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31.
The increasing use of the landscape by humans has led to important diminutions of natural surfaces. The remaining patches
of wild habitat are small and isolated from each other among a matrix of inhospitable land-uses. This habitat fragmentation,
by disabling population movements and stopping their spread to new habitats, is a major threat to the survival of numerous
plant and animal species. We developed a general model, adaptable for specific species, capable of identifying suitable habitat
patches within fragmented landscapes and investigating the capacity of populations to move between these patches. This approach
combines GIS analysis of a landscape, with spatial dynamic modeling. Suitable habitat is identified using a threshold area
to perimeter ratio. Potential movement pathways of species between habitat patches are modeled using a cellular automaton.
Habitat connectivity is estimated by overlaying habitat patches with movement pathways. The maximum potential population is
calculated within and between connected habitat patches and potential risk of inbreeding within meta-populations is considered.
The model was tested on a sample map and applied to scenario maps of predicted land-use change in the Peoria Tri-county region
(IL). It (1) showed area of natural area alone was insufficient to estimate the consequences on animal populations; (2) underscored
the necessity to use approaches investigating the effect of land-use change spatially through the landscape and the importance
of considering species-specific life history characteristics; and (3) highlighted the model's potential utility as an indicator
of species likelihood to be affected negatively by land-use scenarios and therefore requiring detailed investigation. 相似文献
32.
33.
基于B-P神经网络的环境质量评价方法 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
提出可将环境质量评价的无论是定量指标还是定性参数转化成"二进制"的"1"或"0",进而将这种二进制数引入B-P网络.通过实例探讨,这种新的B-P网络既适用于定量指标的水质参数又适用于定性指标的水质参数. 相似文献
34.
Darek J. Nalle Jeffrey L. Arthur Claire A. Montgomery John Sessions 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2002,7(2):99-105
An optimization model for land reservation was developed that explicitly selects parcels in the most compact or contiguous manner possible while meeting habitat requirements and a budget limitation. The model was used to compare the effects of an existing reserve network on future parcel spatial locations and total cost. Using habitat and land value data from Josephine County, Oregon, it was found that a system of existing reserves created by various policies and overseen by different agencies can decrease future reserve compactness and contiguity, and increase total cost. This work suggests that coordinated planning can result in more efficient conservation efforts for less cost. 相似文献
35.
We propose a modelling framework for the design of a Pigouvian effluent tax, in an environmental management problem implicating
several economic agents located in a river basin. The proposed charging system allows for the agents' geographical position
relative to the river's sections, at which environmental standards are to be enforced, and takes into account the possible
different market structures within which the agents are operating. In particular, we consider industrial agents competing
on an oligopolistic market, and a set of farmers acting as price takers on a large market. A regional authority's goal is
to induce agents to some sort of cooperation which would result in the satisfaction of the common environmental constraints.
The economic process on one side, and the pollution transport and accumulation on the other, constitute two dynamic processes
in two different time scales. As the economic process is much slower than the other process we can neglect the latter's transients
and concentrate on the time invariant steady state solutions to the transportation equation. The model thus constructed has
some noncooperative game and optimal control problem's features with space being the ‘running’ variable.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
36.
本文讨论了水环境数学模型的选择及在水质管理规划中的使用方法,达到实用的目的.具有广泛的通用性和实用性. 相似文献
37.
Graef F Schmidt G Schröder W Stachow U 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2005,108(1-3):189-203
A representative environmental monitoring network at the regional scale cannot use raster-based or random sampling designs, but requires a stratified sampling procedure integrating different information layers, and it has to occur in ecologically differing homogeneous regions (ecoregions). These we have determined using a set of spatial strata with ecological variables which we analysed with classification and regression trees (CART). We present a framework for environmental monitoring, that covers different scales, and we transfer the framework to a potential GMO (genetically modified organisms) monitoring network. We use ecoregion and other environmental strata together with existing environmental monitoring networks to determine GMO monitoring sites more precisely. 相似文献
38.
Brock B. Bernstein Rainer Hoenicke Catherine Tyrell 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》1997,48(3):297-306
We present a planning framework that structures thelarge amount of interrelated information involved indeveloping regional monitoring programs. By regionalwe mean programs that recognize the importance ofprocesses that occur on larger geographic scales andthat cut across more than one ecosystem component. Theframework helps visualize functional relationshipsamong qualitative ingredients such as public concernsand more concrete details such as individual dataelements. It portrays the flow of information amongthe components of a regional program and ties eachaspect of the program to management decision-makingneeds. This makes it easier, during the planningprocess, to ensure that monitoring will actuallyproduce useful information. Further, the frameworksnovel, graphically oriented, and readily accessibleformat makes key information equally available to thewide range of participants (regulators, scientists,managers, public) whose input and support arenecessary for program success. 相似文献
39.
城市高架道路建设对机动车尾气污染的影响分析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
通过现场观测和对比,分析了城市一般道路上和城市高架道路下机动车排放污染物浓度差异的原因,分析结果表明,扩散条件对城市机动车尾气污染有着重要影响,例举日本对城市高架道路建设的有关规定,提出应重视城市高架道路建设的环境预评估等。 相似文献
40.
论区域环境规划的综合集成方法 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
区域环境是复杂的巨系统 ,在区域环境规划中必须采用综合集成的方法才能有效地解决各种问题。集成是一种有机的结合 ,提出了各环境规划要素集成的六种思路 ,并为六种集成的再度集成 ,提出了区域环境规划的综合集成环境规划室体系。 相似文献