基于生态服务价值的张掖绿洲生态安全评价

基于生态服务功能与土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)的安全评价是当前地理学和生态学研究的热点,如何将二者的研究有机地结合并对区域生态安全评价实现具有时间动态、空间可视的四维表达是方法论和认知角度的新尝试。论文在G IS技术的支持下以栅格数据和生态系统服务价值为评价基础,在采用Costanza生态系统服务价值修正值的基础上对张掖绿洲从不安全、较不安全、稳定、较安全和安全等5个级别进行了生态安全评价。结果表明,在1985—1995年,张掖绿洲生态价值损失了0.193×108元,1995—2006年损失1.933×108元,生态安全状况趋向恶化。处于稳定状态的斑块类型面积由92.91%减小到88.53%,减少的部分大多转换为较安全和不安全状态二种类型。从不同安全级别的斑块格局来看,稳定类型的平均斑块面积从1985—1995年到1995—2006年减少了905 hm2,而斑块数量却增加了349个;5个级别的斑块形状指数和连通度在整个研究时期变化趋势一致,即:形状指数越来越高,而连通度指数越来越低,说明整个张掖绿洲在安全级别类型格局上呈破碎化趋势,不同级别斑块相互交错。     

煤炭气化常压高温蒸汽锅炉的测试与分析

以洗浴行业为例,通过对煤炭气化高温蒸汽锅炉的节能、环保及安全指标的测试与分析,表明这种新型的锅炉可以在常压下产生150℃的高温蒸汽,在燃烧未经洗选的散煤的情况下,其排放的SO2和烟尘都达到国家一级排放标准,锅炉平均热效率可达78.05%,比同类大烟煤锅炉节省约30%,比型煤锅炉节省约50%,比燃油锅炉、燃气锅炉、电锅炉节省60%以上。     

境外项目中方雇员(含华人)遭袭案例分析与规避

美国石油学会和美国石油炼制者协会提出了石油石化行业社会安全脆弱性评估方法,其中可能性的参考点主要包袭击动机、袭击方式、袭击时间、袭击地点和遭袭者身份5个要素,该风险评估模式仅对可能性的1～5级进行了简要的定性描述.对2001年1月至2014年4月间新闻媒体公开报道的122起境外中方人员(含华人)遭袭的事故案例进行了定量分析(袭击动机:抢劫钱财39.34％、地缘政治19.67％、宗教或文化冲突18.03％、社区诉求13.12％及其他动机9.84％.袭击方式:持枪袭击32.79％、实施暴力20.49％、绑架劫持19.67％、炸弹袭击12.30％及其他方式14.75％.袭击时间:凌晨18.03％、上午12.30％、中午4.10％、下午8.20％、夜间27.05％及不明时间30.32％.遭袭地点:人群集聚区24.59％、华人商业区22.15％、工地22.15％、路途13.13％、豪华酒店3.28％、郊区2.47％及其他地区12.23％.遭袭者身份:中方雇员41.80％、华人店主/个体35.24％、中国留学生8.20％、中方游客5.74％及其他人员9.02％),将此统计结果的百分比与可能性构成要素各项最高分级数值5相乘,得出以122起遭袭案例为样本的风险评估可能性的更为准确的数值.还结合该122起事故案例的统计分析结果详细介绍了中国石油天然气集团公司社会安全管理体系的关键性要素.     

区域生态安全的组合权重评价模型

为了更准确合理地确定区域生态安全评价的指标权重,利用层次分析法求得主观权重,利用变异系数法求得客观权重,再用最小相对信息熵原理将它们合并为组合权重.结合“驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应(DPSIR)”模型框架,建立了指标体系和评价模型,分别计算3种权重下的生态安全指数.结果表明,使用组合权重的计算结果最符合实际状况.2010年兰州新区的生态安全综合指数为0.615 9,2015年为0.519 4,2020年为0.484 1,分别处于较安全、临界安全和临界安全状态.这表明当地生态安全状况有恶化趋势,新区应大力发展循环经济,推进清洁生产,加大环境污染防治力度,从而保障生态安全,促进经济社会可持续发展.     

