福建中、东部沿海主要养殖贝类体重金属的含量与评价

根据2000年11月福建中、东部沿海养殖贝类体重金属的检测资料，分析了牡蛎、菲律宾蛤仔、缢蛏体内重金属的含量水平。结果表明；闽江口附近海域和兴化湾湾顶北部海域养殖的褶牡蛎，体内Zn和Cd的含量明显高于其他养殖区。文中对3种养殖贝类的重金属污染程度进行评价的结果表明：闽中、东沿海的养殖贝类基本未受重金属污染或属微污染水平。     

地震应急救援后勤保障质量评价体系的探讨

建立科学的地震应急救援后勤服务质量评价体系，客观评价地震应救援急后勤保障服务水平，是规范管理地震应急救援后勤保障质量的重要手段。本文提出在进行地震应急救援后勤保障质量评价时，调查项目必须根据地震现场后勤工作的需求特点合理设计，取样大小、统计方法必须科学规范。     

流域水质监测站对江河重大污染事故的应急监测措施的研究

流域水质监测站对发生在江河中的重大水质污染事故中承担着前哨的重要作用。因此，建立起江河重大污染事故的应急监测体系已迫在眉睫。本文结合多年来松花江水质监测的实际工作，对环境水质监测部门开展重大污染事故应急监测措施研究的必要性、应急监测工作必需的配置、预警监测断面在应急监测中的功能与作用等进行了较全面的论述。指出，应加大江河水环境监测的投入，切实加强水环境应急监测工作，尽快建成主要江河应急防控体系，提高江河重大污染事件的预警预测、监测、处置、后期评估等方面能力与水平。     

Global Biomass Energy Potential

The intensive use of renewable energy is one of the options to stabilize CO₂atmospheric concentration at levels of 350 to 550ppm. A recent evaluation of the global potential of primary renewable energy carried out by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) sets a value of at least 2800EJ/yr, which is more than the most energy-intensive SRES scenario forecast for the world energy requirement up to the year 2100. Nevertheless, what is really important to quantify is the amount of final energy since the use of renewable sources may involve conversion efficiencies, from primary to final energy, different from the ones of conventional energy sources. In reality, IPCC does not provide a complete account of the final energy from renewables, but the text claims that using several available options to mitigate climate change, and renewables is only one of them, it is possible to stabilize atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) concentration at a low level. In this paper, we evaluate in detail biomass primary and final energy using sugarcane crop as a proxy, since it is one of the highest energy density forms of biomass, and through afforestation/reforestation using a model presented in IPCC Second Assessment Report (SAR). The conclusion is that the primary-energy potential for biomass has been under-evaluated by many authors and by IPCC, and this under-evaluation is even larger for final energy since sugarcane allows co-production of electricity and liquid fuel. Regarding forests we reproduce IPCC results for primary energy and calculate final energy. Sugarcane is a tropical crop and cannot be grown in all the land area forecasted for biomass energy plantation in the IPCC/TAR evaluation (i.e. 1280Mha). Nevertheless, there are large expanses of unexploited land, mainly in Latin America and Africa that are subject to warm weather and convenient rainfall. With the use of 143Mha of these lands it is possible to produce 164EJ/yr (1147GJ/hayr or 3.6W/m²on average) of primary energy and 90EJ/yr of final energy in the form of liquid fuel (alcohol) and electricity, using agricultural productivities near the best ones already achievable and biomass gasification technology. More remarkable is that these results can be obtained with the operation of 4,000 production units with unitary capacity similar to the largest currently in operation. These units should be spread over the tropical land area yielding a plantation density similar to the one presently observed in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, where alcohol and electricity have been commercialized in a cost-effective way for several years. Such an amount of final energy would be sufficiently large to fulfill all the expected global increase in oil demand, as well as in electricity consumption by 2030, assuming the energy demand of such sources continues to grow at the same pace observed over the last two decades. When sugarcane crops are combined with afforestation/reforestation it is possible to show that carbon emissions decline for some IPCC SRES scenarios by 2030, 2040 and 2050. Such energy alternatives significantly reduce CO₂emissions by displacing fossil fuels and promote sustainable development through the creation of millions of direct and indirect jobs. Also, it opens an opportunity for negative CO₂emissions when coupled with carbon dioxide capture and storage.     

