环境水动力数值模拟的研究现状与展望

水动力数值模拟为水环境中污染物的迁移转化提供了重要的背景。水动力数值模拟的发展经历了数值计算、单因素模拟、多因素模拟3个阶段。本文在分析了环境水动力数值模拟的发展过程与研究现状的基础上,结合当前学科发展动态,预测了其未来研究的主要方向。     

EVALUATION OF PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTIONS IN PRECIPITATION MODELS FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST1

ABSTRACT: Recent work has found that a one-parameter Weibull model of wet day precipitation amount based on the Weibull distribution provides a better fit to historical daily precipitation data for eastern U.S. sites than other one-parameter models. The general two-parameter Weibull distribution was compared in this study to other widely used distributions for describing the distribution of daily precipitation event sizes at 99 sites from the U.S. Pacific Northwest. Surprisingly little performance was sacrificed by reducing the two-parameter Weibull to a single-parameter distribution. Advantages of the single-parameter model included requiring only the mean wet day precipitation amount for calibration, invertibility for simulation purposes, and ease of analytical manipulation. The fit of the single-parameter Weibull to the 99 stations included in this study was significantly better than other single-parameter models tested, and performed as well as the widely endorsed, more cumbersome, two-parameter gamma model. Both the one-and two-parameter Weibull distributions are shown to have b-moments that are consistent with historical precipitation data, while the ratio of b-skew and b-variance in the gamma model is inconsistent with the historical recerd by this measure. In addition, it was found that the two-parameter gamma distribution was better fit using the method of moments estimators than maximum likelihood estimates. These findings suggested that the distribution in precipitation among sites in the Pacific Northwest with dramatically different settings are nearly identical if expressed in proportion to the mean site event size.     

LARGE AREA HYDROLOGIC MODELING AND ASSESSMENT PART II: MODEL APPLICATION1

ABSTRACT: This paper describes the application of a river basin scale hydrologic model (described in Part I) to Richland and Chambers Creeks watershed (RC watershed) in upper Trinity River basin in Texas. The inputs to the model were accumulated from hydro-graphic and geographic databases and maps using a raster-based GIS. Available weather data from 12 weather stations in and around the watershed and stream flow data from two USGS stream gauge station for the period 1965 to 1984 were used in the flow calibration and validation. Sediment calibration was carried out for the period 1988 through 1994 using the 1994 sediment survey data from the Richland-Chambers lake. Sediment validation was conducted on a subwatershed (Mill Creek watershed) situated on Chambers Creek of the RC watershed. The model was evaluated by well established statistical and visual methods and was found to explain at least 84 percent and 65 percent of the variability in the observed stream flow data for the calibration and validation periods, respectively. In addition, the model predicted the accumulated sediment load within 2 percent and 9 percent from the observed data for the RC watershed and Mill Creek watershed, respectively.     

LARGE AREA HYDROLOGIC MODELING AND ASSESSMENT PART I: MODEL DEVELOPMENT1

ABSTRACT: A conceptual, continuous time model called SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) was developed to assist water resource managers in assessing the impact of management on water supplies and nonpoint source pollution in watersheds and large river basins. The model is currently being utilized in several large area projects by EPA, NOAA, NRCS and others to estimate the off-site impacts of climate and management on water use, non-point source loadings, and pesticide contamination. Model development, operation, limitations, and assumptions are discussed and components of the model are described. In Part II, a GIS input/output interface is presented along with model validation on three basins within the Upper Trinity basin in Texas.     

