基于旱地土壤环境风险的农药毒死蜱的施用限值研究

通过开展田间试验,研究毒死蜱在玉米、小麦和大豆3种作物田土壤中的降解及环境风险,基于毒死蜱及其降解产物TCP的残留特征和环境风险,计算毒死蜱施用限值.研究表明玉米田土壤中的毒死蜱残留量大于大豆田和小麦田;毒死蜱在农田土壤中的降解速率随着施用浓度的增加而提高.小麦、大豆、玉米3种作物种植土壤中毒死蜱及TCP的短期和长期生态风险均有差异.玉米、大豆和小麦3种作物农田中,当超过推荐剂量施用毒死蜱,毒死蜱及TCP均具有较高短期风险和长期生态风险,相对于毒死蜱,TCP对土壤的生态风险更高.基于旱地土壤的毒死蜱及TCP的环境风险,通过模型计算农药毒死蜱在大豆田中的施用限值为0.4412 kg·hm^-2,在小麦田中的施用限值为0.5034 kg·hm^-2,在玉米田中的施用限值为0.5487 kg·hm^-2.     

Manipulation of density and viscosity for the optimization of DNAPL recovery by alcohol flooding

Laboratory experiments demonstrate that in situ recovery of pooled tetrachloroethene (PCE) from porous media may be accomplished more efficiently using multiple-step alcohol floods than with single alcohol floods. To optimize flooding efficiency while maintaining a low risk of downward DNAPL mobilization, a three-step flooding process is developed employing an isobutanol preflood, a composite alcohol mainflood, and a polymer solution postflood. The density and viscosity of these solutions are manipulated to prevent the onset and propagation of viscous and gravitational fingers, while maintaining phase behavior critical for efficient miscible NAPL displacement. An aqueous partitioning preflood solution of 10% by volume (10% v) isobutanol reduces the NAPL density in situ to approximately 1.00 g/ml by swelling the NAPL prior to miscible displacement induced by the mainflood. The composite alcohol mainflood, containing 65% v ethylene glycol and 35% v 1-propanol maintains miscibility while achieving neutral buoyancy and near stable displacement of the NAPL. Aqueous solutions of xanthan gum polymer efficiently displace the mainflood, reducing viscous fingering associated with waterfloods. Two-dimensional experiments using the multiple-step technique achieve 99.8% DNAPL mass recovery using a total of 0.45 pore volumes of alcohol, illustrating greater recovery efficiency than previous alcohol flooding formulations under comparable conditions.     

天津经济技术开发区(TEDA)社会发展预警系统建立的研究

本文根据社会发展的统计指标体系,结合评价可持续发展的社会指标体系构成,得出社会发展警情、警兆指标体系,然后根据统计数据,采用实证和理论分析相结合的方法,给出社会发展警情预报的警情警限值,并利用其研究ＴＥＤＡ的社会发展态势,最终给出ＴＥＤＡ警源形成因素及排警对策。     

A systematic review of snake translocations to identify potential tactics for reducing postrelease effects

Advancements in the field of reintroduction biology are needed, but understanding of how to effectively conduct translocations, particularly with snakes, is lacking. We conducted a systematic review of snake translocation studies to identify potential tactics for reducing postrelease effects. We included studies on intentional, human-mediated, wild–wild, or captive–wild translocations to any location, regardless of motive or number of snakes translocated. Only studies that presented results for at least 1 of 4 outcomes (movement behavior, site fidelity, survival, or population establishment) were included. We systematically searched 4 databases for published studies and used 5 methods to search the gray literature. Our search and screening criteria yielded 121 data sources, representing 130 translocation cases. We quantified the association between 15 translocation tactics and short-term translocation outcomes by calculating odds ratios and used forest plots to display results. Snake translocations involved 47 species (from mainly 2 families), and most were motivated by research, were monitored for at least 6 months, occurred in North America, and took place from the 1990s onward. The odds of a positive snake translocation outcome were highest with release of captive reared or juvenile snakes, release of social groups together, delayed release, provision of environmental enrichment or social housing before release, or minimization of distance translocated. The odds of a positive outcome were lowest when snakes were released early in their active season. Our results do not demonstrate causation, but outcomes of snake translocation were associated with 8 tactics (4 of which were strongly correlated). In addition to targeted comparative studies, we recommend practitioners consider the possible influence of these tactics when planning snake translocations.     

