定量化土地评价指标体系及评价方法探讨

从可持续发展的角度，提出了定量土地评价指标体系建立的原则与依据；分析了土地评价指标体系的现状与存在的问题；总结了土地评价指标体系的量化表达方法，特别是空间统计分析模型和地理信息系统技术在定量化土地评价中的应用。为可持续利用土地评价提供理论依据和方法上的借鉴。     

二苯甲酮类紫外防晒剂发光菌急性毒性及QSAR研究

二苯甲酮类化合物广泛用于防晒剂、塑料添加剂、香味剂等。随着紫外防晒产品的大量使用,其环境及健康风险越来越受到人们的关注。为揭示二苯甲酮类污染物的毒性特征,选择了14种二苯甲酮类化合物作为目标化合物,测试了它们对发光细菌的急性毒性效应。分别运用二维、三维定量构效相关技术和分子对接技术探讨了目标化合物的分子结构特征对毒性效应的影响。结果表明14种二苯甲酮类化合物对发光菌急性毒性的EC50值在17.67到243.82 mg·L-1范围内,其中2-羟基-4-甲氧基-5-磺酸基二苯甲酮的急性毒性最低,2,2',4,4'-四羟基二苯甲酮的毒性最高。羟基取代的二苯甲酮化合物的急性毒性随着分子中羟基数量的增加而升高;具有相同羟基数量的二苯甲酮类化合物,羟基位于苯环4-位时毒性最高,3-位时次之,2-位时毒性最低。QSAR结果表明,运用静电场、氢键受体场和氢键供体场能很好解释这类化合物的毒性特征,若在苯环4-位引入带正电荷的官能团、在苯环2-,4-位引入氢键受体,都将导致毒性升高。上述研究结果将为科学评价该类化合物的潜在生态风险提供基础数据。     

城市污水再生处理过程中壬基酚的迁移转化行为研究

采用SPE—GC—MSD-SIM方法，分析了壬基酚在污水再生处理全过程中的迁移转化行为与归宿。研究表明，在污水二级生物处理流程中，壬基酚主要来源为原污水和泥区回流液；壬基酚的去除途径有一沉池生污泥的吸附迁移作用和曝气池单元的生物降解转化作用，其中一沉池生污泥的吸附去除29．8％，曝气池生物降解54．4％，NP总去除率为84．2％。絮凝、过滤和消毒的污水再生深度处理工艺对壬基酚的迁移转化作用不明显。     

“城考”中水环境质量指标的演替及发展

简述了“九五”-“十一五”期间城市环境综合整治定量考核(简称城考)中城市水环境功能区水质达标率指标的定义、内涵,监测指标内容及分类、指标权重及评价标准等因素的变化规律.指出,应重视环境质量指标选择与当前环境污染现状的衔接,补充重金属等环境优先污染物指标为水环境质量监测评价指标.提出了新的筛选原则和指标设计思路.     

环境水体中肠道病原细菌定量PCR检测与膜过滤分析方法的比较

采用通用引物,通过实时荧光定量PCR方法(QPCR),对西安市5个地表水体中肠道病原细菌的细胞密度进行了分析.检测水样体积为100mL,分别于2006年3～6月取自水源水(黑河)、景观娱乐用水(大唐芙蓉园北湖和兴庆湖)、纳污河(浐河)和未消毒的二级出水(北石桥污水处理厂),并将QPCR检测结果与滤膜法(MF)测得的细菌总数、大肠菌群和粪大肠杆菌CFU结果进行了比较分析.5个水体(n=60)检测结果显示,QPCR检测结果是大肠菌群CFU的2.2～5倍,是粪大肠杆菌CFU的7～14倍.病原细菌检测的几何平均值范围,QPCR法在25～67000 CCE·100mL-1之间,MF法大肠菌群在3～45000 CFU·100mL-1之间,粪大肠菌群在0～3000 CFU·100mL-1之间(n=60).两种方法的检测结果使用Spearman秩相关法来计算,结果显示,QPCR检测结果与大肠菌群、细菌总数以及粪大肠杆菌CFU均呈现显著正相关,秩相关系数分别为r=0.983、r=0.908和r=0.948.     

Use of standardized methods to improve extinction-risk classification

Standardized classification methods based on quantifiable risk metrics are critical for evaluating extinction threats because they increase objectivity, consistency, and transparency of listing decisions. Yet, in the United States, neither federal nor state agencies use standardized methods for listing species for legal protection, which could put listing decisions at odds with the magnitude of the risk. We used a recently developed set of quantitative risk metrics for California herpetofauna as a case study to highlight discrepancies in listing decisions made without standardized methods. We also combined such quantitative metrics with classification tree analysis to attempt to increase the transparency of previous listing decisions by identifying the criteria that had inherently been given the most weight. Federally listed herpetofauna in California scored significantly higher on the risk-metric spectrum than those not federally listed, whereas state-listed species did not score any higher than species that were not state listed. Based on classification trees, state endemism was the most important predictor of listing status at the state level and distribution trend (decline in a species’ range size) and population trend (decline in a species’ abundance at localized sites) were the most important predictors at the federal level. Our results emphasize the need for governing bodies to adopt standardized methods for assessing conservation risk that are based on quantitative criteria. Such methods allow decision makers to identify criteria inherently given the most weight in determining listing status, thus increasing the transparency of previous listing decisions, and produce an unbiased comparison of conservation threat across all species to promote consistency, efficiency, and effectiveness of the listing process.     