城市地下水流场人工调控与减灾方案

以郑州市为例,针对城市区域长期过量开采地下水导致的一系列严重的环境地质灾害,诸如地下水水位持续下降形成区域地下水降落漏斗并不断扩张、含水层疏干、供水井吊泵、泉水断流、地下建筑工程浸没、地面沉降和塌陷等,探讨了城市地下水流场人工调控的减灾方案。建立了地下水系统的准三维动态数值仿真模型,以非均质各向同性渗流模型仿真地下水流,用不规则三角网格有限差分法求解了三维数值仿真模型。先解逆问题反求参数,再解正问题计算地下水各项资源量,数值仿真预报地下水渗流场至１９９８年。在此基础上,通过地下水渗流场的宏观调控与优化管理,使研究区内不合理开采地下水资源所引发的环境灾害减小到最低程度,为郑州市的环境减灾工作提供了科学依据。     

可压密煤层瓦斯运移方程与数值模拟研究

建立了非均质可压密煤层瓦斯运移方程和数值模拟方程,通过计算机数值模拟解,并运用相似理论,得到了煤层瓦斯压力分布曲线和煤（孔）壁瓦斯涌出衰减曲线方程。采掘面围岩中的集中应力峰值点存在高瓦斯压力和压力梯度,克林伯格效应和煤体排放瓦斯后的应力释放对钻孔瓦斯流量有明显的增长作用     

EVALUATION OF CURVE NUMBER PROCEDURES TO PREDICT RUNOFF IN GLEAMS1

ABSTRACT: Proper selection of curve number values will improve the capability of the SCS-Curve Number procedure in predicting runoff. Both CREAMS and GLEAMS models use the Smith and Williams (1980) approach of converting CNII (curve number value for average antecedent moisture conditions) into CNI (curve number value for dry antecedent moisture conditions) in calculating the soil retention parameter (S). CREAMS and GLEAMS have been found to under predict runoff because of the internal conversion of CNII to CNI. This study shows modifications of the GLEAMS model using CMI without converting it to CM and it also shows the seasonal curve number approaches with and without converting CNII to CNI. Results indicate that using CNII without internal conversion to CNI provides better runoff and erosion predictions than the original version of GLEAMS and versions with seasonal curve numbers when tested with four years of field data in the Coastal Plain physiographic region of Maryland.     

MODEL ACCURACY IN SNOWMELT-RUNOFF FORECASTS EXTENDING FROM 1 TO 20 DAYS1

ABSTRACT: This paper examines the performance of snowmelt-runoff models in conditions approximating real-time forecast situations. These tests are one part of an intercomparison of models recently conducted by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Daily runoff from the Canadian snowmelt basin Illecille. waet (1155 km², 509–3150 m a.s.l.) was forecast for 1 to 20 days ahead. The performance of models was better than in a previous WMO project, which dealt with runoff simulations from historical data, for the following reasons: (1) conditions for models were more favorable than a real-time forecast situation because measured input data and not meteorological forecast inputs were distributed to the modelers; (2) the selected test basin was relatively easy to handle and familiar from the previous WMO project; and (3) all kinds of updating were allowed so that some models even improved their accuracy towards longer forecast times. Based on this experience, a more realistic follow-up project can be imagined which would include temperature forecasts and quantitative precipitation forecasts instead of measured data.     

PREDICTING TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL FLOOD DYNAMICS USING A PRECALIBRATED MODEL1

ABSTRACT: A large storm in December 1990 allowed the evaluation of flood predictions from a hydrologic model (TOPMODEL) that had been previously calibrated on the West Fork of Walker Branch Watershed, a gauged 37.5 ha catchment near Oak Ridge, Tennessee. The model predicts both hydrograph dynamics and the spatial distribution of overland flow using an index based on topography. Maximum extent of overland flow during the storm was determined from patterns of leaf litter removal from valley bottoms. Both the flood hydrograph and the extent of overland flow were accurately predicted using model parameters obtained from a three-month period of normal flow conditions during 1983.     

微重条件下非稳态燃烧过程的数值模拟

在建立气固相界面耦合燃烧理论模型的基础上，对微重条件下火焰在固相材料表面的蔓延进行了三维非稳态数值模拟，模型中考虑了气相燃烧过程、固相的热解和传热过程，给出了相界面的处理方法。不同算例的计算研究了环境氧浓度、环境压力对微重火蔓延的影响，并与正常重力条件下的计算结果进行了分析对比．结果基本合理。