Economics of "essential use exemptions" for metered-dose inhalers under the Montreal Protocol

The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer has led to rapid reductions in the use of ozone-depleting substances worldwide. However, the Protocol provides for "essential use exemptions" (EUEs) if there are no "technically and economically feasible" alternatives. An application that might qualify as an "essential use" is CFC-powered medical metered-dose inhalers (MDIs) for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and the US and other nations have applied for exemptions in this case. One concern is that exemptions are necessary to ensure access to medications for low-income uninsureds. We examine the consequences of granting or withholding such exemptions, and conclude that government policies and private-sector programs are available that make it economically feasible to phase out chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) in this application, thereby furthering the global public health objectives of the Montreal Protocol without compromising the treatment of patients who currently receive medication by means of MDIs.     

基于风廓线雷达的广州边界层局地回流指数廓线对污染物浓度的影响

利用2016—2019年广州增城风廓线雷达资料、地面气象站资料及附近广州九龙镇污染物浓度数据,研究了广州边界层局地回流指数R廓线对污染物浓度变化的影响,并综合分析了造成污染日或污染过程的R廓线及其阈值.结果表明,污染物浓度变化与局地回流指数R呈负相关及负滞后相关,负相关系数随高度的升高而下降.污染物NO₂浓度变化与局地回流指数R的负相关性最高,污染物O₃浓度变化与局地回流指数R的负相关性最低.不同季节、不同污染物浓度与局地回流指数R的负相关性有差异.当局地回流指数R（平均）<0.3的厚度大于400 m或至少3个高度层（每层高度差60 m）R<0.28时,发生复合型污染过程的可能性增大,同时可能出现超过7 d的长时间污染过程.     

臭氧及臭氧层破坏带来的灾害与防灾对策

大气中臭氧衰竭及臭氧层的破环,已引起全世界多种学科和各国政府的关注。本文引用大量资料,就臭氧的生成、性质和臭氧层遭受破坏的情况、原因、后果以及为保护臭氧层而采取的对策、措施,作了扼要的阐述,期望对了解世界灾情和开展研究工作有所借鉴。     

Application of ground-based Lidar for studies of the dynamics of ozone in a mountainous basin

A ground-based Differential Absorption Lidar was employed to study the dynamics of atmospheric O3 within the planetary boundary layer of a basin in the 'Fichtelgebirge' mountains, NE Bavaria. In particular, the night-time dynamics of O3 linked to the ground were investigated. The Lidar system measured vertical profiles of O3 up to 1 km above ground. For detailed analysis of the night-time dynamics of ozone, supplementary data from three ground-based stations (measuring mixing ratios of O3 and NO(x), as well as meteorological parameters) are essential. The Lidar results could be evaluated with these data from various altitudes above the basin floor. For the station with the largest (vertical) distance to the ground-based Lidar, the agreement was very good at all times. The Lidar method proved to be useful for examining the spatial distribution of O3. The observed night-time decrease of O3 at the bottom of the basin was due to deposition and to advection of air masses containing less O3 from the mountain slopes.     

