水土流失地区农田可持续利用的评价模型研究

通过水土流失地区不同农业生产方式对土地质量及土壤生产力的影响研究,探讨不同作物及其不同的种植方式对农田可持续利用的评价预测模型及土地资源利用的价值核算方法。通过对山西省闻喜县的案例应用验证,表明了在农业可持续发展研究中应用的可行性。     

Analysis and Case Study of Duststorms in the Beijing Area

Dust weather conditions with strong wind often occur in Beijing during spring. The number of duststorms in Beijing has declined since 1954. In the last two years, however, the number of duststorms in Beijing has increased drastically due to frequent cold air movements and the deteriorated ecological environment. The heaviest duststorm in the last decade in Beijing occurred on 6 April 2000. It was caused by the development of a high-level small trough along with strong northwest wind behind a large trough that moved eastward and developed a strong cold air system. A non-hydrostatic meso-scale numerical model (MM5) gave a good forecast to the duststorm's major features and movement. Simulated results showed that there was a strong vertical ascending motion with a strong positive vorticity center in mid and low level. The mesoscale structure's formation and development and movement were consistent with the passage and moving direction of the duststorm. At the same time, the trajectories of air particles during this duststorm event and another case (on 27 March 2000) were estimated and analyzed, which had the comparable results with the real situation and the trajectory monitored by meteorological satellite. The trajectories analysis could help us study the transport track and sand source to some extent.     

文丘里串联结构气泡发生器气液混合和发泡特性试验

高效紧凑型微细气泡发生技术和粒径调控技术是微细气泡技术大规模工业应用的前提和基础。通过CFD数值模拟手段和试验测试手段测试两级文丘里串联结构气泡发生器内气液两相混合发泡特性,并利用响应曲面法对关键结构参数进行了优化设计和交互影响分析。结果表明：对两级文丘里串联结构气泡发生器成泡粒径影响最大的参数主要是二级喉管管径,其次为一级喉管管径和二级扩张角,一级扩张角的影响最小。相同工况条件下,单级文丘里管气泡发生器所生成的气泡群中位粒径为543.64 μm,粒径小于100 μm的微细气泡数量占比为8.6%;两级文丘里管串联气泡发生器所生成的气泡中位粒径为515.99 μm,微细气泡数量占比提升至12.1%。因此,可以通过控制水流流量和改变文丘里串联数量实现气泡粒径从毫米级别到微米级别的调控。

     

原位电阻加热修复热传递模型构建及数值模拟

原位电阻加热(Electrical resistance heating,ERH)技术在场地修复中工艺参数的选取较多依赖于工程经验,ERH热量传递的数值模型能够模拟不同工艺参数下土壤加热的温度场,从而为ERH工艺参数的选取提供理论指导。利用电阻加热土柱装置实验验证了建立的数值模型的准确性,并应用在场地尺度下探讨了电场强度、电极间距和地下水流动对原位三相电阻加热的影响。结果表明,模型具有较好的准确性,实测值和模拟值均方误差为0.05~12.29,平均相对误差为0.42%~5.32%。随着电场强度越大,土壤升温速率显著加快;电场强度90 V·m⁻¹时,综合考虑电极井建设数量、加热时长及能耗,最适宜的电极间距为6 m;对电极附近补水可以显著缩短加热时长。较快的地下水流动会降低场地升温速率,不利于场地的修复;对于地下水流速过快的场地应采取适当的工程措施缓解热量流失。本研究结果可为原位电阻加热工程的设计和运行提供参考。     

Increasing accuracy of dispersal kernels in grid-based population models

Dispersal kernels in grid-based population models specify the proportion, distance and direction of movements within the model landscape. Spatial errors in dispersal kernels can have large compounding effects on model accuracy. Circular Gaussian and Laplacian dispersal kernels at a range of spatial resolutions were investigated, and methods for minimizing errors caused by the discretizing process were explored. Kernels of progressively smaller sizes relative to the landscape grid size were calculated using cell-integration and cell-center methods. These kernels were convolved repeatedly, and the final distribution was compared with a reference analytical solution. For large Gaussian kernels (σ > 10 cells), the total kernel error was <10⁻¹¹ compared to analytical results. Using an invasion model that tracked the time a population took to reach a defined goal, the discrete model results were comparable to the analytical reference. With Gaussian kernels that had σ ≤ 0.12 using the cell integration method, or σ ≤ 0.22 using the cell center method, the kernel error was greater than 10%, which resulted in invasion times that were orders of magnitude different than theoretical results. A goal-seeking routine was developed to adjust the kernels to minimize overall error. With this, corrections for small kernels were found that decreased overall kernel error to <10⁻¹¹ and invasion time error to <5%.     

