白酒厂类火灾高危单位消防安全评估及应用

白酒厂属于典型的甲乙类火灾高危单位,具有火灾风险高、火灾扑救难度大、火灾造成伤亡大等特点。以白酒厂类火灾高危单位为研究对象,针对酒厂酒库、原酒车间、成品库、包装车间、包装材料库、办公楼等重点部位,通过深入调研,采用安全检查表法分析某白酒厂存在的火灾安全隐患及安全管理的薄弱环节,用层次分析法建立了该白酒厂的消防安全评估指标体系,主要包括建筑火灾风险、消防救援力量和消防给水几个方面。采用专家打分法赋予评估指标权重,并根据风险等级划分得出该酒厂的整体火灾风险评估等级,进而评判该酒厂的安全状况,针对存在的火灾隐患及薄弱环节采取有针对性的预防措施和有重点的整改管理,保障其安全生产。     

基于物元分析法的古建筑火灾风险评价

古建筑火灾风险评估是突发事件应对中"关口前移"的体现,以物元分析法为基础提出了古建筑火灾风险评价的物元模型,并对某世界名镇内古建筑进行风险评估。首先,在火灾风险影响因素的事故树分析基础上,选取能够反映古建筑火灾风险特性的51个指标作为评价指标体系;其次,建立古建筑火灾风险评价的物元模型;最后,根据实地调研数据进行标准化赋值,实现对古建筑火灾风险的定量化评价,通过评价方法对比验证了模型有效性和先进性。结果表明,所评价建筑的总体关联度系数为-0.248,四项"优秀"级别指标关联度分别为-0.129、-0.183、-0.211、-0.216,两项"较差"级别指标关联度为0.025、-0.016,表明所评价建筑火灾风险等级的显性结果为"优秀"级别,但隐性结果为"良好+"级别,火灾风险等级潜在提升能力较强。     

经手口途径摄入室内含PAHs灰尘颗粒的致癌风险评价

为了探究经手口途径摄入被PAHs污染室内灰尘的致癌风险,构建了居民经手口途径摄入被污染室内灰尘颗粒的概率风险模型,运用蒙特卡罗模拟方法评价了中国上海地区居民由PAHs引起的致癌风险,分析了致癌风险的主要来源及手口途径中各参数的重要程度。结果表明:幼儿和儿童所承受的风险最大,婴儿和成年人次之,青少年和老年人较小;对于致癌风险,幼儿和儿童超过10-6的概率都为80%,但超过10-4的概率都小于5%,婴儿和成年人超过10-6的概率都为50%,但婴儿超过10-4的概率小于5%,成年人的小于0.1%,青少年和老年人超过10-6的概率分别为10%和15%,不会高于10-4;室内硬表面灰尘引起的致癌风险远大于软表面灰尘引起的致癌风险;与致癌风险相关性最大的因素为灰尘颗粒中PAHs的等效斜率、灰尘在室内软硬表面的浓度、手到口途径发生的频率和颗粒物从手掌皮肤表面到口腔的转移率。     

污染场地总石油类馏分分段法风险评估

在对某汽车工业污染场地开展土壤与地下水环境调查的基础上,根据《污染场地风险评估技术导则》中的推荐模型,采用馏分分段法对总石油类进行风险评估研究。结果表明,1)该场地主要污染物为总石油类,土壤污染物中C12~C16脂肪烃的非致癌危害商在敏感用地和非敏感用地两种用地方式下均大于1,地下水污染物中C8~C10脂肪烃、C12~C16脂肪烃、C16~C21脂肪烃、C21~C34脂肪烃、C21~C35芳香烃的非致癌危害商在两种用地方式下均远大于1;2)敏感用地方式下,土壤中总石油类的修复限值为1 023.92mg/kg,地下水中总石油类的修复限值为1.805 mg/L;3)非敏感用地方式下,土壤中总石油类修复限值为3 292.92 mg/kg,地下水中总石油类的修复限值为11.457 mg/L。     

Powered two-wheeler riders' risk of crashes associated with filtering on urban roads

Objective: The objective of this study is to estimate the crash risk per kilometer traveled by powered two-wheeler (PTW) riders filtering through traffic on urban roads.

