考虑提示学习的洪涝灾害应急决策自动问答模型研究

为提高洪涝灾害应急处置时效性和科学性,构建洪涝灾害应急决策自动问答系统模型,以提高应急指挥团队的决策效率,在分析洪涝灾害应急决策逻辑基础上,以摘要式问答为任务框架,收集整理包含洪涝灾害应急情景和应急决策的摘要式问答对数据集,建立可用于问答生成的GPT2预训练语言模型,并引入提示学习(Prompt-learning),通过自动创建连续型前缀提示(Prompt),优化少量连续参数,缓解问答对数据较少带来的过拟合风险,利用人工评估和自动评估2种方法验证模型的有效性。研究结果表明：通过GPT2与提示学习相结合建立的自动问答模型,可根据洪涝灾害情景生成语言质量良好及决策信息丰富的答案,有利于提高洪涝灾害应急处置中的科学决策能力。     

The change of European landscapes: human-nature relationships, public attitudes towards rewilding, and the implications for landscape management in Switzerland

The rewilding of landscapes is one of the most important and intensively discussed landscape changes occurring in Switzerland, as the need for agricultural and forest land is decreasing. To ensure that decisions concerning future landscape management will be supported by the public, it is crucial to take public opinion into account. Hence the present study aims to assess the public attitudes towards nature and "rewilding" processes. In order to analyze these attitudes, we sent a standardized questionnaire to 4000 randomly selected households throughout Switzerland. A cluster analysis led to a typology with four different types of human-nature relationship ("nature lovers", "nature sympathizers", "nature-connected users" and "nature controllers") that each characterize a particular attitude towards nature. These human-nature relationship types differ in their attitudes towards rewilding as well, allowing a rough classification of the sample into wilderness opponents (51.1%) and wilderness proponents (49.9%). However both groups agree with regard to their opinion concerning the rules and regulations that should apply in future wilderness areas. The parallels of the human-nature relationship typology of this survey with other typologies, and the implications for further research are discussed. We can conclude that, due to the differences concerning the attitudes towards wilderness between the human-nature relationship types, between the rural and urban dwellers, and between the language regions, a uniform strategy for the designation and management of wilderness areas in Switzerland is not possible. We recommend that, when managing landscape change, all stakeholders are included in a participatory process and we advise a thorough assessment of the attitudes of the involved persons towards nature and rewilding at the start of such processes. Such an assessment would facilitate the identification of well-defined target groups allowing specific interventions and management actions customized to the needs and characteristics of each of these groups. In addition we see the commonalities between wilderness opponents and wilderness proponents concerning the rules in wilderness areas as an ideal starting point for a successful participatory process.     

环境高校图书馆人员的在职教育

由于环境科学迅速发展,环境图书激增,环境高等教育也在快速发展,而环境高校大部分图书馆人员没有经过环境专业教育,因此环境高校图书馆人员在职教育很有必要;其主要方式有学历教育、函授教育、岗位培训、专项教育与自学;其重点内容是环境科学,还包括其他相关学科、现代技术、语言工具等.     

Linguistic diversity and conservation opportunities at UNESCO World Heritage Sites in Africa

Africa contains much of Earth's biological and cultural–linguistic diversity, but conserving this diversity is enormously challenging amid widespread poverty, expanding development, social unrest, and rapidly growing human population. We examined UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization) Natural World Heritage Sites (WHSs) on continental Africa and nearby islands—48 protected areas containing globally important natural or combined natural and cultural resources—to gauge the potential for enlisting Indigenous peoples in their conservation. We used geographic information system technology to identify instances where Natural WHSs co-occur with Indigenous languages, a key indicator of cultural diversity. And, we compared the geographic ranges for 4 taxa and selected freshwater species with occurrence of all Indigenous languages within Natural WHSs and subsections of WHSs covered by the geographic extent of Indigenous languages to measure the correlation between linguistic and biological diversity. Results indicated that 147 languages shared at least part of their geographic extent with Natural WHSs. Instances of co-occurrence where a WHS, a language, or both were endangered marked localities particularly deserving conservation attention. We examined co-occurrence of all languages and all species, all languages and endangered species, and endangered languages and endangered species and found a correlation between linguistic and biological diversity that may indicate fundamental links between these very different measures of diversity. Considering only endangered species or endangered languages and species reduced that correlation, although considerable co-occurrence persisted. Shared governance of government-designated reserves is applicable for natural WHSs because it capitalizes on the apparent connection between culture and nature. Natural WHSs in Africa containing speakers of Indigenous languages present opportunities to conserve both nature and culture in highly visible settings where maintaining natural systems may rely on functioning Indigenous cultural systems and vice versa.     

