多源数据融合的城市区域型消防风险分布特征研究 ——以太原都市圈所在区域为例

分析区域消防风险的空间演化特征,针对性建立并调整消防站点,可预见性地降低消防风险.以太原都市圈所在区域作为研究对象,将遥感数据、POI兴趣点数据经标准化处理后融入GIS-GANP模型中,识别城市区域间特异性消防风险因子,探讨区域消防风险系数及空间分布特征,并多角度分析消防站点规划趋势.结果表明:POI数据符合区域融合发...     

热压机防火问题探讨

针对企业在热压机防火 方面的薄弱环节，具体分析着火原因，从多方面提出了防范措施。     

基于FTA-Petri网的地铁火灾事故安全性研究

鉴于城市轨道交通安全的复杂性及重要性,应用FTA-Petri综合分析方法对城市轨道交通系统安全性进行分析并构建轨道交通系统火灾事故安全性模型。该模型具有FTA与Petri网方法的优点。在利用传统的FTA方法深入分析火灾事故原因的基础上,选择典型的火灾事故成因,利用Petri网方法动态模拟火灾事故发生的过程;借鉴已有的概率计算方法对所建立的火灾Petri网模型进行定量求解分析;最后,针对分析结果提出可行性方案。提出将FTA-Petri综合分析方法应用到城市轨道交通安全领域,在地铁火灾安全性定量分析方面作出了探索性的研究。     

Environmental Synergisms and Extinctions of Tropical Species

Abstract: Environmental synergisms may pose the greatest threat to tropical biodiversity. Using recently updated data sets from the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List, we evaluated the incidence of perceived threats to all known mammal, bird, and amphibian species in tropical forests. Vulnerable, endangered, and extinct species were collectively far more likely to be imperiled by combinations of threats than expected by chance. Among 45 possible pairwise combinations of 10 different threats, 69%, 93%, and 71% were significantly more frequent than expected for threatened mammals, birds, and amphibians, respectively, even with a stringent Bonferroni‐corrected probability value (p= 0.003). Based on this analysis, we identified five key environmental synergisms in the tropics and speculate on the existence of others. The most important involve interactions between habitat loss or alteration (from agriculture, urban sprawl, infrastructure, or logging) and other anthropogenic disturbances such as hunting, fire, exotic‐species invasions, or pollution. Climatic change and emerging pathogens also can interact with other threats. We assert that environmental synergisms are more likely the norm than the exception for threatened species and ecosystems, can vary markedly in nature among geographic regions and taxa, and may be exceedingly difficult to predict in terms of their ultimate impacts. The perils posed by environmental synergisms highlight the need for a precautionary approach to tropical biodiversity conservation.     

新《消防法》关于消防设计审核与验收工作改革的研究

简要分析公安机关消防机构在进行建筑工程消防设计审核与验收工作中,建设、设计、施工单位及消防技术服务机构、消防产品生产单位、公安机关消防机构和其他行政主管部门7个责任相关方之间存在的问题;将修订后的《消防法》与现行《消防法》进行对比;总结出修订后的《消防法》在消防设计审核与验收工作方面的新规定、新举措,并从法律角度和现实意义两个方面进行分析和探讨,为新《消防法》施行后相关部门和单位消防设计审核与验收工作的开展提供一定的帮助。     

Expansion of Evergreen Conifers to the Larch-Dominated Zone and Climatic Trends

The expansion of so-called evergreen conifers (EGCs), including Siberian stone pine, spruce, and fir, along the transect oriented from the boundary of the larch-dominated zone (LDZ; mixed forests of the Yenisei Ridge) to its center has been studied. The normalized dispersal coefficient calculated as K _i = (n _i – N _i )/(n _i + N _i ), where n _i and N _i are the relative numbers of the ith species in the undergrowth and the upper layer, respectively, serves as an indicator of the expansion. It has been found that the K _i values for EGCs (and birch) are higher than the K _i of larch even in the zone absolutely dominated by larch, where the relative numbers of EGCs in the upper layer is less than 1%. The EGC undergrowth has mainly been formed during the past 20–30 years, which is correlated with the trend of summer temperatures The spread of EGCs in the LDZ depends on the frequency of forest fires. The decrease in the time intervals between fires in the 20th century to 65 years (versus 100 years in the 19th century) may have prevented the expansion of competing species in the LDZ. The results obtained indicate that EGCs and birch penetrate into the zone traditionally dominated by larch, which is related to climatic changes during the past three decades. At the same time, tree stand density is increasing in the forest-tundra ecotone, and larch is spreading further into the tundra zone.__________Translated from Ekologiya, No. 3, 2005, pp. 186–193.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Kharuk, Dvinskaya, Ranson, Im.     

二氧化碳灭火系统误喷事故分析及预防措施探讨

根据二氧化碳灭火系统在工程中的实际应用,系统分析灭火系统误喷事故原因,建立引起二氧化碳灭火系统误喷事故树。通过事故树计算各基本事件的结构重要度,确定基本事件对误喷事故产生的影响程度,最后为防止误喷事故发生制定了预防措施。     

有机硅工厂火灾安全评价研究

针对有机硅工厂的水解单元、缩合单元、过滤单元、成品仓库、原料罐区,以美国道化学公司的火灾、爆炸危险指数评价法,定量地对潜在火灾、爆炸和反应危险性进行评价,得到在没有采用任何安全措施的情况下,水解单元、缩合单元、成品仓库单元和原料罐区单元的危险等级均为“较轻”,过滤单元的危险等级为“最轻”。利用CFAST软件对成品仓库所在建筑进行20min火灾发生过程的模拟,确定了设定参数下成品仓库无开口部位时在310～1090s之间、有开口部位时在340～400s之间均会对人造成直接烧伤或吸入热气体的伤害。得出当火灾发生后,非救援人员需在310s之前离开成品仓库才能保证安全。     

原油稳定装置的风险评价

运用美国道化学公司的火灾爆炸危险指数评价方法,对大庆油田天然气分公司正压原油稳定装置的火灾爆炸危险性进行了定量计算和评价,介绍了火灾爆炸指数评价法的评价程序和计算步骤,定量计算火灾爆炸可能导致的危害程度和最大可能财产损失,根据实际情况确定了单元的危险系数和安全措施补偿系数,最后得出单元危险分析的安全评价结果.     

煤层自燃火区温度检测技术的研究与应用

在煤矿自燃火区的治理过程中 ,同位素测氡法探测煤层自燃火源精确位置是火区治理的关键技术 ,而火区温度信息的采集为灭火方案及灭火参数提供可靠依据。笔者介绍了综合利用火源位置精确探测技术与火区温度探测技术的方法 ,为煤矿火区的预测预报提供了可靠的手段 ,节省大量的防灭火资金 ,提高防灭火工作效率。