上海城郊夏季大气VOCs在臭氧生成中的作用

为研究上海市夏季臭氧高发季节大气VOCs在臭氧生成中作用,选取2018年5～8月大气臭氧较高的时段,在淀山湖科学观测研究站对103种挥发性有机物、臭氧和氮氧化物等环境污染物进行观测.结果表明,上海臭氧高发季节大气平均φ(VOCs)为32.7×10-9,羰基化合物是VOCs的主要组分,所占质量分数达35.0％.羰基化合物...     

People,protected areas and ecosystem services: a qualitative and quantitative analysis of local people's perception and preferences in Côte d'Ivoire

The long‐term integrity of protected areas (PAs), and hence the maintenance of related ecosystem services (ES), are dependent on the support of local people. In the present study, local people's perceptions of ecosystem services from PAs and factors that govern local preferences for PAs are assessed. Fourteen study villages were randomly selected from three different protected forest areas and one control site along the southern coast of Côte d'Ivoire. Data was collected through a mixed‐method approach, including qualitative semi‐structured interviews and a household survey based on hypothetical choice scenarios. Local people's perceptions of ecosystem service provision was decrypted through qualitative content analysis, while the relation between people's preferences and potential factors that affect preferences were analyzed through multinomial models. This study shows that rural villagers do perceive a number of different ecosystem services as benefits from PAs in Côte d'Ivoire. The results based on quantitative data also suggest that local preferences for PAs and related ecosystem services are driven by PAs' management rules, age, and people's dependence on natural resources.     

Evaluating the Impacts of Environmental Flow Alternatives on Reservoir and Recreational Operations Using System Dynamics Modeling

Providing environmental flows is increasingly a management obligation in many water resource systems. Evaluating the impacts of environmental flow alternatives on other water uses in a basin can be a challenge, especially when collaborating with stakeholders. We demonstrate the use of system dynamics (SD) modeling to assess the impacts of four environmental flow alternatives in the Rio Chama, New Mexico. The model was developed to examine impacts of each alternative on reservoir storage and releases, hydropower production and revenue, and whitewater boating access. We simulated each alternative within a stochastic framework in order to explicitly incorporate hydrologic uncertainty into the analyses. The environmental flow alternatives were developed at a collaborative workshop of geomorphology, hydrology, and ecology experts. Results from the model indicate that the proposed flow recommendations on the Rio Chama will generally decrease annual reservoir storage, increase median flows, and have minimal impacts on hydropower production and whitewater rafting on the system. The Rio Chama case study is a promising example of how SD modeling can be used in the early stages of environmental flow studies and why it is compatible with collaborative modeling.     

响应面法建立不同经口介质中邻苯二甲酸酯生物有效性预测模型及相关因素

运用响应面法对不同消化基质下邻苯二甲酸酯(PAEs)生物有效性的相关因素进行筛选建立预测模型,并对主要因素设定值进行分析.研究表明,3种模型中因变量与自变量之间的相关性较好(土壤:R2=0.959;农作物及植物:R2=0.973;脂肪:R2=0.862),模型拟合度较高.通过多次试验模拟,初步认为在土壤消化基质中,设置人体摄入PAEs经口摄入浓度为10μg·g-1,基质质量为0.4g,pH值约为7时,生物吸收量最高.在植物源基质下,污染物浓度在10—11μg·g-1,消化时间在6—7h,基质质量为0.4g为生物吸收量最高.脂肪源中,基质质量在0.4g,污染物浓度在10μg·g-1,脂肪量在10%—11%时,PAEs生物吸收量最高.研究通过重复试验,充分体现了该模型的准确性,及设定条件的可靠性.但本研究仅考虑摄入介质相对单一,污染物化合形态等未在考虑范围内,在后期研究中将补充试验.     

水体系中3种常见邻苯二甲酸酯的光化学降解研究

采用固相微萃取-气相色谱-质谱联用(GC-MS)技术,研究了不同介质、光源、起始浓度、H2O2浓度等对3种常见邻苯二甲酸酯(PAEs)光化学降解过程的影响,并对邻苯二甲酸二(2-乙基己基)酯(DEHP)光降解的中间产物进行了检测,提出了可能发生的降解路径.结果表明:在不同介质中,邻苯二甲酸二甲酯(DMP)和邻苯二甲酸二乙酯(DEP)在Millipore-Q水中降解速度最快,而DEHP在天然海水中降解速度最快;3种PAEs在紫外灯照射下比模拟日光下降解速度快;相同紫外光照条件下,不同初始浓度的DMP、DEP和DEHP在研究浓度范围内(0.5~10μg·L-1)的光降解率随着浓度的增加呈现减小趋势;此外,体系中H2O2的存在会明显加快PAEs的降解速率;通过GC-MS分析,检测出了DEHP在UV/H2O2条件下降解产生的中间产物,并且发现DEHP是从侧链开始降解的.     

