Characterization of aliphatic hydrocarbons in deep subsurface soils near the outskirts of Beijing, China

Thirty-nine deep subsurface soils( 150—180 cm depth) near the outskirts of Beijing were investagated. The concentrations including n-alkanes from C13 to C36, pristane and phytane were in the range of 0.60 to 170.10μg/g, with a median value of 4.26. Carbon preference index values for n-alkanes ranged from 1.08 to 2.98, with a median value of 1.48. The percentage contribution of “wax” nalkanes was in the range of 6.03%--46.22%. A predominance of odd/even carbon n-alkanes and unresolved complex mixtures with different shapes and ranges were frequently observed. Factor analysis reduced the data set into three principal components and confirming contributions from low ( 19.58% ), medium ( 20.49% ) molecular weight species and long-chain n-alkanes (43.41% ), respectively.Molecular biomarkers such as pristane, phytane, hopanes and steranes were detected. Based on the principal component analysis, the concentration profiles and molecular markers, it was found that the aliphatic hydrocarbons were from both biogenic and anthropogenic sources.     

Utilization of prenatal cytogenetic diagnosis in women of advanced maternal age in Australia, 1979–1982

This paper reports the results of a complete national survey to measure utilization rates of prenatal cytogenetic diagnosis (P.C.D.) in women of advanced maternal age in Australia. P.C.D. has been available throughout Australia for the last decade. Every laboratory in Australia providing a P.C.D. service for the years 1979–1982 took part in this study. Utilization rates (both National and State rates) by ages of mothers, are presented. Big interstate differences exist. The 1982 National P.C.D. utilization rate for pregnant women who were 40 years of age and over was 38.8 per cent, and this rate has shown an average annual increase of 9 per cent. In those four States which offered P.C.D. to pregnant women of 35 years or over the median utilization rate was 20 per cent. These Australian rates indicate an under-utilization of P.C.D. services with (in 1982) 50–80 per cent of ‘at risk’ women not being tested. Factors which influence this are discussed.     

Importance of health assessments for conservation in noncaptive wildlife

Wildlife health assessments help identify populations at risk of starvation, disease, and decline from anthropogenic impacts on natural habitats. We conducted an overview of available health assessment studies in noncaptive vertebrates and devised a framework to strategically integrate health assessments in population monitoring. Using a systematic approach, we performed a thorough assessment of studies examining multiple health parameters of noncaptive vertebrate species from 1982 to 2020 (n = 261 studies). We quantified trends in study design and diagnostic methods across taxa with generalized linear models, bibliometric analyses, and visual representations of study location versus biodiversity hotspots. Only 35% of studies involved international or cross-border collaboration. Countries with both high and threatened biodiversity were greatly underrepresented. Species that were not listed as threatened on the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List represented 49% of assessed species, a trend likely associated with the regional focus of most studies. We strongly suggest following wildlife health assessment protocols when planning a study and using statistically adequate sample sizes for studies establishing reference ranges. Across all taxa blood analysis (89%), body composition assessments (81%), physical examination (72%), and fecal analyses (24% of studies) were the most common methods. A conceptual framework to improve design and standardize wildlife health assessments includes guidelines on the experimental design, data acquisition and analysis, and species conservation planning and management implications. Integrating a physiological and ecological understanding of species resilience toward threatening processes will enable informed decision making regarding the conservation of threatened species.     

干侵入对"0310"暴雨形成过程的影响

通过位涡、相对湿度与相当位温关系的讨论并结合2003年10月10-12日河北深秋时节在冀中南部发生的特大暴雨,分析了倾斜涡度发展理论.发现此次暴雨过程中存在干侵入现象,且干侵入的发生、发展对暴雨过程具有重要影响;干侵入沿相当位温高值脊向对流层低层伸展,引起对流层低层气旋性涡度的发展,使降水强度加剧.干侵入是暴雨形成的一种重要机制.     

基于广义可加模型和案例推理的东南太平洋智利竹筴鱼中心渔场预报

根据2001～2008年我国渔船在东南太平洋海域的智利竹筴鱼生产统计数据以及同期卫星遥感数据反演的海表温度、叶绿素浓度、海表温度梯度等数据,利用广义可加模型定量分析了智利外海竹筴鱼资源分布同环境因子的关系。根据GAM模型的研究结果,确定海表温度作为竹筴鱼中心渔场预报指标。利用案例推理方法,通过三级相似检索对智利竹筴鱼中心渔场进行预报。试验性预报实例的结果与渔船实际作业情况比较表明,预报精度达到68%,能一定程度上反映竹筴鱼资源的分布。     