GIS环境下流域降雨侵蚀动态模拟研究——以PCRaster系统和LISEM模型为例

本文结合ＧＩＳ和流域土壤侵蚀模型,对流域单次降雨侵蚀过程进行动态模拟研究。首先概述土壤侵蚀模型与ＧＩＳ结合的三种方式和特点;其次介绍地理信息系统ＰＣＲａｓｔｅｒ 的空间动态模型语言及其表达方法、命令函数和动态模型的逻辑组成,以及使用该语言实现的与ＧＩＳ完全结合的流域水文和土壤侵蚀动态模型－ ＬＩＳＥＭ 模型;最后分析用ＰＣＲａｓｔｅｒ 系统和ＬＩＳＥＭ 模型对黄土高原小流域次降雨过程进行动态模拟的实验结果,认为模型计算的总径流量和总土壤流失量具有较高的精度,模拟的径流过程线符合黄土高原小流域超渗产流的实际情况     

Radionuclide transfer to freshwater biota species: review of Russian language studies

Around 130 publications reporting studies on radionuclide transfer to freshwater biota species conducted in the former USSR were reviewed to provide the concentration ratio values. None of these studies were available up to now in the English language reviews or publications. The values derived have been compared with the CR values used for freshwater systems in the International reviews. For some radionuclides reviewed in this paper, the data are in good agreement with the mean CR values presented earlier, however for some of them, in particular, for ²⁴¹Am (bivalve molluscs, gastropods and pelagic fish), ⁶⁰Co (gastropods, benthic fish and insect larvae), ⁹⁰Sr and ¹³⁷Cs (benthic fish and zooplankton), the mean values given here are substantially different from those presented earlier. The data reported in this paper for thirty five radionuclides and eleven groups of freshwater species markedly improve the extent of available data for evaluation of radiation impact on freshwater species.     

Do remediation experts have what it takes to explain empirical uncertainty?

Words matter in risk communication, and experts’ choice of words is critical when remediation risks are being explained to nonexperts. In risk communication studies, communication gaps between experts and nonexperts are investigated but there is lack of primary research. An Australian project addresses this shortcoming through research into communication about the risks of contaminated land remediation, and this paper provides some of its findings. Seventeen experts completed a questionnaire about the meaning of some scientific terms, and analysis found that they have capacity to improve communication through their selection and use of language. When experts undertake risk communication, the language they use may increase or reduce communication gaps. When the topic is uncertainty about health risks, communication gaps about the extent of uncertainty may reduce the effectiveness of social engagement, leading to unintended consequences such as cost overruns. This situation makes for a good case study since remediation is about benefit as well as risk, and communication about benefit, while desirable, may not always be achievable. The study suggests how to improve risk communication by exploring the accuracy, clarity, and depth of expert language. It identifies attributes of language that can bridge gaps in knowledge and understanding and characterizes them as integration mechanisms. These are defined as knowledge forms and mental processes that support cooperation between different epistemic communities to achieve mutually agreed outcomes. Two integration mechanisms are suggested. Bridging content addresses communication gaps through the selection of content (what knowledge is selected). Bridging process addresses communication gaps through the use of language (how knowledge is explained). Bridging content and bridging process can be expressed through cognitive and experiential platforms, or a blending of both, so whether words are positioned in the science‐based or mental model of risk communication, a utility value can be found in their quality, whether reflected by accuracy or the power to communicate meaning.     

基于MATLABR的水质模型参数的确定方法

基于MATLAB可靠的数值计算、强大的绘图功能和简单易学的语言体系,利用MATLAB对河流水质模型的参数进行最优化估值,同时确定模型中的各个参数.指出MATLAB在运用最优化方法于水质模型多参数求解中的作用.提出了以C语言为基础的算法思想.     

一种改进的灾害新闻3要素提取方法研究*

为提取灾害性新闻中的基本要素,迅速掌握灾害事件信息和发展趋势,将目标分类和命名实体识别（named entity recognition,NER）相结合,提出改进的灾害新闻3要素提取方法。构建滑动窗检测器搭载不同的分类模型,实现对新闻文本的灾害主题识别与时空位置要素范围判定,结合命名实体识别完成对时空位置要素的精准提取,并以灾害事故信息文本为例进行测试。研究结果表明:通过在火灾、地震和滑坡新闻中进行数据集中测试,发现本文方法相较于LSTM,BILSTM,BILSTM-CRF提取效果更优;本文方法可对大量灾害性新闻的灾害3要素进行识别提取,对灾害信息进行时空规律分析,研究结果可在灾害应急响应中发挥重要作用。