环境力对引信安全系统可靠性的影响分析

安全性与作用可靠性是引信的两项重要技术指标。引信的工作过程和工作环境比较特殊,不同于一般的机电产品。在一般机电产品的安全可靠性建模过程中,环境因素不被考虑,但对于引信而言,其可靠性与环境力却有着密切关系。笔者根据引信工作的特殊性,对环境力及其作用时间的安全可靠度及作用可靠度进行了计算。     

火灾时建筑内人员安全疏散可靠性的数值计算

运用一次二阶矩法(FOSM)的可靠指数概念,建立建筑火灾安全人员安全疏散随机不确定性分析方法,给出了可靠指数β的计算程序。案例结果分析表明,运用FOSM可以计算火灾环境下人员安全疏散的可靠概率。     

An extension of Multiple Greek Letter method for common cause failures modelling

Common cause failure describes a condition where several components share the same source of failure that causes them to fail or become unavailable simultaneously. The objective of this paper is to present an improved approach to common cause failure modelling within reliability analyses. The currently used methods allow one component to share common characteristics with only one group of components, which may be affected by the same source of failure. Therefore, an improved method was developed, where components can be assigned to several groups of components that are susceptible to faulty operation with respect to their similar characteristics. A mathematical derivation of the method is presented and the theory is applied to smaller theoretical samples and to a simplified real example. The results show that the new method enables a more detailed reliability analysis. The results prove that consideration of common cause failures using the improved method may decrease the system reliability compared to traditional common cause failure consideration. The system reliability decreases more, if the redundant components have more similarities and are therefore assigned to several common cause failure groups.     

Safety,reliability and worker satisfaction during organizational change

The research presented in this paper was carried out in four process industry plants in the Netherlands, to identify factors that have the potential to increase safety and reliability while maintaining or improving job satisfaction. The data used were gathered as part of broader trajectories in these firms, aiming at the simultaneous improvement of productivity and safety, while maintaining or improving worker satisfaction. The results show that participative leadership is crucial for combining an increase in safety and reliability with job satisfaction. Participative leadership has a positive effect on job satisfaction and through proper maintenance also on the prevention and absence of disturbances and on the reliability of the production process. The results of this research show the importance of participative leadership for safety, reliability and worker satisfaction, especially during organizational change. Other important factors are operator competences, teamwork, proper handling of variance and disturbances, and proper maintenance. It also confirms that apart from technological factors associated with proper maintenance, people and team related factors are important for increasing safety and reliability in the process industry, especially for being prepared for disturbances and to be able to cope adequately with them.     

An optimal level of dust explosion risk management: Framework and application

The current research provides guidance on the prevention and mitigation of dust explosion using a Quantitative Risk Management Framework (QRMF). Using concepts drawn from previous studies, the framework consists of three main steps: (i) a new combined safety management protocol, (ii) the use of DESC (Dust Explosion Simulation Code) and FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) to assess explosion consequences and likelihood, respectively, and (iii) application of the hierarchy of controls (inherent, engineered and procedural safety). QRMF assessment of an industrial case study showed that the original process was at high risk. DESC simulations and Probit equations determined the destructive percentages. FTAs revealed high probabilities of explosion occurrence; in addition, detailed individual and societal risks calculations were made, before and after the framework was applied. Based on the hierarchy of controls technique, the framework showed significant risk reduction to the point where the residual risk was acceptable for the process.     

Reliability assessment of safety instrumented systems subject to different demand modes

Safety instrumented systems (SISs) are commonly used in the process industry, to respond to hazardous events. In line with the important standard IEC 61508, SISs are generally classified into two types: low-demand systems and high-demand systems. This article explores this classification by studying the SIS reliability for varying demand rates, demand durations, and test intervals. The approach is based on Markov models and is exemplified by two simple system configurations. The SIS reliability is quantified by the probability of failure on demand (PFD) and the frequency of entering a hazardous state that will lead to an accident if the situation is not controlled by additional barriers. The article concludes that very low-demand systems are similar and may be treated as a group. The same applies to very high-demand system. Between these group, there is a rather long interval where the demand rate is neither high-demand nor low-demand. These medium-demand systems need a specific treatment. The article shows that the frequency of entering into a hazardous state increases with the demand rate for low-demand systems, while it is nearly independent of both the demand rate and the demand duration for high-demand systems. The PFD is an adequate measure for the SIS reliability for low-demand systems, but may be confusing and difficult to interpret for high-demand systems.     

H3880-V890B综合环境应力可靠性试验系统介绍

综合环境应力可靠性试验,对于验证产品可靠性平均无故障工作时间（ＭＴＢＦ）和暴露产品设计、元件选用２、生产工艺等方面的缺陷有着十分重要的作用。综合环境应力可靠性试验设备是实施该项试验的重要手段。本文详述Ｈ３８８０－Ｖ８９０Ｂ试验系统的布局、功能、参数及主要技术,旨城向试验同行介绍目前试验设备的最新技术动态。同时希望资源共享,为暂不具备大型综合环境应力设备的单位提供协作,共同为提高我国的装备技术水平作     

高可靠复杂工业产品可靠性的仿真模拟

可靠性仿真方法是研究高可靠复杂工业产品的可靠性的有力手段之一 ,本文对建立工业产品可靠性仿真模拟的方法以及必要性进行了论述。     

深圳东部引水水源工程水量水质统一管理的可靠性分析

深圳市东部引水工程，是一项缓解深圳市水资源短缺、促进经济稳定发展、重要跨流域调水工程。工程的管理必须考虑水量、水质、社会经济等多方面的因素，基于水量，水质统一管理的可靠性计算，对工程的可持续发展决策与管理是必需的和有实际意义的，分析传统水资源系统可靠性准则的不足之处，结合工程实际，提出了基于水量、水质统一的水资源系统多准则可靠性评价准则，通过可靠性分析，为深圳东部引水水源工程提供了科学合理的运行管     

基于DFTA的电梯制动器可靠性分析

电梯制动器是电梯最重要的安全部件之一,故研究其可靠性具有重要意义.首先分析了电梯制动器的故障机理并建立了动态故障树模型,其次利用二元决策图和马尔科夫方法对故障树进行了分析计算,得到了影响系统可靠性的相关指标以及制动器的薄弱环节,最后提出了改进措施和建议,为电梯制动器的设计、维修保养及检验提供了科学依据.