东北四海龙湾玛珥湖年纹层的研究方法及初步成果

位于东北龙岗火山区的四海龙湾玛珥湖沉积物保存有清晰的年纹层,为进行高精度的纹层年代学研究和高分辨率的古气候重建提供了良好的材料。本文对四海龙湾玛珥湖岩芯钻取进行了简要的介绍,详细描述了进行纹层研究的岩相学大薄片的制备过程,并对这些过程中可能出现的操作失误进行了探讨。最后,介绍了四海龙湾玛珥湖年纹层的研究内容和方法以及已经取得的初步成果。     

A lidar-based assessment of riparian shade and large wood potential in the Skagit River watershed,WA

Wild salmon stocks in the Pacific Northwest are imperiled by a variety of declining habitat factors, including riparian shade and in-channel large wood. In this paper, a relatively simple lidar model of the riparian canopy was used along anadromous streams in the Skagit River watershed in western Washington State, United States, to delineate where riparian trees were most lacking, and where restoration efforts would have the greatest benefit in terms of shade and large wood recruitment potential. Within a 45-m riparian buffer, 61% of riparian zones were currently incapable of delivering large wood to the stream. Current potential for large wood recruitment is greatest adjacent to stream edges and falls off rapidly with distance from the channel. Approximately 99% of large wood recruitment potential lies within 45 m of the channel edge, and 50% of the wood potential is within 9 m. A hypothetical canopy model in which all trees mature to a 100-year height would provide 18% more shade distributed over the entire watershed, and 90% more shade in the tributaries. Most of the potential gains in improved shade and large wood contributions are in agricultural areas, as opposed to forestry or urban land uses. The shade and large wood models were constructed from widely available geographic information system tools and are readily transferable to other watersheds with similar characteristics. Model outputs are intended for use in planning restoration projects, as an input to stream temperature models, and to inform policy on restoration priorities and regulatory buffer widths.     

Setting the stage for the review of the international estimate of short-term intake (IESTI) equation

ABSTRACT

In the framework of setting Maximum Residue Limits (MRLs) for pesticides, both chronic and acute health risks to consumers arising from the long-term and short-term dietary exposure to pesticide residues have to be assessed. The current internationally harmonized approach for assessing the acute dietary exposure is based on deterministic methods for calculating the IESTI (International Estimate of Short-Term Intake). Recently, it became apparent that the IESTI approach needs a revision in the light of new scientific and political aspects. The main reasons that require this review were the lack of an international harmonization of the methodology which implies trade barriers as well as difficulties in risk communication concerning the public trust in regulatory systems. The most recent milestone in the scientific debate on a possible revision of the IESTI equation was an international scientific workshop held in Geneva in September 2015. The main objectives of this meeting were the re-evaluation, and where possible, the international harmonization of the input parameters for the IESTI equations as well as the equations themselves. The main recommendations from the workshop were (i) to replace the highest residue and supervised trials median residue with the maximum residue limit (MRL), (ii) to use a standard variability factor of three, (iii) to derive the P97.5 large portion value from the distribution of consumption values of dietary surveys expressed as kg food/kg bw/d, and (iv) to remove the commodity unit weight from the equations. In addition, the application of conversion factors and processing factors was addressed. On the initiative of the (World Health Organization) WHO Collaborating Centre on Chemical Food Safety at the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the Netherlands, an international working group with members from the French Agency for Food, Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, France (ANSES), Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority, Australia (APVMA), German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment, Germany (BfR), Chemical Regulation Division, the United Kingdom (CRD), European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), and RIVM, the Netherlands was formed after the IESTI workshop to conduct a comprehensive impact assessment of the proposed changes of the IESTI equations.     

