Validation of the lagrangian particle dispersion model FLEXPART against large-scale tracer experiment data

A comprehensive validation of FLEXPART, a recently developed Lagrangian particle dispersion model based on meteorological data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, is described in this paper. Measurement data from three large-scale tracer experiments, the Cross-Appalachian Tracer Experiment (CAPTEX), the Across North America Tracer Experiment (ANATEX) and the European Tracer Experiment (ETEX) are used for this purpose. The evaluation is based entirely on comparisons of model results and measurements paired in space and time. It is found that some of the statistical parameters often used for model validation are extremely sensitive to small measurement errors and should not be used in future studies. 40 cases of tracer dispersion are studied, allowing a validation of the model performance under a variety of different meteorological conditions. The model usually performs very well under undisturbed meteorological conditions, but it is less skilful in the presence of fronts. The two ETEX cases reveal the full range of the model’s skill, with the first one being among the best cases studied, and the second one being, by far, the worst. The model performance in terms of the statistical parameters used stays rather constant with time over the periods (up to 117 h) studied here. It is shown that the method used to estimate the concentrations at the receptor locations has a significant effect on the evaluation results. The vertical wind component sometimes has a large influence on the model results, but on the average only a slight improvement over simulations which neglect the vertical wind can be demonstrated. Subgrid variability of mixing heights is important and must be accounted for.     

电除尘器末端微细粉尘收集装置研究

电除尘器末端是针对二次扬尘超细粉尘颗粒的收集的最后一道屏障。通过分析前人在此方面开展研究的技术成果基础上,集成多项技术,探索一条经济性较高的电除尘器增容提效改造的途径。     

基于模糊网络和时间依赖的应急车辆调度优化研究

突发灾害的应急物资调度是减轻人民财产损失、防止次生灾害发生、保障社会稳定的必要支撑。借助模糊数学中的三角模糊数学方法对不确定的需求信息特征进行描述,用模糊函数积分确定车辆在路段的模糊行驶时间。以应急车辆调度的总时间最短为调度的主要目标,同时配送数量应最大限度地满足需求点的需求量为次要目标建立应急车辆调度模型。然后设计粒子群算法对模型进行求解。最后通过算例,验证建立的模型拟合现实中的情况,结果不是确定数值,而是模糊数值范围的优化。     

城市植物叶面尘粒径和几种重金属(Cu、Zn、Cr、Cd、Pb、Ni)的分布特征

为研究城市植物叶面尘粒径及重金属元素(Cu、Zn、Cr、Cd、Pb、Ni)的分布规律和污染特征,以西安市不同功能区大叶女贞(Ligus-trum lucidum)和小叶女贞(Ligustrum quihoui)叶面尘为研究对象,用激光粒度分析仪测定叶面尘的粒径分布,用原子吸收分光光度计测定叶面尘重金属质量比,并探讨了叶面尘重金属的可能来源。结果表明,大叶女贞和小叶女贞叶面尘粒径小于50μm。前者叶面尘粒径累积曲线呈双峰分布,平均粒径和粒径峰值从大到小为相对清洁区、工业区、居住文教区、交通枢纽区、商业区;后者呈单峰分布,平均粒径和粒径峰值由大到小为工业区、居住文教区、交通枢纽区、商业区和相对清洁区。不同功能区叶面尘中Cu、Zn、Cr、Cd、Pb、Ni有明显的富集,其质量比分别为(325.5±72.6)mg/kg、(3 965.6±1 112.9)mg/kg、(349.2±149.3)mg/kg、(35.3±6.8)mg/kg、(1 182.0±355.1)mg/kg、(324.1±129.5)mg/kg,为陕西省土壤背景值的7.9～20.8、29.7～77.9、2.6～11.1、262.8～489.4、26.4～71.8和6.9～18.9倍。不同功能区2物种叶面尘各重金属质量比差异显著(p<0.001),物种间差异不显著(p>0.05)。叶面尘中Zn、Pb、Ni、Cr的质量比以工业区最高,Cu、Cd以交通枢纽区最高,其次为商业区,居住文教区和相对清洁区负荷最低。研究认为,叶面降尘中的重金属可能来自外源输入。     

大孤山铁矿边坡爆破损伤分区研究

露天矿生产爆破,特别是靠帮爆破在边坡中形成的爆破损伤区对其稳定性具有很大的影响。本文针对大孤山铁矿露天爆破开采的实际情况,建立了极限平衡数值分析模型及峰值速度衰减公式。利用数值分析软件Geoslope对边坡靠帮爆破过程中岩体损伤范围进行了研究,主要分析了在爆破-200--212m水平时,爆破震动对边坡岩体的影响,并利用萨道夫斯基公式和PPV安全判据对爆区周围岩体损伤范围进行了计算。结果表明距离炮孔6.2m以内范围为完全破碎区,6.2-12.4m为岩体重度损伤区,12.4-19.7m为轻微损伤区。数值分析表明距爆源同一距离的岩体质点峰值速度随深度的增加而减小,爆破区周围震动波速成漏斗形分布,同实际爆破情况吻合。     

