安全科学学及其应用探讨

为使安全科学学进一步具体化,明确阐述了安全科学学的定义、主要内容和可能的应用方面。研究表明:安全科学学是以安全科学为直接研究对象的科学;安全科学学的主要内容有安全科学的基本问题、基础理论和构建分类系统3个主要方面;安全科学的基本问题有基本概念、研究对象等10个,安全科学的基础理论主要有线性、非线性事故致因理论2类,根据安全科学的基本问题、基础理论构建出来的安全科学新分类系统由4个二级、13个三级及其下若干四级及五级分支学科组成。安全科学学对安全学科建设、安全实务都起着具体的支撑作用。     

Using native plants as problem-solvers

The Federal Highway Administration encourages state highway agencies to use native plants in erosion control, revegetation, and landscaping solutions. This paper explains both policy reasons and technical reasons for the use of native plants. How native species can be used is shown through a roadside case study. Other applications of native plant use will be explained through a plant community approach.     

Life cycle assessment

The basic idea of LCA is that all environmental burdens connected with a product or service have to be assessed, back to the raw materials and down to waste removal. Therefore, the term “Life Cycle Assessment” is more precise than the German “?kobilanz” or the French “écobilan”. This basic idea is undoubtedly true, and LCA is the only environmental assessment tool which avoids positive ratings for measurements which only consists in the shifting of burdens. In the years from 1990 to 1993, SETAC and SETAC-Europe shaped the development of LCA in a series of important workshops culminating in the “Code of Practice” of 1993. The results of these workshops can be illustrated by the famous SETAC-triangle. It shows the basic structure which is now underlying the standardizing activities of ISO: 1. Goal definition and scoping, 2. Inventory analysis, 3. Impact assessment, 4. Improvement assessment. The structure recently defined by ISO differs from the SETAC structure only in the last element which is called “Interpretation” in the international standard 14040. According to ISO, “Improvement Assessment” is only one of the many activities which may follow LCA but is not part of the true analysis. The components of an LCA are described and interpreted in detail, SETAC vs. ISO. Recent developments and activities initiated by ISO, SPOLD and other organisations complete the review.     

安全管理学及其具体教学内容的构建

通过对安全管理实务和安全管理活动的理论分析,首先,把安全管理学广义地定义为关于事故预防的科学,并分析得到其详细内容、逻辑结构和应用原理;然后,将安全管理学狭义地定义为与安全相关的关于行为协调的科学,并选择性地构建其具体的、与其他课程没有或较少交叉的具体教学内容。     

Land Area Eligible for Afforestation and Reforestation within the Clean Development Mechanism: A Global Analysis of the Impact of Forest Definition

Within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Kyoto Protocol, countries have significant latitude to define a forest. The most important parameter affecting area designated as forest is the minimum crown cover which can be set between 10 and 30%. The choice will have implications for the amount of land available in a country for afforestation and reforestation activities within the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM-AR). In this paper, we present an analysis of the regional differences in land availability for CDM-AR projects. We then examine how the choice of a high or low threshold value for crown cover will affect the area available for CDM activities and how the limitations imposed by this element of the definition compares to other factors that are likely to limit CDM activities. Results represent a global analysis that included all countries not included in Annex I of the Kyoto Protocol, and examined the effect on land availability of a range of crown cover thresholds ranging from 10–30%. Of the 140 Non-Annex One countries, 107 countries were found to have a potential for CDM-AR projects. Asia had the largest amount of combined area suitable for CDM-AR at the 10% crown cover threshold level. However, at 30%, South America had the greatest amount of land available, and a large change in available land area, which increased by almost five times compared to what was available at the 10% threshold. The area available in Africa increased by a factor of 5.5. Central America showed the largest increase, to almost 10 times more at the 30% threshold. By contrast, within Asia, the area increase was comparatively less, but still the area nearly doubled. Globally, a low threshold of 10% crown cover excluded almost 2/3 of the land identified that was eligible at 30%, over 5 million km². The spatial analyses showed not only the effects of the choice of the crown cover criterion, but also where the land was available for CDM activities within each country at different thresholds. Protected areas account for 10–20% of the CDM-AR eligible area in most countries.     

基于价值函数的城市道路交通安全测度模型

根据交通事故在时间和空间上的分布特性,建立基于时空分布的城市道路交通安全的测度指标体系;在分析道路交通事故的主要特征和交通事故的生成过程的基础上,利用价值函数构建城市道路交通安全的测度模型。并对城市道路交通安全的测度值进行等级界定,提出道路交通事故预防和控制手段。城市道路交通安全的测度模型是在最大可能地控制系统中的人的不安全行为,使城市道路网络系统的效益达到最佳化。应用结果表明:利用测度,可以找出影响高速公路交通安全的问题成因和限制因素,为高速公路规划和管理提供科学决策依据。     

Understanding the Wicked Nature of “Unmanaged Recreation” in Colorado’s Front Range

Unmanaged recreation presents a challenge to both researchers and managers of outdoor recreation in the United States because it is shrouded in uncertainty resulting from disagreement over the definition of the problem, the strategies for resolving the problem, and the outcomes of management. Incomplete knowledge about recreation visitors’ values and relationships with one another, other stakeholders, and the land further complicate the problem. Uncertainty and social complexity make the unmanaged recreation issue a wicked problem. We describe the wickedness inherent in unmanaged recreation and some of the implications of wickedness for addressing the problem for the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains in Colorado. Conclusions about the nature of the problem are based on a problem appraisal that included a literature review and interviews of key informants. Addressing wickedness calls for institutional changes that allow for and reward the use of trust building, inclusive communication, and genuinely collaborative processes.     

自然灾害基本定义的探讨

自然灾害的研究,正在变为一门热门的学科.然而,大多数人是通过举例来回答"什么是自然灾害?"这一问题,一些学者则干脆对此避而不谈.显然,如果对"自然灾害"这一概念没有严格的定义,如果人们只热衷于提出各种概念模型,热衷于案例分析,则"自然灾害学"就很难上升为一门科学内核清楚的学科.从分析定义的本质人手,梳理出下定义的4条规则,指出了现有5个自然灾害定义的不足之处,建议了一个自然灾害的基本定义,并用它分别对<国家综合减灾"十一五"规划>中提及的13种自然灾害进行了界定.     

当代环境规划的定义、作用与特征分析

环境规划可定义为人类为使环境与经济、社会协调发展而对自身活动和环境所做的时间和空间的合理安排．它遵循和追求的战略思想和根本目标是可持续发展;它的基本出发点是保障人们享用环境权和公正地规定享用环境经济权时所应遵守的义务;它的基本任务是依据有限的环境承载力,规定人们经济和社会活动的约束要求,并提出保护和建设环境的方案．环境规划的作用是促进环境与经济、社会的协调发展;保障环境保护活动纳入国民经济和社会发展计划;合理分配排污削减量;以最小的投资获取最佳的环境效应;指导各项环境保护活动的进行．针对环境规划具有的整体性、综合性、区域性、动态性以及信息密集和政策性强等基本特征,分析了环境规划在分类、理论、原则、内容、方法学、支撑软件、工作程序和管理上所采取的对策．     

标准化学引论

论述了标准化是自然和人类社会从无序到有序的发展规律,提出了标准是标准化的结果,是维系自然与社会有序的基础。对标准进行了重新定义,提出标准化、标准的若干特性及规律,其中包括标准化的依从性、标准的主导性、标准的系统性、标准的开放性、标准自我复制和重复性、标准的信息特征、标准的统一与简化、阻力、动力原理等特性的一些新的初始概念。