基于分形理论的中国原油管道网络结构研究

为深入分析全国及各区域原油管网的结构与布局,揭示其空间结构特征,论文运用分形理论的三种维数:加权长度-半径维数、分枝-半径维数和关联维数,分别从密度、连通性及通达性研究了全国及各区域原油管网。研究结果表明:全国原油管网的密度和连通性均存在明显的东西分异特征,密度自东向西呈"线状-散点"的下降形态,连通性自东向西呈"散点-线状"的升高形态,而通达性则普遍较低;对各区域来说,东北、华北和华东等东部管网除连通性较低外,其他分形指标相对较高;西北管网的密度、通达性均不如东部,而且其新疆管网的连通性数值超过2,是不正常的连通结构;华南管网的多数分形指标均低于其他地区,其管网结构雏形尚未形成。     

环境因素对纳米二氧化钛颗粒在水体中沉降性能的影响

纳米二氧化钛进入水体环境后,其存在形态可能受离子强度、pH和溶解性有机质的影响,进而影响其生态风险.因此,本文考察了纳米二氧化钛颗粒在不同环境条件下的沉降性能.结果显示,纳米二氧化钛在水体中聚集程度与体系的pH值有关,pH值偏离颗粒的等电点时,颗粒的表面电位越高,越不容易聚集;水体离子强度的增加可促进纳米颗粒聚集,而水体中广泛存在的溶解性有机质可使纳米二氧化钛颗粒在水中的稳定性增强,这与颗粒表面的扩散双电层和空间位阻的变化有关.通过对不同来源溶解性有机质的结构进行分析发现,溶解性有机质中所含的芳香性结构对颗粒稳定性的影响大于脂肪烃结构.纳米二氧化钛颗粒可在自然水体中迁移,不易沉降,因此,其对水生生态系统的影响不容忽视.     

基于灰色理论的民航燃油消耗量预测模型及应用

民航运输中燃油消耗量的精确预测对能源需求的科学规划和决策具有重要参考价值,针对民航燃油消耗量历史数据少的特点,通过灰色系统建模、关联度分析以及残差辨识,建立了民航燃油消耗量的灰色预测模型,以均方差比值和小误差概率两项评级指标,将预测结果与精度检验等级的对比分析表明灰色预测民航燃油消耗量的拟合精度高,预测结果较为可靠。     

论环境法目的的实现路径——法律工程研究的进路

环境法学研究过程中的"泛道德化"现象十分普遍,这种现象的存在一方面与环境法实践相脱节,另一方面,环境法理论建构中所依托的各种道德理论本身也难以保证长久的科学性,故以道德分析为环境法逻辑起点产生的"创新性"理论在诞生之时就可能"先天不足"。因而有必要从法律实证主义的角度进行研究,避免以道德诉求作为分析起点,在明确环境法价值、理想目标的基础上,坚持法律工程研究的进路,从"环境损害"这一环境法学的逻辑起点入手,运用法律规划理论,对预期社会效用的实现进行理论体系建构,进而为环境法目的的实现路径作出可操作性论证。     

Gatekeeping and Communities in Energy Transition: A Study of the Block Island Wind Farm

ABSTRACT

The Block Island Wind Farm (BIWF) is the first offshore wind farm in the United States. Using gatekeeping theory as a framework, this research analyzes local and regional/national newspaper coverage of the BIWF paying particular attention to the use of sources. The data suggest that the differences between newspaper source usage from 1 January 2008 to 1 July 2017 is minimal. However, business sources appeared more than any other group, including government sources, which is a new finding. The prevalence of business sources leads to important questions about the role of businesses in shaping narratives about community transitions to renewable energy systems.     

Green supplier selection generic framework: a multi-attribute utility theory approach

This paper presents a generic framework integrating environmental and social criteria leading to a comprehensive selection process of green suppliers. Traditionally, price, quality, lead time and flexibility are considered for the supplier selection. With the increase in awareness of environmental and social responsibility issues, many companies are tending towards adopting green concepts and sourcing green suppliers. This study proposes a framework consisting of environmental (E), green (G) and organisational (O) factors that are required for the green supplier selection process. These factors are further classified as criteria for which attributes are presented. A hierarchy is constructed to facilitate in evaluating the importance of the selected criteria and alternatives of green suppliers. To cater to the multi-criteria decision-making approach with both quantitative and qualitative attributes, we applied the multiple attribute utility theory, which is a decision support that helps managers formulating viable sourcing strategies. A hypothetical example is presented to illustrate the applicability of the approach.     