高突危险水体上煤层开采下限及带压开采分区研究

确定开采下限,对高突危险水体上煤层的安全开采具有十分重要的意义。本文基于肥城矿区地质条件,用FLAC3D软件,对开采煤层下伏岩层移动变形规律进行了深入研究,对煤层底板三带范围进行了初步确定;同时,从不同方面对煤层底板开采破坏深度进行了理论计算。根据突水系数、导水带深度、导升带高度和经验数据,确定出正常条件下带压开采的下限(-720m)以及安全措施条件下(底板预注浆处理等)的带压开采下限(-850m)。依据开采下限,对带压开采条件进行了分析,初步形成了高突危险水体上煤层带压开采的分区分类,划分了"开采相对安全区(安全开采区、次安全开采区、条件安全开采区)、深部突水危险区、构造突水危险区",为确定安全开采技术与工艺奠定了理论基础。     

基于JC法尾矿坝稳定性可靠度研究

论述了可靠度理论在尾矿坝稳定性评价中可有效弥补定值法(安全系数法)存在的不足。文中选用JC法作为可靠度分析方法,结合实例对尾矿坝进行稳定性分析,分别求出了尾矿坝在正常和洪水工况下运行时的可靠度指标。并通过与定值法(安全系数法)比较,发现可靠度指标对坝体材料物理力学参数变异性的敏感度高于安全系数,因而得出可靠度方法可以更加全面、客观的反映出尾矿坝稳定性的真实状态。     

基于二阶矩法的钢筋混凝土连续梁可靠度分析

根据结构可靠性理论,运用应力-强度干涉模型,考虑随机参数服从正态分布情况下的影响,构建连续梁在强度失效模式下的可靠性模型,应用二阶矩法通过数值分析计算结构的可靠指标,得出了结构的可靠度。为使所建立的模型符合钢筋混凝土结构的具体受力特点,荷载效应计算中考虑了钢筋混凝土结构的内力重分布,承载能力计算中参考了《混凝土结构设计规范》(GB50010-2002)给出的近似计算公式,得到了多维非线性的极限状态方程。通过实例对模型和可靠度方法进行了验证,计算分析表明,本文所建立的可靠性模型揭示了钢筋混凝土连续梁在各种随机因素作用下强度失效的规律,为钢筋混凝土连续梁的可靠性分析提供了依据。此外,本文提供的构件可靠度计算思路也可为其他各类钢筋混凝土构件的可靠度分析提供参考。     

锂离子电池热解气体爆炸极限测定及其危险性分析

为定量研究锂离子电池热失控的危险性,利用锂离子电池在滥用条件下释放气体的种类及体积分数,计算锂离子电池热解气体爆炸极限并研究锂电池荷电状态对热解气体爆炸极限的影响。结果表明:在一定热失控条件下锂离子电池荷电状态为100%时其热解气爆炸下限为6.22%,上限为38.4%,在相同热失控条件下,锂离子电池热解气体的爆炸极限范围随着荷电状态的升高而增大,锂电池的荷电状态对热解气体的爆炸上限影响较大而对爆炸下限影响较小。在相似条件下,锂离子电池热解气体的爆炸极限范围比普通烃类气体大,一旦锂电池发生热失控会对锂离子电池运输造成潜在威胁。     

解读GB19606-2004《家用和类似用途电器噪声限值》

本文从多角度对GB 19606-2004标准进行了较为深入的分析,同时详细地比较了该标准与现行家电产品标准中的噪声限值的差异,从而指出生产厂商必须对家电产品噪声限值的变化引起足够的重视,提高产品的噪声水平以满足该强制性标准的要求.     

火源位置对轻型门式刚架竖向位移的影响

为探究总火源功率相同时,两个火源相对位置变化对轻型门式刚架竖向位移的影响规律,采用经实验验证过的有限元方法对其进行瞬态非线性热-结构耦合数值模拟,研究了大功率火灾下单个火源、两个火源位置变化对门式刚架的温度分布以及竖向位移的影响。结果表明:保持火灾总功率30 MW不变时,在单一火源作用下火源位于跨中时刚架位移最大,在两火源作用下,15 MW-15 MW的火源组合最危险、刚架的破坏时间随火源相对距离的增大而增大,功率较大的火源位于临界位置比功率较小的火源位于临界位置有利。且功率较大的火源位于临界位置时,火源相对位置变化对刚架竖向位移的影响不显著,而功率较小的火源位于临界位置时, 影响显著。