福建省沿海地区春季一次近地层O3超标成因分析

福建省沿海地区春季ρ（O₃）较高且超标天数较多,为研究春季ρ（O₃）超标的天气学成因,选取2017年4月26日-5月1日O₃污染过程,利用统计对比和聚类分析方法,将全过程分成污染前、污染维持和污染后3个阶段,再将污染维持阶段分为4个区,利用ρ（O₃）和ρ（PM_2.5）小时均值资料,结合天气形势和气象要素场变化,分析此次O₃污染的主要特点.结果表明:①此次O₃污染与天气形势关系密切,在冷高压（4月28-29日）控制下,光化学反应条件有利,太阳辐射强、日照时间超过11 h,08:00起ρ（O₃）上升速率为15~20 μg/（m3·h）,ρ（O₃）最大8 h滑动平均值[简称"ρ（O₃）-max-8 h"]超过GB 3095-2012《环境空气质量标准》二级标准限值,但大气扩散条件好,ρ（PM_2.5）日均值未超过一级标准限值,ρ（O₃）超标原因为光化学反应所致,并且ρ（O₃）分布有明显的日变化规律.②在锋前暖区（4月26日08:00-16:00）及变性冷高压（4月30日-5月1日）控制下,光化学反应剧烈,08:00起ρ（O₃）上升速率为25~35 μg/（m3·h）,天气静稳且大气扩散条件差,本地生成的O₃在近地层累积效应明显,4月30日ρ（O₃）小时均值和ρ（O₃）-max-8 h达到过程峰值,ρ（PM_2.5）日均值超过GB 3095-2012二级标准限值,ρ（O₃）-max-8 h超过三级标准限值,空气质量达中度污染,ρ（O₃）超标原因为光化学反应加本地累积所致,并且ρ（O₃）分布也有明显的日变化规律.③受强冷空气影响,4月26日20:00-24:00福建省沿海地区的6个城市ρ（O₃）不降反升,22:00-24:00 ρ（O₃）8 h滑动平均值陆续达到一天中的最高值;4月27日ρ（O₃）维持在70~140 μg/m3之间,ρ（O₃）分布没有明显的日变化规律.研究显示,导致福建省沿海地区春季O₃污染天气的成因是多种因素共同作用的结果.      

Meteorological mechanism for a large-scale persistent severe ozone pollution event over eastern China in 2017

An intensive and persistent regional ozone pollution event occurred over eastern China from 25 June to 5 July 2017.73 out of 96 selected cities,most located in the Beijing-TianjinHebei and the surrounding area(BTHS),suffered severe ozone pollution.A north-south contrast ozone distribution,with higher ozone(199±33 μg/m~3) in the BTHS and lower ozone(118±25 μg/m~3) in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD),was found to be dominated by the position of the West Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH) and mid-high latitude wave activities.In the BTHS,the positive anomalies of geopotential height at 500 hPa and temperature at the surface indicated favorable meteorological conditions for local ozone formation.Prevailing northwesterly winds in the mid-high troposphere and warm advection induced by weak southerly winds in the low troposphere resulted in low-moderate relative humidity(RH),less total cloud cover(TGC),strong solar radiation and high temperatures.Moreover,southerly winds prevailing over the BTHS aggravated the pollution due to regional transportation of O_3 and its precursors.On one hand,the deep sinking motion and inversion layer suppressed the dispersion of pollutants.On the other hand,O_3-rich air in the upper layer was maintained at night due to temperature inversion,which facilitated O_3 vertical transport to the surface in the next-day morning due to elevated convection.Generally,temperature,UV radiation,and RH showed good correlations with O_3 in the BTHS,with rates of 8.51(μg/m~3)/℃(within the temperature range of 20-38℃),59.54(μg/m~3)/(MJ/m~2)and-1.93 μg/m~3)/%,respectively.     

基于地基遥感资料的厦门市污染边界层特征分析

城市大气边界层是影响城市环境气象的重要研究对象,本研究利用新型地基遥感数据针对城市颗粒物污染过程开展边界层特征分析,旨在利用风廓线雷达和微波辐射计等高时空分辨率的遥感数据探讨边界层内大气运动、温湿条件的变化与近地面污染累积的关系.结果表明:厦门地区颗粒物污染过程中,边界层内弱风层厚度较地面风速而言更能够代表边界层内扩散条件的变化,可以更好地表征和预测近地面污染的变化;在局地累积的污染过程中,边界层内存在较厚的弱风层,同时2 km以下的风场有明显的风向转变特征,导致边界层内不存在有效的传输和扩散,另外,污染时边界层垂直温差可以在一定程度上反映干季的垂直扩散条件,0～3 km温差与PM_(2.5)浓度有着密切的联系;冷空气过程有将上游污染物向本地区输送的可能,城市边界层在东北大风的条件下伴随着显著的垂直下沉运动,有利于上空污染向下扩散.多源地基遥感数据联合分析能够进一步解释城市边界层内气象条件对于城市大气污染变化的影响,集合各设备的探测优势开展城市宜居和污染气象条件研究具有较高的科学性和可行性.     

