and professional skills”, etc. These factors play an important role in the formation and development of accidents. The results also show that the accident cause network of the petrochemical storage tank area has a small average shortest path length and a large cluster coefficient, indicating a relatively close connection between the accident factors. The contributions of this study is not only extracting the hidden relationships among contributory factors to tank farm accidents using association analysis, but also revealing which factors are more important for the tank farm safety through the complex network.     

Study of the situation deduction of a domino accident caused by overpressure in LPG storage tank area

The production and storage of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is gradually becoming larger and more intensive, which greatly increases the risk of the domino effect of an explosion accident in a storage tank area while improving production and management efficiency. This paper describes the construction of the domino effect scene of an explosion accident in an LPG storage tank area, the analysis of the characteristics of the LPG tank explosion shock wave and the target storage tank failure, and the creation of an ANSYS numerical model to derive the development trend and expansion law of the domino accident in the LPG storage tank area. The research showed that: 400 m³ tank T1 explosion shock waves spread to T2, T4, T5, T3, and T6, and the tank overpressures of 303 kPa, 303 kPa, 172 kPa, 81 kPa, and 61 kPa respectively. The critical values of the target storage tank failure overpressure-range threshold were 70 kPa and 60 m. After the explosion of the initial unit T1 tank, at 38 ms, the T2 and T4 storage tanks failed and exploded; at 56 ms, the T5 storage tank exploded for the third time; at 82 ms, the T3 storage tank exploded for the fourth time; and at 102 ms, the T6 storage tank exploded for the fifth time. With the increase of explosion sources, the failure overpressure of the target storage tank increased, and the interval between explosions continuously shortened, which reflected the expansion effect of the domino accident. The domino accident situation deduction in the LPG storage tank area provided a scientific basis for the safety layout, accident prevention and control, emergency rescue, and management of a chemical industry park.     

养鸡场空气微生物污染及工人呼吸暴露风险

动物养殖场是空气环境微生物污染的重要来源,然而目前关于养殖场空气中微生物污染特征的时间规律少有报道.针对以上情况,以蛋鸡场为例,采用16S rRNA基因扩增子测序分别对养殖场空气和粪便环境中细菌分布特点及呼吸暴露展开为期80余周的研究.结果表明,空气和粪便样本中16S rRNA含量范围分别在6.08×10⁵ ~4.90×10⁶ copies·m^-3和4.27×10⁸ ~1.15×10¹⁰ copies·g^-1之间.空气中细菌浓度的平均值在冬季显著高于夏季,而生物多样性则呈现相反趋势.蛋鸡场空气与粪便中的优势细菌门均为厚壁菌门（Firmicutes）.在所调查时间内,空气中前3个优势菌属的种类较为稳定,依次为乳杆菌属（Lactobacillus）、拟杆菌属（Bacteroides）和栖粪杆菌属（Faecalibacterium）,而粪便中优势菌属则随养殖时间的增加波动较大.空气和动物粪便中细菌和致病菌群落结构的相关性均不显著,但不同介质中两种目标微生物的含量均显著相关.粪便中细菌的气溶胶化指数随养殖时间的增加而呈上升趋势,而致病菌趋势相反.其中,瘤胃菌科torques属（[Ruminococcus]_torques_group）、拟杆菌属（Bacteroides）和栖粪杆菌属（Faecalibacterium）为最易发生气溶胶化的前3个致病菌属.养鸡场工人的细菌呼吸暴露具有季节性差异,其中细菌和致病菌摄入量的平均值分别为2.54×10⁷ copies·d^-1和2.87×10⁵ copies·d^-1.研究结果将为系统评估养殖场空气微生物的污染特征和潜在健康风险,对以及制定相应的职业暴露行业标准和防控措施提供科学依据.     

Using the maximum principle of impulse control for ecology-economical models

In this work we present mathematical models for population of single cohort and homogeneous animals. Investigating these mathematical models, we determine structure of optimal impulsive control which used maximum principle for optimal processes with impulse control.     

Establishment of Aqueous Film Forming Foam extinguishing agent minimum supply intensity model based on experimental method

In recent years, serious fire and explosion accident in petrochemical storage tanks have taken place frequently. Therefore, increasing the firefighting force in petrochemical parks is particularly important. The ambition of the paper is mainly studying the supply intensity of Aqueous Film Forming Foam (AFFF) extinguishing agent. Fire extinguishing agent demand calculation method that can be capable of matching fire scale is established by carrying out series of fire extinguishing experiments. 6% AFFF is chosen to carry out three groups of experiments respectively: fire extinguishing agent fluidity determination, series groups of small size simulation oil pool fire and 177 square meters of large oil pool fire extinguishing experiment. The situation of fire extinguishing on fuel surface of AFFF can be explored through experimental means under cold and hot conditions. The data obtained from experiments prove a higher conformity between covering process and covering model under the cold condition. The model can predict the cold coverage of AFFF effectively. After unifying the supply flow from each experiment, the statistics can be fitted and come to the minimum supply intensity algorithm of AFFF against the target storage tank specifications. The algorithm is used to estimate the minimum supply intensity when extinguishing full liquid surface fire. This model also can be used as reference for petrochemical fire protection.     

基于CFD的大型储油罐区池火灾数值模拟*

为研究大型储油罐区池火灾温度、热辐射强度、流速、组分等燃烧特性参数在油罐外不同区域的变化规律,以10万m3原油储罐区为研究对象,构建罐区池火灾燃烧数学模型,运用计算流体动力学（Computational Fluid Dynamics,CFD）技术进行数值模拟研究。结果表明:整个火场温度大致呈锥形分布,火焰温度最高可达1 500 K,纵向来看,底部温度较高,上部温度逐渐降低,径向来看,中心温度较高,周围温度逐渐降低;随着距罐壁以及距罐顶距离的不断增加,热辐射强度均呈现逐渐降低的趋势,最高热辐射强度为132 kW/m2;罐顶上方区域存在火焰卷吸现象,中心位置流速最大,最高可达56 m/s,罐底区域存在火焰贴壁现象;得到燃烧产物（CO和CO2）的体积分数分布,以CO体积分数为0.001作为判断依据,推断出火焰高度为120 m。研究结果可为今后此类火灾事故的防治提供理论支撑。