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71.
This paper seeks to understand evacuation behaviour in a case of spontaneous evacuation. During the Second Lebanon War of 2006, more than one‐third of residents in north Israel spontaneously evacuated—the remainder stayed in situ. Using a telephone survey of 665 respondents residing in north Israel, we were able to characterise the behaviour of evacuees and non‐evacuees. The main reasons cited for evacuating were fear of injury to self or family, the effect on children, inability to remain in a protective space, and family pressure. The main reasons cited for remaining at home were no suitable alternative, did not perceive a high level of danger, had to go to work, and there is no place like home. There were no significant differences with regard to most socio‐demographic characteristics of the population. These findings should aid emergency managers in preparing the population for a future emergency and in engaging in effective dialogue with the population during an emergency on the evacuation option. 相似文献
72.
纵向通风隧道内火灾温度场分布规律研究 总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2
以狮子洋水下特长隧道为工程背景,利用CFD数值模拟软件FDS 4.01,建立隧道实体物理模型,进行火灾数值模拟分析。研究了列车火灾热释放功率为15 MW、不同坡度、不同纵向通风风速下,该类隧道内拱顶附近和2 m高处温度场的纵向分布规律,以及各工况下拱顶的最高温度,并分析其对隧道结构防火和人员疏散救援的影响。结果表明:随隧道坡度的增大,在同一通风速率下的烟气回流长度逐渐减小,但随着风速的加大,坡度对烟气回流的影响逐渐减弱;随着通风风速的增大,火区附近的温度下降,而沿程温度上升,纵向通风速率越大,拱顶温度越低。 相似文献
73.
为在宿舍发生火灾时给疏散人员提供最优的人群疏散方案,提高抢险救灾能力,将疏散过程分为两个阶段--学生发现火灾离开宿舍向走廊疏散,再由走廊向两端的出口疏散.综合考虑社会力因素,将优势方向权重算法与偏向随机行走格子气模型结合建模,对宿舍不同人数进行模拟,并通过Anylogic进行仿真计算.结果表明,格子气模型和优势方向权重算法能够真实模拟宿舍火灾疏散场景. 相似文献
74.
75.
本文结合生态旅游讨论一个水库风景区的景观规划创意,从生态规划角度对人与环境的共生主题进行探讨,突出水域生态资源与环境保护可持续发展这一中心,提倡规划项目与时代需要的深入结合,并在具体规划中关注人与环境的共生性问题。 相似文献
76.
毒气泄漏事故在高含硫气田及化工园区频繁发生,一旦发生事故,周边公众迅速进行疏散是应急的首要任务。我国很多地区制定了疏散方案,但是如何评估疏散的安全性和可行性,是亟待解决的问题。分析了我国泄漏事故特点和周边居民情况,对以往评估方法缺陷进行了剖析,提出基于动态毒性负荷分析的安全疏散评估方法。该方法在毒气扩散的精确3d模拟及疏散模拟的基础上,用差分法对人员行走过程中的毒性负荷Pc进行的计算,最终得出相应的致死概率Pr,并通过一个实例验证该方法的可行性。结果表明,运用该方法能够详尽、准确规划疏散区域、搬迁区域和避难区域。 相似文献
77.
王若成 《中国安全生产科学技术》2014,10(12):62-66
为了提出一种新的量化人员疏散瓶颈的识别方法。以某地铁站为例,运用EVACNET4模型软件,模拟该地铁站发生火灾等事故时,人群的疏散情况,采用网络结构效益与结构重要度结合的方法查找疏散过程中的瓶颈所在,通过计算疏散瓶颈的结构重要度,将各瓶颈按其对车站安全疏散的影响程度排序,找出瓶颈制约点。结果表明:地铁站内的自动扶梯的开闭状态对疏散时间的影响很大,在发生火灾等特殊事件时应将自动扶梯停止运行,当作楼梯使用。同时,闸机的开闭状态也会影响疏散时间,但只要保障疏散过程中闸机可用,人员均能在规定的时间内完成疏散。通过对比分析门扉式闸机和三杆门式闸机的优劣,在建设地铁时,主要应以门扉式闸机为检票通道。 相似文献
78.
A traditional view of decision‐making for evacuation planning is that, given an uncertain threat, there is a deterministic way of defining the best decision. In other words, there is a linear relation between threat, decision, and execution consequences. Alternatives and the impact of uncertainties are not taken into account. This study considers the ‘top strategic decision‐making’ for mass evacuation owing to flooding in the Netherlands. It reveals that the top strategic decision‐making process itself is probabilistic because of the decision‐makers involved and their crisis managers (as advisers). The paper concludes that deterministic planning is not sufficient, and it recommends probabilistic planning that considers uncertainties in the decision‐making process itself as well as other uncertainties, such as forecasts, citizens responses, and the capacity of infrastructure. This results in less optimistic, but more realistic, strategies and a need to pay attention to alternative strategies. 相似文献
79.
Pharmacokinetics of [14C]-atrazine in rhesus monkeys,single-dose intravenous and oral administration
This is the first study regarding the pharmacokinetics of [14C]-atrazine conducted with rhesus monkeys. The animals received one dose (0.25 mg) intravenously (IV) or three doses (1, 10, or 100 mg) orally. Plasma, urine, and feces were collected at defined times up to 7 days post-dosing. Sample radioactivity was measured to determine the mass equivalent. IV administered [14C]-atrazine disappeared rapidly from blood, with an elimination half-life of about 5.5 ± 1.1 h. The pharmacokinetic profiles of [14C]-atrazine following oral administration at the three dose levels show that kinetic parameters such as AUC and C max are linearly correlated with the dose. Seven days after dosing, urinary and fecal excretion of [14C]-atrazine reached 99% of total administered dose in the IV group and 91–95% in the three oral dose groups. In the IV-administered monkeys, approximately 85% of the dose was excreted in urine and 12% in feces. In three oral dose groups, urinary and fecal radioactivity recoveries approximated 57% and 21%, 58% and 25%, and 53% and 35%, respectively. More than 50% of the total urinary excreted radioactivity was found within the first 24 h after dosing. In conclusion, the principal elimination of [14C]-atrazine, IV and orally administered, is via urine. The oral bioavailability was 60% or higher. There was a significant linear correlation between administered oral dose and plasma concentration. Overall oral dose accountability ranged from 91% to 95%. Data generated may be useful in the risk assessment of human exposure to environmental atrazine contamination. 相似文献
80.