近岸水域船舶溢油应急保障能力评估

为了降低溢油事故对近岸水域造成的影响,提高近岸水域船舶溢油事故应急响应系统的能力,采用结构方程模型,评价船舶溢油应急保障能力。在分析近岸水域船舶溢油应急响应系统影响因素的基础上,构建了船舶溢油应急保障能力评价的指标体系,引入结构方程模型,建立船舶溢油应急保障能力分析的路径模型,分析应急保障变量之间的互动关系及其影响程度,研究其算法,并以实例验证模型的可行性。结果表明,人员保障在溢油应急保障能力中起主导作用,其次是物资保障和技术保障。     

补齐医疗废物和危险废物收集处理短板的思考和建议

为推动落实中共中央政治局会议提出的“加快补齐医疗废物、危险废物收集处理设施方面短板”有关指示精神,推进危险废物环境管理领域治理体系和治理能力现代化,结合全国医疗废物、危险废物环境管理情况以及新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情防控期间医疗废物应急处置情况,通过数据分析和政策文件系统梳理,识别出医疗废物、危险废物收集处置短板,并提出相应的对策建议.结果表明,目前仍存在医疗废物收集处置和管理有待加强、医疗废物应急处置能力薄弱、危险废物利用处置能力不匹配不均衡、集中处置区域合作和跨省（区、市）协同有待探索、处置产业有待升级发展等问题.建议编制实施全国医疗废物和危险废物收集处理设施建设规划,提升医疗废物环境管理和应急响应能力,提升医疗废物、危险废物调查评估和监管信息化能力,统筹建立健全多层次的危险废物处置设施体系,推动利用处置技术优化升级,通过加强顶层设计,聚焦重点领域,推进医疗废物危险废物补短板工作.      

密闭培养对纤细角毛藻稳定同位素组成的影响

为研究碳源对赤潮藻生长的影响,以赤潮藻纤细角毛藻（Chaetoceros gracilis）为研究对象,在密闭条件下进行培养,模拟赤潮发生时碳源缺乏的生长环境;分析碳源不足对纤细角毛藻不同生长阶段的差异影响,采用密闭培养的方法,分别在正常组和缺氮组的营养条件下培养纤细角毛藻,测定生物量、营养盐浓度和碳氮稳定同位素组成等重要监测指标.结果表明:不同营养条件对纤细角毛藻的生物量存在显著影响.在正常组,c（NO₃--N）（NO₃--N为硝酸盐）随着培养时间呈下降趋势,ρ（NO₂--N）（NO₂--N为亚硝酸盐）和ρ（NH₄+-N）（NH₄+-N为铵盐）与藻类生物量呈显著正相关,ρ（PO₄3--P）（PO₄3--P为磷酸盐）和c（SiO₄2--Si）（SiO₄2--Si为硅酸盐）与藻类生物量呈显著负相关;在缺氮组,c（NO₃--N）、ρ（NO₂--N）、ρ（NH₄+-N）、ρ（PO₄3--P）和c（SiO₄2--Si）均与藻类生物量呈显著负相关.整个试验周期中,正常组和缺氮组δ13C和δ15N值越来越正.其中,正常组的δ13C值比缺氮组的更正,平均高2.286‰;缺氮组的δ15N值比正常组的更正,平均高3.307‰.正常组和缺氮组的δ13C、δ15N值与生物量均呈显著正相关.研究显示,碳源和氮源的不足分别会导致更正的δ13C和δ15N值,推测赤潮发生会导致δ13C和δ15N值偏正,赤潮藻的碳氮稳定同位素组成可以作为赤潮监测的指标和方法.      

情景构建理论沿革及其对我国应急管理工作的启示

20世纪70年代,情景构建作为一种风险管理工具进入民防和应急管理实践者的视野,并逐步成为西方发达国家开展应急准备的核心策略,德国、英国、丹麦、荷兰等国家的风险评估规范均对情景构建这种方法给予了标准化要求。作为风险分析和应急准备工作的重要支撑策略,情景构建对我国当下的应急管理工作具有重要意义。首先,情景构建可以推进我国相关主体开展扎实的风险分析和风险沟通工作;其次,情景构建为相关主体提供了一种基于“风险”驱动的应急能力建设路径;最后,情景构建为当下改革阶段的应急管理机制建设提供了一种策略和方法。     

我国应急公共投入若干问题研究

为进一步提升我国应急公共投入对应急管理工作的保障作用,首先,通过查阅我国应急公共投入在筹集、管理、使用等环节中的数据,发现存在政府间责任不清、财政投入总量偏小、监督评价机制缺位等问题;其次,以习近平总书记关于应急管理的重要论述为指引,探讨构建“政府主导,责任共担,强化监管”的应急公共投入新机制;最后,针对上述问题,根据应急公共投入新机制,提出加强我国应急公共投入保障和管理的具体对策和建议。     

现阶段我国地震应急技术框架分析及评价

破坏性地震发生后,快速高效地开展地震应急工作离不开地震应急技术的基础支撑。为进一步掌握我国地震应急技术现状,持续增强我国应急能力,通过梳理现阶段我国地震应急指挥、地震烈度调查与损失评估、地震现场流动监测3大技术系统,从技术构成、技术功能、存在问题等方面探讨我国现有地震应急技术。结果表明:现阶段我国的地震应急技术发展显著,但仍存在不足和薄弱环节,标准化、智能化、综合化或将成为新方向。