Users’ Demands Regarding Dental Safety Glasses. Combining a Quantitative Approach and Grounded Theory for the Data Analysis

Eye infections are common among dentists and many are concerned, but few are using proper eye protection. To understand users’ demands behind the low use of safety glasses, all dental teams in Sweden were asked which factors they found most important when choosing dental safety glasses, and rate the importance of 31 statements regarding ergonomic aspects of dental safety glasses in a questionnaire. Data were analysed using the Grounded Theory and a quantitative approach. Results showed that dentists ranked the visual aspects as most important and chair assistants the protective aspects. The highly visual demanding work performed by dentists requires safety glasses that are not yet available on the market, which might explain the low use.     

广东省移动源中等挥发性有机物（IVOCs）排放清单及不确定性分析

中等挥发性有机物（Intermediate Volatility Organic Compounds,IVOCs）是二次有机气溶胶（SOA）的重要前体物.然而,当前我国IVOCs排放清单研究相对较少,现有研究大多采用基于IVOCs/POA比值法估算,导致IVOCs排放表征存在很高的不确定性.以移动源为研究对象,在优先采用本土实测的排放因子的基础上,构建了基于实测排放因子的广东省2019年移动源IVOCs排放清单,并与基于IVOCs/POA比值法建立的排放清单进行对比评估.结果显示：2019年广东省移动源IVOCs总排放量为2.1万t,其中,道路移动源IVOCs排放量为1.5万t,占总排放量的70%,主要来自柴油重货（33%）、柴油轻货（23%）、汽油小客（14%）.其中,道路移动源IVOCs汽油车主要以国四、国五标准车型为主,分别占 汽油车排放的36%和49%,而柴油车主要以国三、国四标准车型为主,分别占柴油车排放的53%和28%.相比实测因子法,比值法计算的道路移动源IVOCs排放整体偏高了100%~200%,但计算的非道路移动源IVOCs排放整体偏低了近1/3.通过不确定性量化对比也发现,实测因子法建立的IVOCs排放清单不确定性整体比比值法平均降低了60%,表明实测排放因子能够提高IVOCs表征的可靠性.此外,本土和国外实测排放因子建立的道路移动源IVOCs排放也有明显差异,采用国外实测排放因子可能会导致广东省2019年道路移动源IVOCs排放低估30%~50%.     

电力突发事件综合风险定量分析技术研究

电力突发事件风险分析对电力安全运行至关重要。为进一步降低电力突发事件对电网正常运行带来的影响,本文根据近年来电力行业发生的大量突发事件相关数据,提取典型电力突发事件类型及关键要素,运用风险定量分析法,建立多要素电力典型突发事件综合风险计算模型。结果表明:该方法不仅得到了电力行业多种典型突发事件的综合风险量化分值,而且可以最终以图表的形式直观地反应出多种典型突发事件对电力安全运行的影响程度,为预防电力突发事件以及提升电力应急处置能力提供了一种新途径。     

Using internet search behavior to assess public awareness of protected wetlands

Improving public awareness of protected wetlands facilitates sustainable wetland management, which depends on public participation. One way of gauging public interest is by tracking Internet search behavior (ISB). We assessed public awareness of issues related to protected wetland areas (PWAs) in South Korea by examining the frequencies of specific queries (PWAs, Ramsar, Upo wetland, Sunchon Bay, etc.) using relative search volumes (RSVs) obtained from an Internet search engine. RSV shows how many times a search term is used relative to a second search term during a specific period. Public awareness of PWAs changed from 2007 to 2013. Initially the majority of Internet searches were related to the most well‐known tidal and inland wetlands Sunchon Bay and Upo wetlands, which are the largest existing wetlands in Korea with the greatest historical exposure. Public awareness, as reflected in RSVs, of wetlands increased significantly following PWA designation for the wetlands in 2008, which followed the Ramsar 10th Conference of Contracting Parties to the Convention on Wetlands (COP10) meeting. Public interest was strongly correlated to the number of news articles in the popular media, as evidenced by the increase in Internet searches for specific wetlands and words associated with specific wetlands. Correspondingly, the number of visitors to specific wetlands increased. To increase public interest in wetlands, wetland aspects that enhance wetland conservation should be promoted by the government and enhanced via public education. Our approach can be used to gauge public awareness and participation in a wide range of conservation efforts.