Methods: Using the traffic injury crashes recorded by the police over a period of 3 years on 14 sections of urban roads in the city of Marseille, France, and a campaign of observations of PTWs, the crash risk per kilometer traveled by PTWs filtering was estimated and compared to the risk of PTWs that did not filter.

Results: The results show that the risk of PTW riders being involved in injury crashes while filtering is significantly higher than the risk for riders who do not filter. For the 14 sections studied, it is 3.94 times greater (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.63, 5.89). This excess risk occurred for all PTW categories. Furthermore, no space appears to be safer than the others for filtering. Riders filtering forward along the axis of the carriageway, along bus lanes, or between traffic lanes (lane-splitting) all have a crash risk greater than the risk of those who do not filter.

Conclusions: All measures limiting the practice of filtering by PTWs on urban roads would probably contribute to improving the safety of their users.     

乙二胺四乙酸项目环境风险评价实例分析与探讨

环境风险评价是环境影响评价领域的一个新课题,20世纪80年代以来,发达国家就将环境风险评价纳入环境管理的范畴,环境风险评价已成为可能发生事故危险的建设项目环境影响评价中重要而不可缺少的组成部分。由于乙二胺四乙酸生产所用原料都具有一定毒害特性,故对具有发生潜在事故风险的乙二胺四乙酸建设项目,其潜在风险事故发生的可能性及其影响后果在环境风险评价中均应得到反映。本文以某拟建乙二胺四乙酸项目为例,分析乙二胺四乙酸项目环境风险评价。     

Sensitivity of green and blue-green algae to methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) during a fifteen-day test

The test was designed to assess the toxicity of methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) to Chlorella ellipsoidea and Aphanizomenon flos-aquae during 15 d with concentrations of MTBE from high (2.00×104 mg/L) to low (2 mg/L). The results showed that the toxicity was low when the concentration of MTBE was 1.00×104-2.00×104 mg/L (the greatest inhibition of growth-rate was 70%-71%, occurring on day 1-5). Low concentrations (2-500 mg/L) stimulated algal growth up to the greatest effect of 85%-200% when the concentration of MTBE was 50-100 mg/L on day 3-5. The low concentrations may lead to an algal bloom owing to overabundance, which represents an aquatic ecological risk. However, the stimulatory effect occurred only during the day 1-5 and disappeared gradually during the day 13-15. The toxicity of MTBE (72-120 h EC50) is 6.65×103-9.58×103 mg/L for C. ellipsoidea and that is 1.14×104-2.00×104 mg/L for A. spiroides. We found that the toxicity and ecological risk of MTBE for the algal community structure were low. The toxicity was influenced by the duration of the test. We suggest that the duration of the test should not be shorter than half a life-cycle.     

某水源地四氯化碳人体健康风险评价动态分析

四氯化碳是地下水中常见的有机污染物,文章针对某市南区供水水源地岩溶地下水遭受四氯化碳污染的情况,对供水区人群通过食入和皮肤接触四氯化碳从而对人体健康可能造成的影响进行了风险评价,并分析了该地区多年来健康风险的动态变化。结果显示从2001～2007年供水区人群风险指数整体呈下降趋势,四氯化碳污染所带来的健康危害逐渐减弱。距污染源最近的X-49井是存在风险最大的水井,非致癌指数最高为10.2,致癌指数最高为5.29×10-4,均超过规定标准。     

珠江口地区表层水中氯酚化合物污染研究

采用固相微萃取、气-质联用方法,测定分析了珠江口、横门水道及鱼塘表层水中氯酚(CPs)的污染特征。结果显示:USEPA优先控制的四种CPs类化合物在珠江口地区水体中检出率达到98.75%,不同水体氯酚污染程度由高到低的顺序为横门水道>珠江口>鱼塘。参照有关标准,珠江口地区CPs残留水平对环境及人类生活产生危害的风险可能性较低。多元回归分析表明,铁、锰总含量与总CPs和PCP含量存在显著负相关。