Typifying conservation practitioners’ views on the role of education

Education is an established tool to enhance human–environment relationships, despite the lack of empirical evidence to support its use. We used theories of change to unpack assumptions about the role of education in conservation. We interviewed practitioners from 15 conservation organizations in Madagascar to typify implicit pathways of change and assess whether emerging pathways echo theoretical advances. Five pathways were drivers of change: increasing knowledge, changing emotional connection and changing traditional cultural practices, fostering leaders, diversifying outcomes, and influencing community and society. These pathways reflect existing sociopsychological theories on learning and behavioral change. Most interviewees’ organizations had a predominant pathway that was often combined with elements from other pathways. Most pathways lacked culturally grounded approaches. Our research reveals assumptions about the role of education in conservation and indicates that organizations had different ideas of how change happens. The diversity of practices reflects the complexity of factors that influence behavior. Whether this diversity is driven by local sociocultural context, interaction with other conservation approaches, or contingencies remains unclear. Yet, typifying the pathways of change and reflecting on them is the first step towards comprehensive evaluation of when and which pathways and interactions to promote.     

基于多维云模型的埋地并行油气管道风险评价研究*

为提高风险评价准确性以有效支撑管道完整性维护,保证油气管道在多管并行敷设下安全运行,提出1种基于博弈论-多维云模型的风险评价方法。首先,从并行间距、土壤压实度、土壤导热系数、介质流速、管径、埋深、应急响应时间、上下游截断阀间距等方面建立并行管道风险评价指标体系,为降低传统赋权方法的主观性,通过结合熵权法改进层次分析法（AHP）,从而确定主客观权重,再经博弈论组合赋权法综合计算指标权重;其次,运用多维云模型理论确定风险等级,通过修正各风险评分项的等级区间结合指标权重,计算出各级的综合确定度,并进行等级评判;最后,将该方法应用于工程实例。研究结果表明:所评价管段的指标风险处于中等风险水平,风险可接受,管段的整体风险评价结果良好,有利于并行管道安全管理;实例证明该评价方法具有较好的适用性。     

不同水力扰动强度对老化PSMPs在泥水两相间迁移的影响

以太湖为研究对象,针对老化聚苯乙烯微塑料（PSMPs）,探讨了水力扰动强度对PSMPs在泥水两相间的迁移过程,并通过FTIR和SEM-EDS等微观表征手段对PSMPs的形貌和元素等进行表征.结果发现,扰动条件下(55r·min^-1和120r·min^-1),上覆水中悬浮物（SS）和PSMPs均高于对照实验.这是缘于无扰动条件下,PSMPs受浮力影响,团聚在水面.在低强度(55r·min^-1)扰动下,上覆水中SS和PSMPs分别为（264.67±16.01）mg·L^-1和（239.67±6.51）n·mL^-1,而高强度(120r·min^-1)扰动下,上覆水中SS和PSMPs分别为（264.67±16.01）mg·L^-1和（239.67±6.51）n·mL^-1.在底泥中,PSMPs分别为（491.00±23.46）mg·L^-1和2.00n·mL^-1.且根据SEM-EDS分析,...     

Applying the multi-level perspective on socio-technical transitions to rentier states: the case of renewable energy transitions in Nigeria

Although numerous studies have been conducted in recent years on energy transitions, they have been predominately developed and applied in industrialized countries. It is however important to examine the applicability of transition theories, as they are currently formulated, beyond OECD countries. This paper analyses renewable energy transitions in Africa, using Nigeria as a case study, to elucidate the analytical and methodological challenges that sustainability transition studies are facing in developing countries, particularly rentier states. In doing so, the paper employs the lens of the multi-level perspective (MLP) on socio-technical transitions - a well-established theory that emphasizes the role of ‘niches’, ‘regimes’ and ‘landscapes’ in instituting transitions. Based on a detailed analysis of Nigeria, we argue for a more nuanced enquiry of the construct ‘regime’ that better accounts for the rentier character of the state including the role of political elites and prevalent client-patron relationships. As such, our paper makes an important contribution to the further refinement and enrichment of the MLP by focusing on the political dimensions of energy transitions.