空气质量与气象因子间关联规则的挖掘方法研究

传统数据相关性分析仅能揭示空气质量与气象因子之间的相关系数,关联规则挖掘方法使用支持度、置信度、作用度、兴趣度等指标能够发掘隐藏在大量监测数据内部的关联规则。文章使用SQL语言实现了Apriori算法,挖掘出研究区内空气主要污染物浓度与气象因子之间的关联规则,定量表示气象因子变化对主要污染物浓度的影响。     

滇池湖滨带人工湿地削减规律研究探讨

文章分析了滇池湖滨带人工湿地各级结构单元的水质指标数据,从pH、SS、BOD5、COD、TP、TN的污染消减规律入手,深入探讨了人工湿地对污染河水的净化效果。结果表明:人工湿地系统对TP、TN的消减效果最好;COD消减效果最差;湿地构造及植物群落影响人工湿地对污水的净化能力。     

高地应力作用下乌鞘岭深埋长隧道软弱围岩流变规律研究

在高地应力环境下的软弱围岩中修建深埋长隧道,软弱围岩流变一是个突出的工程地质问题。位于兰新铁路上的鸟鞘岭隧道工程在穿越宽迭785m的活动断裂带F7时,软弱围岩发生了显著流变,围岩最大收敛变形超过1m,对支护结构造成了严重破坏。本文在对鸟鞘岭隧道进行长期围岩收敛变形的基础之上,分析了乌鞘岭左右两主洞的收敛变形规律。此外,作者提出了对软岩围岩流变进行工程治理的原则。     

有效提高英语水平的一种途径——识记

本文针对大学生在英语学习过程中出现的识记能力差，贬低记忆作用的偏见，提出教学中应帮助学生了解和掌握记忆规律，提倡识记词汇、句法、段落或课文，有助于提高学生听、阅读和写作能力。     

排污权交易与我国环境法治进程

排污许可证制度、排污收费制度和排污权交易制度对于环境污染的治理能够发挥出无可替代的作用.作为三种不同性质的治污手段,其运行机制有本质上的区别,也使得其实施的过程以及效用存在质的差别.本文通过对此三种治污手段的比较,意在揭示政府管制与市场调节两种不同的治理机制对我国环境法治进程的影响,并初步探讨了我国环境法治进程的路径选择.     

三峡库区生活垃圾总磷的分布特征和溶出规律研究

了解垃圾堆放场堆存生活垃圾的污染物含量及浸泡条件下污染物的溶出规律，有助于正确评价垃圾堆放场所带来的环境影响，从而为政府部门的决策提供依据。文章以三峡库区为例，通过测定三峡库区主要垃圾堆放场堆存生活垃圾总磷的含量，分析它们的分布特征，并且进行生活垃圾浸泡条件下总磷的溶出实验，分析它们的溶出规律，为三峡库区的环境保护提供帮助。结果表明，(1)三峡库区生活垃圾总磷的含量位于50-3290mg／kg之间，总磷分布集中于100-1600mg／kg之间，且区域差异较大；(2)生活垃圾淹没条件下总磷的释放规律为开始较慢，逐渐增大，达到最大值以后减少，最后趋于稳定；(3)生活垃圾淹没条件下总磷的单位溶出量与时间的关系满足逻辑斯特模型w=α／[1 βexp(-kt)]，且垃圾单位可溶出量α随质量增加而减少，利用本模型可以预测垃圾进入水体后总磷溶出的初期行为。     

Risk-sensitive foraging behaviour of the round-eared elephant shrew (Macroscelides proboscideus)

We examined the risk-sensitive foraging behaviour of the round-eared elephant shrew by open-economy choice experiments, in which animals were deprived of food immediately prior to experiments but given food ad libitum afterwards, to test the energy budget rule. The energy budget rule states that if an animal's (daily) energy budget is negative it should behave in a risk-prone manner. A risk-prone elephant shrew should select food from a more variable rather than a constant feeding station, although both feeding stations yield the same average return. The choice of a variable station can indicate the degree to which an animal is an energy-shortfall minimizer. Elephant shrews running below energy requirement did not choose feeding stations in accordance with the rule. Under laboratory conditions, approximating either average summer or winter temperatures, elephant shrews showed risk-averse behaviour. A polycyclic activity profile, the ability to switch the diet, and greater than expected physiological control over energy balance, may favour a continuously foraging animal such that short-term energy deficits are minimized. We argue that, under these conditions, a risk-averse response to reward-size variance is expected, because an elephant-shrew may not reliably perceive those circumstances under which risk-prone behaviour should be adopted.     

基于电力历史应急大数据的应急情景规则分析与发现方法研究

为了解决电力突发事件演化过程难于预测,进而导致事件应急缺少针对性,较为被动的问题,提出在现有应急预案指导、事故模拟仿真、事故案例经验总结等方法基础上,引入基于电力历史大数据分析与预测的应急情景规则分析与发现方法,将电力应急突发事件情景构建的结果与相关大数据预测模型（汇总统计、分类与预测）相结合,提出科学、合理且具有良好操作性的情景演化规则的获取方法与技术路线,为进一步提高复杂电力突发事件的应急处置与指挥能力提供技术支撑。     

基于水库旱限水位动态控制的供水策略研究

为了克服现行水库旱限水位确定方法和功能定位上存在的不足,更好地为水库抗旱调度提供技术支持,通过结合供水系统水文干旱识别方法,用汛末蓄水量、干旱期设计来水量及供水规则计算干旱预警期。并根据实际来水逐月修改来水系列,对当年潜在干旱期和干旱预警期进行再计算,实现旱限水位的动态控制,由此提出了用“预警期/旱限水位”数对的形式(Td,DL)来表示的旱限水位动态控制方法。将旱限水位与限制供水策略相关联,用水库旱限水位作为触发水库限制供水的特征水位。并以水库累计缺水指数最小为目标,以限制供水系数为优化变量,建立水库进入干旱预警后的供水模拟-优化模型。以天津市于桥水库为实例研究,结果表明,旱限水位动态控制方法对水库干旱的预警不仅更加合理,且具有较好的可操作性;旱限水位与限制供水策略相关联,避免了潜在干旱期内水库出现程度更加严重的缺水,对不同蓄水条件下的限制供水系数进行分析,发现限制供水系数最优值一般取在0.5~0.75。     

Attitude to safety rules and reflexivity as determinants of safety climate

IntroductionWe present two studies that focus on the relationship between safety rules and the safety climate. It is expected that a reasoned acceptance, namely one based on an understanding of the bases for the rules and a collective management of the rules, should benefit the climate. Method: In an initial study (N = 202) employees replied to a questionnaire that measured the safety climate, the level of the relationship with the safety rules, and the understanding of their bases. The results highlighted the fact that a reasoned acceptance of the rules is associated with an understanding of their bases and predicts the level of safety. In a second study (N = 258) employees replied to a questionnaire measuring team reflexivity, the safety climate, and the level of relationship with the safety rules. We observed that collective management of the rules mediated the relation between team reflexivity and the safety climate. Results: The results are discussed from the point of view of their practical implications. Developing safety climate requires that operators are trained to understand the basis of safety rules and team reflexivity.