苏沪浙海岸的地震海啸增水

江苏、上海和浙江地区的地震海啸增水研究自20世纪80年代开始,研究结果为沿海重大工程建设提供了地震海啸设防的基本数据。地震海啸历史文献记录表明,可能在该地区产生显著增水的海啸主要发生在南黄海海域和台湾附近海域。在琉球隆褶区发生的地震海啸受到冲绳海槽、钓鱼岛隆褶带的阻滞,在向东海陆架浅水区传播过程中进一步衰减,由此产生的海啸增水只有在现代仪器记录上才能分辨出来,通常不会在该地区产生灾害。在识别该研究区的潜在海啸源工作的基础上,用数值方法分析研究了海啸波传播过程,结果认为该地区受到的地震海啸影响不大于风暴潮,这一结论与历史记录相符。     

地铁列车火灾中的人员疏散仿真研究

近年来,随着城市人口的不断激增,地铁行业也随之蓬勃发展,地铁列车已经从城市交通的辅助角色转变成人们生活中的关键需求,因而做好地铁的消防安全工程势在必行。针对列车火灾的人员疏散问题进行了模拟分析,考虑列车车厢内4种人员密度疏散的场景,通过软件模拟分析,将结果与规范计算所得结果进行比对,较为真实可靠地反映了人员密度对疏散的影响,并在此基础上提出相关建议。     

Quantitative analysis of microplastics in coastal tidal-flat reclamation in Dongtai,China

• Reclamation projects are important disturbances on microplastic risk in coasts. • Tidal-flat reclamation area is a large storage medium for sedimentary microplastics. • Aging and distribution features of soil microplastics show spatial heterogeneity. • Coastal weathered engineering geotextiles are a significant threat to marine health. Coastal tidal flats have received considerable attention in recent years, as they provide a direct channel for the discharge of terrestrial microplastics into the ocean. Land reclamation is occurring increasingly frequently in coastal tidal-flats; however, the environmental impacts of these activities remain unclear. Therefore, this pioneering study assessed the microplastic emission characteristics of reclamation geotextiles and performed a risk assessment accordingly. Morphological characterization of geotextile samples collected from five sites in Dongtai, China, provided evidence of sedimentary weathering. Based on several assumptions, the average abundance of microplastics in soil covered by geotextiles was estimated to reach 349±137 particles/kg dry weight, with the total microplastic load in the reclaimed area estimated to be 20.67±8.06 t. Compared with previous studies, this research demonstrates that coastal reclamation areas store a high concentration of microplastics, aggravating marine microplastic pollution. Moreover, conditional fragmentation model results revealed that the weathering and distribution characteristics of soil microplastics in coastal tidal-flat areas exhibit spatial heterogeneity, being more easily affected by natural factors (such as tides) than those in inland areas. As a result of tides, the annual discharge of geotextile-originating microplastics from the studied areas into the ocean was approximately 2465.52±960.77 t. These findings prove that the risks posed by engineering-microplastics are significant, indicating that further investigations are required on the precise laws of transfer and migration, as well as the toxicity mechanisms, in order to improve analytical techniques and policies in this field.     

总量控制约束下区域用水结构调控策略及动态模拟

在既定水资源供给下,通过调控区域用水结构,提高用水效率与效益,使经济社会发展与用水总量限制的水资源约束相适应,是目前区域经济社会发展面临与亟待解答的关键科学问题。选择若干指标定量描述用水系统与社会经济系统耦合关系的基础上,以国民经济部门划分和用水主体划分相结合的方式,细化第一、二、三产业、生活和生态用水指标,建立了江苏省用水结构与产业结构、用水需求与经济社会发展指标互动反馈的模拟调控的系统动力学模型。在对当前发展模式下的江苏省用水总量发展趋势模拟预测分析基础上,选择对系统影响显著的参数作为调控变量,设计了5种对比情景,动态模拟水资源供求变化和用水结构变化情况,提出了江苏省用水总量控制下用水结构调控方案和对策,为区域落实最严格水资源管理制度提供决策依据。     

城市“屋顶花园”对城市气候影响方法研究

:随着社会经济的迅猛发展 ,我国城市数量不断增多 ,城市规模不断扩大 ,随之带来的是城市环境不断恶化。如何改变这种状况 ,使城市规模和环境协调发展 ,是摆在科技工作者面前的紧迫任务。理论分析和实际观测资料表明 ,城市平顶屋面绿化是改善城市气候的最有效的途径之一 ,它对由于城市而产生的“五岛”效应均有不同程度的消弱或改善作用。通过关于城市屋面绿化对城市气候影响过程的分析 ,阐明了城市屋面绿化对城市气候影响的特征 ,并从理论上着重提出用移植法和数值模拟法来研究其影响的程度 ,最后提出了理想城市环境应具有的特征 ,并呼吁城市建设部门成立专门的机构以全面负责平顶屋面的绿化