村镇公共安全评价体系研究——以河北省沧州市南大港一分区为例

将环境承载力评价理论引入到农村公共安全研究中,根据农村公共安全环境承载力指标体系的构建原则,选取一级指标5个,二级指标10个,基于鱼骨图分析法建立村镇公共安全体系。结合统计软件SPSS,采用主成分分析法(PCA),对村镇公共安全体系进行排序,找出影响村镇公共安全水平的重要因子,为改善村庄公共安全风险提供了重要参考价值。结果表明:一分区各村公共安全承载能力差异较大,且基础设施承载因子和土地承载因子是影响村庄公共安全承载能力最重要因子,加大公共安全基础设施的投入、有效利用闲置土地,可以较好地提高村镇公共安全承载能力。     

Reversing food desertification: examining urban farming in Louisville,Chicago and Detroit

The Urban Farming Movement is relatively young in Louisville, Kentucky but it seems to be off to a good start. Being in its earliest stages, assessments of this effort must be made cautiously, even tentatively. Examining a movement that is in progress requires a study of the state's land use and segregation policies, both of which have been dynamic in Kentucky. Further, this study is also relevant as there is a growing convergence of national and regional attitudes towards American obesity, while there are competing notions of food preference and food choice. All of which are influenced by racial politics, and there is a deep concern regarding food security. Considering all of these, it is necessary to examine the Government's efforts to address obesity/food imbalance in a variety of settings, especially where urban farming is expanding, such as Chicago and Detroit. In New York, roof-top gardens dot the landscape and the urban farm movement is largely a “success”. So, city leaders have chosen to address another health issue – trans fat. Rather than joining the food choice/preference debate by banning fast-food restaurants, city leaders have chosen to enact a trans-fat ban. Unpopular at first, other cities and states have followed, and the Federal Government will mandate a trans-fat ban this year. In Louisville, Chicago and Detroit, where the trans-fat bans did not succeed, the urban farm movement may be the primary means of addressing malnutrition, in the form of obesity.     

Land take and food security: assessment of land take on the agricultural production in Europe

Soil is a multifunctional, non-renewable natural resource for Europe as clearly expressed in the European Union (EU) Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection (COM (2006)231). Soil carries out multiple functions, including the support of food production. Urban development and its associated land take poses a major threat to soil and could have significant effects on agricultural production. This paper aims to evaluate the potential productivity losses in European agriculture due to land-take processes between 1990 and 2006. Agricultural land take was calculated using CORINE Land Cover maps of 1990, 2000 and 2006. For 21 of the 27 EU member states, agricultural land take was computed to be 752,973 ha for 1990–2000 and 436,095 ha for 2000–2006, representing 70.8% and 53.5%, respectively, of the total EU land take for these periods. The impact of this land take on the production capabilities of the agricultural sector for the period 1990–2006 for 19 of the 21 states was estimated to be equivalent to a loss of more than six million tonnes of wheat. The paper demonstrates that Europe's intense urbanisation has a direct impact on its capability to produce food.     

基于安全保障的分布式电源选址定容优化研究

分布式电源的发展是我国智能电网发展中的重要方面之一,基于安全保障性,合理地对分布式电源进行选址定容,对于中低压配电网规划具有重要意义。分析了分布式电源对配网的具体安全性影响。提出以安全第一、成本最小、网损最小、电压偏移最小为目标的综合效用目标函数模型,并采用遗传算法求解。通过对IEEE9节点配电网络的算例分析验证了所提算法在分布式电源选址定容求解问题中的可行性和实用性。     

Combining land-use planning and tenure security: a tenure responsive land-use planning approach for developing countries

There is tenure insecurity around land ownerships and land rights in most developing countries. There are also many land-use planning projects being implemented in these countries. Often, land-use planning exists in these countries but is not formally linked with tenure security. This study argues that combining them by conducting land-use planning in a way that promotes tenure security presents a new approach. A central premise for the rationale of this intervention is that processes of land-use planning may inadvertently increase tenure security. By way of methodology, it evaluates land-use planning case studies from Africa, Asia and South America. It uses the three case study examples to build a case for making tenure security one of the major planned outcomes of a land-use planning process and provides a detailed framework for operationalising the concept. Its main contribution to the literature is that it introduces the concept of tenure responsive land-use planning.     

How Competing Securitized Discourses over Land Appropriation Are Constructed: The Promotion of Solar Energy in the Israeli Desert

Although solar farms are often favorably received by the public due to their contribution to clean energy, they are not conflict-free. In various contexts, this land-intensive technology often competes with other land uses like agriculture, nature reserves, and army training. As a result of this competition, interest groups often seek political leverage in order to prioritize their spatial use. Framing their uses as existential is one possible way to capture the attention of decision-makers. Yet, this securitization process may create a framing contest whereby different actors use similar securitization language to promote different land uses. This study is the first attempt to trace how this framing contest of securitized discourses over land appropriation is constructed. It is based on the Israeli experience of promoting solar energy in the Negev Desert, an area conceived as available to solar development. Through an analysis of protocols of Israeli policy-makers’ meetings between 2002 and 2011, the study documents the ways in which players adopt securitized language concerning various land uses such as energy, food, ecology, and traditional (national) security. The study found that the use of securitized framing varies between uses, forums, actors, and sectors. Yet competition between securities discourses remained uneven as, in the Israeli context, many players find it difficult to challenge the hegemonic role of traditional (national) security.