基于小波分解与自适应多级残差修正的最小二乘支持向量回归预测模型的PM2.5浓度预测

采用小波分解(WD)将济南市科干所监测站PM_(2.5)浓度的一维时间序列(2013年1月1日—2017年8月15日)分解为高维信息,获得了该监测站附近PM_(2.5)浓度的时频变化特征,重点分析了PM_(2.5)的随机性和趋势性问题.然后构建了基于小波分解的多级残差修正的最小二乘支持向量回归预测模型(AMLRC-WLSSVR),结果发现,该模型能够很好地对济南市PM_(2.5)浓度做出预测,特别是针对重污染天气的预测有很好的精度.为了避免预测结果的不确定性问题,提出了一种基于方差估计给出预测值置信区间上界的方法,同时,有效弥补了单点预测的不稳定性及预测精度不足的缺点,该方法能够为实际空气污染预警提供技术支持.     

Thermal internal boundary layer and its effects on air pollutants during summer in a coastal city in North China

The thermal internal boundary layer(TIBL) is associated with coastal pollution dispersion,which can result in high concentrations of air pollutants near the surface of the Earth. In this study, boundary layer height data which were obtained using a ceilometer were used to assess the effect of the TIBL on atmospheric pollutants in Qinhuangdao, a coastal city in North China.A TIBL formed on 33% of summer days. When a TIBL formed, the sunshine duration was 2.4 hr longer, the wind speed was higher, the wind direction reflected a typical sea breeze, and the boundary layer height was lower from 9:00 LT to 20:00 LT compared to days without a TIBL. If no TIBL formed, the average concentrations of PM_(2.5) and PM_(10) decreased with increasing boundary layer height. However, when a TIBL was observed, the average concentrations of PM_(2.5) and PM_(10) increased with increasing boundary layer height. Because the air from the sea is clean, PM_(2.5) and PM_(10) concentrations reached minimums in the daytime at 16:00 LT. After16:00 LT, the PM_(2.5) and PM_(10) concentrations increased rapidly on days when a TIBL formed,which indicated that the TIBL leads to the rapid accumulation of atmospheric pollutants in the evening. Therefore, the maximum concentrations of particulate matters were larger when a TIBL formed compared to when no TIBL was present during the night. These results indicate that it is suitable for outdoor activities in the daytime on days with a TIBL in coastal cities.     

超高强度钢无氰镀镉-钛层在循环湿热试验条件下的腐蚀变化规律研究

目的研究超高强度钢表面无氰镀镉-钛层在循环湿热条件下的腐蚀变化规律。方法对超高强度钢表面无氰镀镉-钛层试样进行循环湿热试验,对各个加速时间段的试样进行宏观照片及微观照片的拍摄,并运用电化学测试分析的方法研究试样在加速试验各时间段的腐蚀变化规律。结果超高强度钢表面无氰镀镉-钛层经历384 h的循环湿热试验后,镀层首先开始出现腐蚀现象。试样的腐蚀失质量损失随试验时间的延长逐渐增加,且呈现出在试验初期(≤384 h)的增量相对较小,试验中后期(384 h)的增量相对较大的特征,腐蚀动力学方程和曲线的特征也表明,试样在循环湿热试验后期的腐蚀速率相对较大。经历1536 h循环湿热试验的试样在0.01 Hz处的阻抗模值下降为10~2?。结论循环湿热条件下,在加速试验初期,超高强度钢表面无氰镀镉-钛层试样表面镀层开始发生腐蚀,中期腐蚀现象减缓,后期腐蚀现象明显。质量损失数据与试验时间关系的幂函数拟合方程为D(t)=0.013t~(1.2095),相关指数R~2=0.9879。