灾后应急资源配送的LRP模型与算法研究

针对灾后应急资源配送的优化问题,考虑配送中心定位和配送路径方案的相互影响,建立应急资源配送的“定位-路径安排问题”优化模型,给出应急配送中心定位和配送可靠路径的全局优化方案。根据该模型的特点,设计多吸引子的离散粒子群优化算法,并结合仿真与分析,验证模型和算法的有效性。模型与算法的研究,对于突发事件下不确定交通路网应急资源配送决策具有一定指导意义。     

脱硫粉的粒度评述

阐述了脱硫粉剂粒度组成的内涵，确定粒度配比的必要性和3种粒度配比（曲线）的比较，为正确选用脱硫粉粒度提供基础资料。     

基于粗糙集——粒子群神经网络的建设项目安全预测研究

回顾施工项目安全管理和安全管理研究现状,建立建设项目安全管理指标体系。利用人工神经网络非线性函数逼近能力,对项目风险因素程度预测。针对该网络当数据量大时,其结构复杂、收敛慢,易陷入局部最优的缺点,引入粗糙集对影响建设项目安全目标的不确定性因素进行约简,找出最小不确定性风险因素集,大大简化网络输入信息的表达空间维数。并结合粒子群算法收敛速度快、全局最优的寻优能力强的优点,建立基于粗糙集——粒子群神经网络的建设项目安全预测系统。通过实例验证该系统的科学性和有效性。     

Comparison of the Chemical Composition of Mineral Particles Collected in Dunhuang,China and those Collected in the Free Troposphere over Japan: Possible Chemical Modification during Long-Range Transport

The Asian continent is recognized as one of the most important sources of mineral (or soil) particles. These particles have a large potential to effect global changes through the biogeochemical cycle of particulates and through radiative balance (IPCC Third Assessment Report, 2001). Therefore, comparison of particle compositions near the source region and those after long-range transport is important in understanding the long-range particle transport phenomenon. Individual aerosolparticles were collected in Dunhuang (40°09N; 94°41E), China. Particles were collected at the campus of the Meteorological Bureau of Dunhuang City (17 August 2001) and near the Mogao Grots, located approximately 30 km from Dunhuang (18 August 2001, 18 October 2001 and 13 January 2002) using a two-stage low-volume impactor. The morphology of individual aerosol particles and their elemental compositions were examined via a scanning electron microscope (Hitachi, S-3000N) equipped with an energy dispersive X-ray (EDX) analyzer (Horiba, EMAX-500). The particles collected at these locations were comprised primarily of minerals, with the exception of sulphateparticles in the submicron range that were contained in thesample collected on 18 October 2001 (likely, ammonium sulphate). The most abundant elements were found to be Si and Al. Approximately 46–77% of the collected particles were Si-richparticles (composed primarily of quartz and aluminosilicate),and 13–41% of the collected particles were Ca-rich particles,such as calcite (CaCO₃), dolomite (CaMg(CO₃)₂),and gypsum (CaSO₄2H₂O). The fractions of Fe-rich, Mg-rich, Ti-rich, K-rich, and Cl-rich were 3–10, 0–7, 0–3, 0–1, and 0–1%, respectively. Similar types of mineral particles were found in the free troposphere over Japan(Trochkine et al., 2002). A number of differences were found to exist between the particles collected in China and thosecollected in Japan, and these differences can be explained bychemical modification of the particles during transport fromChina to Japan.     

大庆地区总悬浮微粒乙醇溶物和水溶物污染状况分析

通过对大庆地区总悬浮微粒（TSP）中主要化学组成─—乙醇溶物和水溶物的测定分析得知，乙醇溶物占TSP的年均值为12．25％，高于北京市（6．41％），在空气中的平均浓度为0．0148mg／m3。乙醇溶物中有机物平均占58.6％，多为含羟基的有机物；无机物主要是控的硫酸盐和硝酸盐。水溶物占TSP的平均值为27.93％，高于北京市（11．29％），在空气中的平均浓度为0．0324mg／m3。从TSP中乙醇溶物和水溶物的测定结果可以看出各测点采暖期乙醇溶物、水溶物的浓度显著高于非采暖期，但其致突变强度比北京市弱。