基于维纳过程的MEMS陀螺仪贮存寿命评估

目的 针对MEMS陀螺仪在步进应力加速试验条件下获取的性能退化数据,提出基于维纳过程的贮存寿命评估方法及其模型准确度检验方法。方法 首先,确定温度为影响MEMS陀螺仪性能退化的主要环境因素,采用步进温度应力加速试验的方式获取其性能退化数据。其次,分析各项性能参数的演变规律,确定标度因数为表征产品性能退化的特征性能参数。最后,采用漂移维纳过程对标度因数退化轨迹进行建模,并外推得到常温条件下的贮存寿命。结果 采用留一法对模型精度进行验证,模型准确度最低为86.44%。可靠度水平为0.95时,常温贮存(25 ℃)条件下的寿命评估结果为50.02 a。结论 基于维纳过程建立的性能退化模型的准确度在85%以上,该模型可应用于指定贮存条件下MEMS陀螺仪的性能退化预测及贮存寿命评估。     

协调视角下长三角城市群的空间结构演变与优化

以城市群为主体优化城镇化空间布局是构建国土空间规划体系的重要内容,空间优化的本质旨在促进城市群内部大中小城市协调发展。以长三角城市群为案例,在测度2001-2016年长三角城市群26个城市的城镇化协调水平基础上,运用社会网络和多维尺度分析等方法,分析和识别城镇化协调关系及其空间结构和内在演变机理。结果表明：（1）随着长三角城市群的城镇化协调水平提高,城市群内部的高协调城市逐渐显现出以上海为核心的“Z型”分布态势,低协调城市则稳定分布在长三角城市群扩容后的范围;（2）根据城镇化协调水平的关联强度划分长三角城市群的凝聚子群,凝聚子群的加权平均中心度和联系密度增大后,上海极化效应更加明显;（3）从城镇化协调关系的空间和时间两个维度识别城市群空间结构,长三角城市群从在空间距离影响下以省会城市为中心的“圈层”结构,变形为在时间距离影响下的“核心—边缘”结构;（4）人口、土地和经济城镇化三者协调水平的变化影响着长三角城市群空间结构演变,相较人口与经济城镇化,土地城镇化对城镇化协调关系的加强具有显著促进作用。从协调视角剖析长三角城市群的空间结构并提出优化政策,有助于中国现有资源环境承载能力条件下城市群一体化建设和空间资源的高效利用。     

Boater Perceptions of Environmental Issues Affecting Lakes in Northern Wisconsin

Understanding public perceptions of the importance of environmental issues is crucial for gauging support for management activities. I present a novel methodological approach to assess the importance boaters placed on 16 water issues in a lake‐rich region of northern Wisconsin. A latent class maximum difference conjoint model was used to examine the relationships between environmental concern and engagement with lake resources. Boaters were grouped to maximize observed heterogeneity in prioritizing issues of concern. Socio‐demographic characteristics, recreation specialization, place attachment, and attitudes concerning aquatic stewardship and invasive species management were then used to predict class membership. This modeling approach identified five groups whose perceptions of issues pertaining to lakes are influenced by their interactions with the lake environment. While anglers were most concerned about fishing quality, sightseers identified lakeshore development and loss of natural habitat. Groups also differed in their socio‐demographic and attitudinal characteristics. The priorities of each group were substantially different from those of the overall sample. Accounting for differences in stakeholders' environmental concerns may improve public involvement in water management initiatives by allowing managers to identify common concerns and prioritize important issues among multiple groups.     

文南油田注水管线防污染清洗技术研究

针对文南油田注水管线内壁结垢对油田注水的危害,以及管线常规清洗中存在的环境污染和硫化氢中毒问题,进行了注水管线防污染清洗技术的研究。通过分析消除硫化氢的反应机理,配制了三种常规清洗剂和两组硫化氢抑制剂,并将清洗剂与抑制剂复配后进行脱垢实验,从而优选出最佳复配剂(MF-1-B),经过现场试验,排酸口空气中硫化氢浓度为3～5mg/m3。防污染清洗技术的开发应用使文南油田注水管网得到了及时、全面的清洗,水质达标率由清洗前的30%上升到100%。     

SARS疫情的标度性质及其物理意义

使用Zipf分布研究了2003年4月20日前后中国内地各省的SARS疫情,发现SARS病例数满足分段的幂律关系,其中不同的段分别相应于不同的传播方式。资料显示,4月20日前后北京地区处于非常特殊的状态,此时所采取的非常措施看来是十分必要的。     

循环冷却水浓缩倍率对凝汽器管路的腐蚀和结垢趋势

利用水质判断指数来预测不同循环冷却水浓缩倍率下水的结垢趋势,确定形成最佳碳酸钙保护膜所对应的浓缩倍率,以达到最经济的防止循环冷却水系统腐蚀和结垢的目的.     

Diversity–stability relationships revisited: scaling rules for biological communities near equilibrium

The debate on diversity–stability relationships has a long history of theoretical interest and plays a central role in development of modern ecology. But such debate has recently re-opened under critical scrutiny both in theoretical and empirical studies. In this paper we use allometric (or energetic) scaling and statistical physics approaches to this problem. On the basis of local Damuth symmetry, a Markov model of transfer of energy between different species, and the fluctuation–dissipation theorem, scaling rules of species number and population variability of biological communities near equilibrium are derived. These scaling rules indicate that the diversity–stability relationship may be an energetic and thermodynamic consequence of ecological systems near equilibrium, not a simple statistical consequence as derived by other recent theoretical work.     

离心模型试验技术在环境岩土工程中的应用现状与展望

首先简单介绍了离心模型试验技术的发展状况,然后探讨了其在环境岩土工程中的应用,研究了模型和原型的相似规律,提出了环境岩土工程离心模型试验的发展方向.     

含硫低浊度采油污水絮凝处理技术的研究

中原油田明二污属含硫低浊度污水,处理后水主要用于回注。文章通过pH调节剂的优选、除硫剂优选并与絮凝药剂联合,对明二污含硫低浊度污水进行了絮凝处理。结果表明:当pH值为7.5、2#絮凝剂加量为50mg/L、有机絮凝剂加量为0.5mg/L、除硫剂加量为20mg/L时,处理后水中的悬浮物、总铁和含油量分别达到1.9mg/L、0.43mg/L和0mg/L;SRB、TGB均为102个/mL;腐蚀速率及结垢量分别降到0.062mm/a和1.9mg/L;污泥产生量降低到0.23～0.26mg/L;在90℃时的结垢量由地层水的23.3mg/L降低到1.9mg/L,处理后的水达到中原油田回注水的水质标准,并且水质稳定。     

环保型多功能水处理剂的合成

以丙烯酸（AA）、2－丙烯酰胺基－2－甲基－丙磺酸（AMPS）、次磷酸钠及过硫酸钠为原料,合成了一种含膦基、羧基和磺酸基的多功能水处理剂。探讨了原料配比、反应温度、反应时间对合成产品阻垢性能的影响,反应温度为100℃、反应时间为4h、单体质量比AA∶AMPS＝3∶1、Na2S2O8∶nAH2PO2∶(AA AMPS)=2.5∶15∶100时,该聚合物阻CaCO3、Ca3(PO4)2及锌盐沉积的综合性能最佳。