高层建筑火灾安全疏散研究述评

火灾条件下的高层建筑安全疏散研究已成为国内外研究的热点。介绍了高层建筑安全疏散设计及高层建筑人员疏散模拟两种主要研究方法在高层建筑安全疏散研究上的应用。首先说明了高层建筑安全疏散设计经历了一个从处方式安全疏散设计到性能化安全疏散设计的转变,分析了国内外在高层建筑性能化安全疏散设计上的发展,并列出了性能化安全疏散设计在实施中存在的问题;其次介绍了应用于高层建筑人员疏散的仿真模型,设想了高层建筑计算机模型的发展趋势;最后结合高层建筑火灾安全疏散目前存在的问题和不足,对高层建筑火灾安全疏散做出展望。     

Simulation investigations on the marble deterioration by sulphur dioxide

This paper deals with investigations on corrosion of marble SO2. We have simulated oxidation of SO2 by photochemical process in the atmosphere. The experiments indicate that formation of SO3 aerosols is related to the concentration of SO2, the UV light intensity, the time of irradiation and the humidity of the air. The corrosion feature of surfaces of the marble and the depth profiles of sulphur were obtained by SEM (Scanning electron microscope), EDXA (Energy-dispersive X-ray analyzer) and SIMS (Secondary ion mass spectrometer). The results of experiments show the corrosive extent of marble depends on its compositions and microareas of marble, which contain lower silicon content can be easily corroded by SO2.     

西南典型区域夏季大气含氧挥发性有机化合物来源解析

含氧挥发性有机物（OVOCs）是大气光化学过程中的重要中间产物,是臭氧的重要来源之一.利用质子转移反应飞行时间质谱仪（PTR-TOF-MS）在成都平原对OVOCs进行观测,探讨其日变化特征、光化学反应活性、臭氧生成潜势和来源.结果表明,10个VOCs［乙醛、丙酮、异戊二烯、甲基乙基酮（methyl ethyl ketone,MEK）、甲基乙烯基甲酮（methyl vinyl ketone,MVK）、甲基丙烯醛（methacrolein,MACR）、苯、甲苯、苯乙烯、C8芳香烃和C9芳香烃］总浓度（体积分数）为（10.97±4.69）×10^-9,OVOCs为（8.54±3.44）×10^-9,芳香烃为（1.53±0.93）×10^-9,生物源VOCs为（0.90±0.32）×10^-9;光化学活性和臭氧生成潜势均排名前三的物种为：异戊二烯、乙醛和C8芳香烃;3个OVOCs物种（乙醛、丙酮和MEK）主要来源于本地生物源和人为二次源,且丙酮有较强的区域背景值,说明该地区的污染受到较为显著的区域传输的影响.本研究可加深对西南地区臭氧的区域形成机制的认识,为科学管控臭氧污染提供依据.     

基于大面积网格法的商场疏散时间预测

为了准确预测商场人员疏散时间,文中结合群集流动规律及离散法建立新的大面积网格算法,将时间离散为微小单元Δt,空间离散为大面积网格,利用人员流动速度—密度公式,计算每一Δt时间内网格中人员流动速度,迭代累计各单元时间得到疏散时间。以某商场人员疏散演练为例进行分析,结果表明,大面积网格算法预测的人员疏散时间与实际疏散演习时间基本吻合,其相对误差为3.4%,预测精确度较高。     

国际河流管理合作模式的分类及演进规律探讨

论文对国际河流管理合作模式的概念、分类及演进规律进行了探讨。在从合作主体、目标、途径、制度等方面对合作模式进行单维度分类的基础上,借鉴霍尔三维结构图系统分析方法,构建了合作模式三维度分类模型,较全面、准确地概括了当前国际河流管理合作实践的模式类型。最后,综合世界各种典型国际河流管理合作模式的形成和发展过程,从模式要素的发展演变及模式演进的动力机制两个方面入手,详细阐述了国际河流管理合作模式的演进规律。