北京大兴国际机场建设工程安全管理体系研究

为了实现建设北京新机场平安工程,确保工程建设重大事故隐患为零,生产安全责任事故为零的总体目标。根据北京大兴国际机场建设工程的特点,结合现代安全生产管理的先进理念,以落实建设方安全管理责任为核心,提出了适合北京大兴国家机场建设的安全管理体系。结果表明,该体系的运行实施,实现了北京大兴国际机场建设工程安全顺利竣工,且为类似工程项目建设方的安全管理工作提供了良好的借鉴。     

民用运输机场安检系统风险影响因素研究*

为提高民用运输机场安检系统风险管理水平,提出机场安检系统风险辨识模型,基于流程分析的方法确定机场安检的关键岗位,对各关键岗位中的不安全事件运用假设故障类型分析得出各岗位的风险因素;从人-机-环-管对风险因素进行归纳总结,建立民用运输机场安检系统风险影响因素集。提出DEMATEL-ISM风险集成模型分析安检系统风险影响因素的相互关系及层次结构。结果表明:通过模型的影响度计算得出,社会局势对机场安检系统风险影响最大、安检员的服务态度最易受其他因素的影响;通过模型的多层递阶解释结构计算得出,社会局势、安检作业环境、安检员薪酬制度和晋升制度是机场安检系统风险的根源影响因素。集成模型有效分析机场安检系统风险影响因素及其重要性和层次结构,可为机场安检系统风险的有效管理提供依据。     

大容积无缝气瓶瓶口外螺纹修复方法及安全分析

为确定不同瓶口壁厚气瓶的外螺纹修复方式,采用数值和理论方法,通过分析外螺纹修复后气瓶的瓶体应力分布、周向转动和轴向窜动情况,对直接加工和采用热套工艺加装衬环2种瓶口外螺纹修复方式的安全性进行评价。结果表明:针对内螺纹规格为3-1/4″-8UN的气瓶,当采用直接加工方式将外螺纹修复至4-1/2″-8UN时,气瓶最大应力位于气瓶筒体上,此时气瓶可安全使用;当已修复至4-1/2″-8UN的瓶口外螺纹再次出现磨损时,直接加工的修复方式会对气瓶的安全使用造成影响,应采用热套工艺加装衬环方式修复瓶口螺纹。     

单跑楼梯井内火灾过程的数值模拟

针对单跑楼梯井内的火灾过程,采用大涡模拟方法,通过改变单跑楼梯井顶层门的面积,探讨了门面积的改变对楼梯井内火灾过程中空气卷吸量、排烟量、楼梯井内平均氧气浓度以及楼梯井内外压差的影响,分析了火灾烟气流动的动力学特征。研究结果表明,随着单跑楼梯井门开口面积的增加,空气卷吸量和排烟量均增加,井内平均氧气浓度增加而井内外压差逐渐降低。计算结果显示,在火灾场景中,当单跑楼梯井顶层门面积较小时,以上物理量对门高度的变化更为敏感。     

原油储罐区可燃气体探测器布置优化方案研究

为有效预警原油储备区储罐气体泄漏,制定气体探测器布置优化方案,以某大型原油站库为例,基于CFD法和FLACS软件模拟原油泄漏及可燃蒸汽云溢散分布,通过分析蒸汽云扩散规律,实现全方位气体探测器优化布置.结果表明:原油储罐区探测器分别布置在区块21-2、6-1、31-1、40-2,且每个罐组总计布置16处;优化设置方案可满...     

Measurement Diagnostics by Analysis of Last Digits

Though measurement instruments and methods have their natural precision limits, long term monitoring, which is so importantfor environmental studies, requires to set up and maintaincertain standards regarding precision. The elementaryrequirement is to produce measurements with a prescribed numberof valid digits. If the technology further develops and allowsto increase the number of valid digits, the change should bedocumented. In this paper we discuss a simple procedure for validity assessment of the last digits of data in a data base.It may be useful for both calibration control of an instrumentas well as for preliminary data analysis in scientific studies.The procedure utilizes the assumption that, under normalconditions, the last digits of the observed data can usually beconsidered as uniformly distributed random numbers. Failures ordeliberate changes in the observation mechanism can be detectedif particular digits occur more frequently than the others. Thedecision about proper representations of the last digits is doneby means of the familiar chi-square statistics.     

基于大数据分析的大气网格化监测质控技术研究

基于对现阶段中国环境空气的污染特征及监测手段进行分析,研究了如何采用传感器技术进行大气污染防治网格化监测。对标物校准、训化校准、自适应校准、传递校准等校准质控技术进行了充分研究并基于此建立了自主学习神经网络算法的校准体系。为解决传感器应用过程中零点漂移、温度和湿度漂移、时间漂移等问题,利用大数据、基因算法成功开发出了智能数据修正模型,实现了低成本、高稳定、具有相当精度且可自动化运行的网格化监测体系。