城市基础设施安全系统的结构与和谐发展

城市基础设施安全关系到人民生命财产的安全,也制约着城市经济、社会、环境的协调发展。整个安全系统由7个安全子系统组成,它们相对独立,协调运转,共同影响城市经济、社会和环境的效益。笔者运用ANP法(网络分析法)剖析了城市基础设施安全系统的结构及其内在规律;应用科学发展观,整合城市基础设施安全系统和经济系统、社会系统、环境系统之间相辅相成的发展关系,提出一体化的可持续发展模式;同时指出,可持续发展的动力、资源和条件都受到城市内外经济、社会、环境因素的制约,为满足整个安全系统和谐发展的要求,必须科学规划和管理城市基础设施,保证其安全运行。     

移动Ad hoc网络路由协议的安全性分析与对策

移动Ad hoc网络是一种自组织、多跳的无线网络,由于其独特性能使移动Adhoc网络面临着比现有网络具有更大的安全挑战,其中路由安全对该网络的安全性起着关键性的作用。在介绍移动Ad hoc网络主要路由协议及其特点的基础上,笔者深入研究了移动Ad hoc网络路由协议中存在的黑洞、拒绝服务等安全漏洞;详细分析了几种主要的Ad hoc路由协议的安全性增强方案;根据不同路由协议的特点,分别提出了利用单向散列链改进距离矢量路由协议安全性的两种方案;分析了一种用于改善源路由协议安全性的方案的可行性。最后,指出了移动Ad hoc网络路由协议安全性问题的进一步改进和研究方向。     

基于人工神经网络的矿井通风系统评价研究

以矿井通风系统的“安全可靠、经济合理”和其定义所包含的各项内容为依据,从矿井通风动力、通风网络、通风设施、通风质量、通风监测、防灾抗灾能力、通风电耗、通风能力8个方面,确立了16项矿井通风系统评价指标,建立了一个新的矿井通风系统评价指标体系。采用人工神经网络中的BP网络算法,在VisualC++6.0平台上研制开发了矿井通风系统评价BP网络模型的计算机程序。并经过实际生产矿井检验,预测结果与实际完全吻合,说明了笔者所确定的矿井通风系统评价指标体系可以反映矿井通风系统的状况,所采用的BP网络算法正确,可以用来指导实际工作。该计算程序简单,易于操作,有一定的推广应用价值。     

由通风网络结构数据自动生成通风网络图研究

通风网络图是矿井通风管理的一种重要图件.本文根据通风网络图的特点,介绍了一种由通风网络结构数据自动生成通风网络图的方法,并进行了开发实现和实践应用.     

基于神经网络的尘肺病预测模型研究

针对尘肺病对人体的危害这一现实,本文通过建立神经元网络模型,开发了神经元网络预测系统,利用预测模块对获得的尘肺病发病数据进行了学习并以此形成了稳定的预测模式,以某矿尘肺病发病情况为例进行了评价;结果表明神经元网络模型克服了传统预测模型须建立函数的难题,且预测精度较度,具有重要理论与实际应用价值.     

From Environmental Ethics to Nature Conservation Policy: Natura 2000 and the Burden of Proof

Natura 2000 is a network of natural sites whose aim is to preserve species and habitats of relevance in the European Union. The policy underlying Natura 2000 has faced widespread opposition from land users and received extensive support from environmentalists. This paper addresses the ethical framework for Natura 2000 and the probable moral assumptions of its main stakeholders. Arguments for and against Natura 2000 were analyzed and classified according to “strong” or “weak” versions of the three main theories of environmental ethics – anthropocentrism, biocentrism, and ecocentrism. Weak (intergenerational) anthropocentrism was found to underlie the Natura 2000 network itself and the positions of environmentalists, while strong (traditional) anthropocentrism pervaded the positions of economic developers. Land users seemed to fall somewhere between weak and strong anthropocentrism. The paper discusses the relation between ethics and different attitudes towards Natura 2000, highlighting some of the implications for the network’s ongoing implementation. It is shown that Natura 2000 achieves a strong reversal of the burden of proof from conservation to economic development and land use change under anthropocentrism. It is argued that the alleged theoretical divide between anthropocentrism and non-anthropocentrism in relation to the burden of proof does not seem to hold in practice. Finally, it is predicted that the weak versions of anthropocentrism, biocentrism, and ecocentrism, are likely to converge extensively in respect to nature conservation policy measures.“Charting the depths of law and policy disputes yield an understanding of ethical differences.” Paul B. Thompson (2002, p. 189).     