基于车载诊断系统的轻型乘用车实际道路油耗特征分析

近年来的一系列研究表明,轻型车实际道路油耗与型式认证油耗间的差异在不断增大,之前的实际道路油耗研究大多基于用户上报数据或车载排放测试系统(PEMS).车载诊断系统(OBD)是一种监测发动机及排放控制系统实时工作状态的仪器.本研究通过OBD解码器采集瞬时发动机进气量计算机动车瞬态油耗并通过2辆轻型汽油车的实验室台架测试证明该方法具有很好的准确性(差异在±5%以内).本研究进一步在北京选取了7辆轻型汽油车,利用OBD解码器开展实际道路油耗测试,并研究运行工况及车辆载重对其实际道路油耗的影响.实际道路结果显示测试车辆在典型工况下的油耗比型式认证油耗高23.1%~46.4%,平均差异为29.2%.通过微观运行模态方法将实际道路油耗修正到法规测试循环(NEDC工况)的交通特征下,道路油耗仍然比型式认证油耗高18.7%±7.1%.研究表明,平均速度与实际道路油耗具有很强的相关性.实际道路油耗在30 km·h-1以下时会随速度降低而显著上升.此外,研究还发现如果车辆载重增加260 kg,实际道路油耗将上升6.2%±2.2%.     

南京大气气溶胶中多环芳烃源识别及污染评价

采用GC、GC-MS等方法,研究了南京市不同功能区夏、冬季大气气溶胶中多环芳烃(PAHs)的污染状况和污染来源,并对不同功能区的PAHs进行了污染评价.结果表明,南京市各功能区气溶胶中PAHs总量在19.73～497.40ng/m³之间,且冬季高于夏季,细颗粒中含量高于粗颗粒.通过一些特征标志PAHs的比值,可判断夏季各功能区的PAHs污染主要来自于汽车尾气(主要是柴油型)的排放,冬季则为汽车尾气和燃煤污染.采用苯并(a)芘(BaP)及苯并(a)芘等效致癌浓度(BaPE)来评价5个功能区气溶胶中PAHs的污染状况,夏季除交通干道超过国家标准(BaP,10ng/m³),居民区细颗粒中略超过居民区标准(BaP,5ng/m³)外,空气质量良好.而冬季各功能区PAHs基本上均严重超标.     

基于BP神经网络在森林防火专家系统不确定推理中的应用研究

提出将改进的BP神经网络应用于森林防火专家系统的不确定性推理中,其良好的自学习和泛化能力,可以解决基于可信度规则的知识表示在实际应用中导致的规则激增,推理速度缓慢的问题。该方法将不确定的知识用可信度区间表示,通过知识编码,设计并训练BP网络,最后用MATLAB进行仿真。实验结果表明:BP神经网络可以自动学习专家的典型经验,并且能将之准确的推广,隐含层神经元个数的确定和典型样本的选取决定了准确精度。在实际的专家系统不确定推理应用中具有应用价值。     

利用光合色素研究厦门海域超微型浮游植物群落结构

应用反相高效液相色谱(RP-HPLC)方法对厦门海域9个站位水样进行分析，对色素数据进行换算，结果表明在厦门海域超微型浮游植物优势类群是绿薰，而总浮游植物优势类群是硅藻；超微型浮游植物对总浮游植物生物量贡献为总生物量1．5％～11％，超微型粒级细胞在一些类群中(绿藻、金藻)中占有很大比重。在超微型浮游类群组成中没有甲藻纲，而蓝藻丰度也非常低。超微型浮游植物组成结构厦门港富营养化水域呈单优势类群结构，在九龙江河口区域受冲淡水与陆源成分影响。结构较为复杂。     

基于云推理和模糊逻辑关系模型的干旱等级预测方法研究

针对月平均降水量时间序列存在模糊性和随机性的特点,给出一种结合云推理和模糊逻辑关系的干旱等级预测方法。采用徐州站1951~2014年逐月降水量数据,通过计算标准化降水指数(SPI),得到实测干旱等级序列,以1952~2013年SPI指数数据作为样本数据,并提取样本模糊时间序列的52条模糊逻辑推理规则,将某月份的SPI指数数据作为输入变量,利用云发生器进行云推理,得到未来相应月份的干旱等级预测结果。结果表明,研究方法对干旱发生具有一定预测能力,尤其是对无旱的预测比较准确,但是对于干旱状态突变的预测能力较弱,主要是由于发生严重旱灾的可能性较少,导致模糊推理规则较少。因此,对于江苏省以轻旱为主的苏北地区,可以作为早期干旱预警的参考。