Bayesian testing for trend in a power model for clustered binary data

Developmental toxicity studies are widely used to investigate the potential risk of environmental hazards. In dose–response experiments, subjects are randomly allocated to groups receiving various dose levels. Tests for trend are then often applied to assess possible dose effects. Recent techniques for risk assessment in this area are based on fitting dose–response models. The complexity of such studies implies a number of non-trivial challenges for model development and the construction of dose-related trend tests, including the hierarchical structure of the data, litter effects inducing extra variation, the functional form of the dose–response curve, the adverse event at dam or at fetus level, the inference paradigm, etc. The purpose of this paper is to propose a Bayesian trend test based on a non-linear power model for the dose effect and using an appropriate model for clustered binary data. Our work is motivated by the analysis of developmental toxicity studies, in which the offspring of exposed and control rodents are examined for defects. Simulations show the performance of the method over a number of samples generated under typical experimental conditions.     

蔬菜地土壤磷提取及模拟径流中磷素潜在流失的影响

蔬菜地磷素流失是一种典型农业非点源污染类型。通过观测地表径流中溶解态反应磷(DRP)、生物可利用磷(BAP)可以监测土壤磷素流失程度。受到各种客观条件的限制,这两个指标比较难于获取,而土壤中的总磷(TP)、Olsen(OP)、Mehlich-1(M-1P)和水溶性磷(Pw)可以通过常规分析手段获取。本文选取27个典型蔬菜样地,分析测定各样地土壤中的总磷(TP)、Olsen(OP)、Mehlich-1(M-1P)和水溶性磷(Pw)四个磷提取变量,采用了经典方法计算土壤磷流失潜能指标——磷吸持饱和度(DPS)。同时采用模拟径流实验得出典型蔬菜样地地表径流样中溶解态反应磷(DRP)、生物可利用磷(BAP)。结果表明:M-1P、Pw与DPS呈极显著正相关,相关系数分别达到了0.85和0.74(p<0.01);而M-1P、Pw与DRP浓度相关系数(r2=0.843和0.786,p<0.01)大于TP、OP与DRP浓度的相关系数(r2=0.554和0.722,p<0.01)。结论认为,通过测定M-1P、Pw和计算DPS能比较准确、便捷地预测土壤径流磷素流失风险程度。     

智能大厦综合布线系统的实施

从综合布线工程系统的需求分析和设计原则出发，介绍了综合布线系统的设计方案、施工方案、测试方案，提出了智能大厦典型的综合布线系统的实施方案．     

Estimation of the surface stress from the streamwise pressure gradient: The Kármán Integral Momentum Equation revisited

A method is developed to estimate the stress at the surface in a portable wind tunnel for wind erosion studies. The boundary layer height and the pressure gradient are used in a simple expression from the Kármán Integral Momentum Equation. Values of friction velocity u _* are within 10% of experimental values obtained through correlation techniques, including measurements of differential pressures with the Murdoch Turbulence Probe MTP and the X-wire, hot-wire anemometer XWA. Wind velocity and stress profiles reveal logarithmic trends and a constant stress layer near the surface in the DAWA portable wind tunnel. Realignment of the statistics with the mean wind is essential.     

整合分析中的非参数检验:重复取样检验法的实例应用

整合分析(meta-analysis)是对同一主题下多个独立实验结果进行综合的统计学方法。非参数检验整合分析——重复取样检验(resampling test)不考虑原文献数据的分布形式，故可在不知原文献数据分布形式时使用。其中的靴襻法(bootstrap)可用来给出总效应值的置信区间，但不能检验组内异质性是否显著。靴襻法与随机检验法(randomization test)可以有效弥补这一缺失，判断出组间差异性是否显著。实例应用表明，重复取样检验没有参数检验保守，又与参数检验的结果差异较小。     

聚铝铁硅絮凝剂的合成方法及其混凝效能

采用硅酸钠碱化聚合方法制备聚铝铁硅絮凝剂，研究它们的ｐＨ弛豫规律及其稳定性，并通过流动电流测定了其电动特性，最后进行了混凝除浊（富里酸）效果对比研究。初步得到了稳定性及絮凝效果均较好的聚合铝铁硅絮凝剂的工艺合成方法。     

气象条件对可吸入颗粒物浓度的影响

气象条件对可吸入颗粒物浓度有较大的影响,通过对鞍山市二年来的监测数据进行分析,得出了结论并提出建议.     

铬对水栖寡毛类赫德莱顠体虫（Aeolosomaheadleyi）的毒性试验

赫德莱顠体虫（Ａｅｏｌｏｓｏｍａｈｅａｄｌｅｙｉ）为一种小型木栖寡毛类，行无性繁殖，室内培养容易。铬对其急性毒性试验结果为：２４ｈＬＣ＿（５０）为３．５５（３．１６─３．９０）ｍｇ／Ｌ，４８ｈＬＣ＿（５０）为１．８８（１．７７─２．０１）ｍｇ／Ｌ。低浓度慢性试验结果为：无效应浓度（ＮＯＥＣ）为１０１μｇ／Ｌ最大可接受浓度（ＭＡＥＣ）为１０１─１０２μｇ／Ｌ慢性暴露１０ｄ后种群可恢复的最高浓度为２１０ｕｇ／Ｌ．对此种寡毛类作为毒性试验生物的可能性作了简短的讨论。     

室内废气污染的计算与分析

通过对吸油烟机抽吸风场有效强度矢量图的测量 ,给出了吸油烟机质量技术检验方法和油烟废气、燃气废气污染泄漏量的计算方法 ;对油烟、燃气废气在厨房的扩散与循环作了详细分析 ,并对国标提出几点建议。     

中文智能型pH线监控仪及其工程应用

介绍了以微计算机为核心的中文智能型pH在线监控仪的软硬件结构、系统配置模式,及多个废水处理工程中pH监控系统的设计思路和小试的工艺流程。