RAINGAGE NETWORK DESIGN USING NEXRAD PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES1

ABSTRACT: A general framework is proposed for using precipitation estimates from NEXRAD weather radars in raingage network design. NEXRAD precipitation products are used to represent space time rainfall fields, which can be sampled by hypothetical raingage networks. A stochastic model is used to simulate gage observations based on the areal average precipitation for radar grid cells. The stochastic model accounts for subgrid variability of precipitation within the cell and gage measurement errors. The approach is ideally suited to raingage network design in regions with strong climatic variations in rainfall where conventional methods are sometimes lacking. A case study example involving the estimation of areal average precipitation for catchments in the Catskill Mountains illustrates the approach. The case study shows how the simulation approach can be used to quantify the effects of gage density, basin size, spatial variation of precipitation, and gage measurement error, on network estimates of areal average precipitation. Although the quality of NEXRAD precipitation products imposes limitations on their use in network design, weather radars can provide valuable information for empirical assessment of rain‐gage network estimation errors. Still, the biggest challenge in quantifying estimation errors is understanding subgrid spatial variability. The results from the case study show that the spatial correlation of precipitation at subgrid scales (4 km and less) is difficult to quantify, especially for short sampling durations. Network estimation errors for hourly precipitation are extremely sensitive to the uncertainty in subgrid spatial variability, although for storm total accumulation, they are much less sensitive.     

用ART2神经网络方法进行结构的损伤识别

用ART2神经网络方法对建筑结构的损伤进行了识别 ,实验证明该方法的识别精度高 ,具有自动从环境中学习的能力 ,对未知的损伤 ,ART2网络将能自动地给出新的识别输出 ,即对未知的损伤类型也能够进行识别     

DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE SCALE GRIDDED RIVER NETWORKS FROM VECTOR STREAM DATA1

ABSTRACT: The Network Tracing Method (NTM) has been developed to determine gridded coarse river networks for modeling large hydrologic systems. For a coarse resolution grid, the NTM determines the downstream cell of each cell and the distance along the actual meandering flow paths between them. Unlike previously developed methods, the NTM uses fine resolution vector river networks as the source of information of the flow patterns rather than digital elevation models. The main advantage of using vector river networks as input is that they capture the hydrologic terrain features better than topographic data do, particularly in areas of low topographic relief. The NTM was applied to South America with a grid resolution of 1 degree by 1 degree and to the globe with a resolution of 2.815 degrees by 2.8125 degrees. Overall, the method captured the flow patterns well. Generated digital river networks and drainage divides showed minor disagreement with those obtained from existing maps, and most of them were consistent with the resolution of the coarse river network. The majority of estimated basin areas were also close to documented values. River lengths calculated with the NTM, however, were consistently underpredicted.     

建筑网络火灾烟气流动稳定性及其控制分析

将建筑作为一个网络整体考虑,研究分析了火灾烟气流动机理,讨论了火灾烟气的热膨胀效应、烟囱效应及室外风力对建筑网络空气和烟气流动的影响.从质量守恒定律讨论了多层建筑中和面的位置及其影响因素,指出控制多层建筑中和面的方法和途径.通过建筑网络回路能量守恒方程,讨论了烟囱效应对建筑网络风流的影响,建筑网络火灾烟气流动的稳定性及合理的烟气控制措施.