WATER SUPPLY IMPACTS OF NUCLEAR FALL1

ABSTRACT: “Nuclear winter,” more properly called “nuclear fall,” could be caused by injection of large amounts of dust into the atmosphere. Besides causing a decrease in temperature, it could be accompanied by “nuclear drought,” a catastrophic decrease in precipitation. Dry land agriculture would then be impossible, and municipal, industrial, and irrigation water supplies would be diminished. It has been argued that nuclear winter/fall poses a much greater threat to human survival than do fall out or the direct impacts of a conflict. However, this does not appear to be true, at least for the U.S. Even under the unprecedented drought that could result from nuclear fall, water supplies would be available for many essential activities. For the most part, ground water supplies would be relatively invulnerable to nuclear drought, and adequate surface supplies would be available for potable uses. This assumes that conveyance facilities and power supplies survive a conflict largely intact or can be repaired.     

飞机撞击下核电厂安全壳载荷曲线相关问题研究

针对大型商用飞机对核电厂反应堆安全壳恶意撞击的安全评估需求,综述了国外确定飞机撞击安全壳载荷曲线的基础理论、试验测试技术和数值模拟方法.首先,从理论上对飞机撞击安全壳的载荷特性和Riera撞击模型进行分析,给出了Riera模型的基本假设、模型各项物理意义及模型的求解方法,明确了靶体碰撞表面的冲击载荷(力)由静载项和动载项组成;其次,分析总结了确定Riera模型中压损载荷参数的试验方法和真实飞机撞击载荷测量的试验技术和实施方法,指出大型商用飞机对核电厂反应堆安全壳恶意撞击属"软冲击"范畴,撞击载荷可用Riera模型计算得到;再者,在数值模拟方面,总结了采用有限元技术进行飞机撞击载荷计算和安全评估的数值模拟方法及其发展趋势;最后,在分析国内开展飞机撞击载荷研究面临问题的基础上,指出从理论上建立飞机撞击载荷-时间曲线计算模型及方法,并通过试验和数值模拟验证是国内确定大型商用飞机撞击安全壳结构载荷曲线比较可行的技术路线.     

基于熵值法和物元可拓模型的核电站安全运行状态评价

我国核电事业发展迅速,核电安全是核电产业发展的重要基础.针对我国核电的发展和安全运行现状,建立了安全运行状况指标体系,通过构建物元可拓模型获得各指标在各评价等级上的关联度,将关联度与熵值法求得的指标权重合成得到加权综合关联度,继而确定核电站安全运行状况评价等级.在对核电站整体运行状况进行综合评价的同时,也能实现对安全运行状况各指标的分类评价.     

对核磁共振成像仪建设项目环境影响评价的研究

核磁共振作为一种分析手段广泛应用于物理、化学、生物、医疗等领域.本文从核磁共振原理出发,分析核磁共振成像仪主要环境影响,结合环评现状,分析环评管理存在的主要问题,结合相关法规条文,查找存在这些问题的主要原因,结合目前核磁共振仪的建设情况和使用条件,从切合实际角度出发,提出核磁共振成像仪建设项目环评管理建议.     

核设施营运单位邻避问题应对策略研究

邻避问题激发的群体性事件是当前危险设施选址面临的主要问题,而核设施则是邻避设施中负外部性等级较高的一类设施.通过分析各行业邻避问题的九因素分析框架引入核设施邻避问题的研究,并结合国内外核行业和值得借鉴的非核行业典型案例进行分析,发现了影响邻避问题的核心要素包括程序公正、企业与政府公众形象、行业污名化倾向和补偿不合理等方面内容.核设施运营单位应在这些方面制定针对性策略和措施以减小邻避问题对核行业发展的影响.     

基于动态时间弯曲算法的核电厂瞬态识别方法研究

目的对核电厂运行瞬态识别进行有效识别。方法基于动态时间弯曲算法,计算运行瞬态中温度、压力和流速数据与设计瞬态中对应数据之间的相似程度,通过定义等效相似度反应温度、压力和流速的不同权重。在完成当前运行瞬态与各条设计瞬态之间的相似程度后,通过比较相似度值,将运行瞬态归类为设计瞬态。结果通过对"华龙一号"核电厂的设计瞬态和基于设计瞬态摄动获得的虚拟运行瞬态进行验证,文中提出的方法能够快速有效地对运行瞬态进行分类,结果显示,有95%以上的运行瞬态能够被正确识别。结论基于动态时间弯曲算法和等效相似度建立的瞬态识别方法具有高效、准确等优点,能够有效应用于核电厂的疲劳监测系统。     

秦山三期核电工程气象相关实验研究及其在选址评价中的应用

１９９５年９、１０月间在秦山三期核电厂址进行了气象相关实验，即在秦山一、二、三期进行低空风、温与地面风的同步观测，在三期厂址进行平衡球测扩散参数，风洞模拟实验测量建筑群对流场与扩散参数的影响．并探讨如何应用气象相关实验结果由已建厂址的气象数据来估算新建厂址年均扩散因子的方法与公式．     

Seasonal variations of Rn concentrations in the air of a tunnel located in Nagano city

The seasonal variation of 222Rn concentrations in the air of tunnels constructed during World War II at Nagano City has been investigated. The determination of 222Rn concentrations in tunnel air was performed using a solid-state nuclear track detector technique. The monthly radon concentrations changed smoothly, decreasing towards winter and increasing towards summer, and it was found that the concentrations strongly correlate with the temperature difference between the inside and the outside of the tunnel. In the innermost areas of the tunnel, the maximum concentration was observed in July, its value being about 6500 Bq m (-3). The concentrations of radon in the tunnel air decrease exponentially towards the openings of the tunnel, which indicates that the radon concentration in the tunnel is basically governed by diffusion and mixing of radon gas with air. These observations lead to the conclusion that the seasonal variation of the radon concentration in the tunnel air is mainly caused by a convection current due to a stack effect induced by the temperature difference between the tunnel air and the outside air.     

Ecology of Nuclear Polyhedrosis Virus in Western Siberian Populations of the Gypsy Moth (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Lymantria dispar</Emphasis> L.)

The impact of the nuclear polyhedrosis virus on the population dynamics of the gypsy moth Lymantria dispar L. has been studied. The results have shown that polyhedrosis morbidity in the western Siberian population of the insect is relatively low, compared to that reported for North American and European populations. A possible cause of this situation is found in the high migration activity of moths in the Asian L. dispar populations, which allows the virus load on the biotope to remain relatively stable and insufficient for the initiation of mass viral diseases during population outbreaks.__________Translated from Ekologiya, No. 3, 2005, pp. 222–226.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Ilinykh.     

胜利油田海底电缆敷设工程安全对策浅谈

介绍了海底电缆敷设工程检验工作的图纸资料审查、施工检验及完工试验三个阶段中应采取的安全对策,以提高海缆施工质量,加强质量管理,确保电缆的安全运行.