方法标准验证实验数据中离群值的识别

对方法标准验证实验中测量数据进行合格性审核,对于后续方法精密度计算是一个重要环节。文献中识别离群值的Grubbs法、Dixon法等经典方法有时不能满足要求。探讨了用稳健统计法识别离群值的可行性。基于2套文献数据和XRF方法标准验证实验精密度测量数据,对Grubbs法、Dixon法、Mandel h检验法、质控指标法和稳健统计法(四分位法、迭代法、合格数据范围判定法)进行了比较。结果表明:稳健统计法可有效识别离群值。但四分位法存在过度"检出"现象。综合考虑多种方法识别结果有利于提高离群值判定结论的可靠性。对于个别难以判断的情形,可借助质控指标、技术要求以及数据是否剔除对实验室间标准偏差的影响进行取舍。     

分光光度分析加标回收率直接计算的数学模型研究

根据分光光度分析试液的吸光度与测定过程中的有关参数,推导出直接计算加标回收率的数学模型。经应用验证,该模型推导正确,应用结果可靠,而且计算简单、快速     

SENSITIVITY OF GROUNDWATER FLOW MODELS TO VERTICAL VARIABILITY OF AQUIFER CONSTANTS1

ABSTRACT: The Ogallala aquifer in the Oklahoma Panhandle is in need of better management because of increased groundwater demand which has caused declines in static water levels at an alarming rate. A groundwater management computer model was developed for the Ogallala aquifer in the Texas Panhandle and treats the aquifer as a homogeneous system. In this study, the computer model has been modified in order to evaluate the effects of vertical layering on semi-static water level changes which occur during the dewatering of a single unconfined aquifer. The modified model was applied to a study area near Guymon, Oklahoma, using both the homogeneous and the multilayered cases. The aquifer is characterized by a saturated thickness of 400 feet. The accumulated drawdown values of the homogeneous and the multilayered cases demonstrate that an average difference of approximately 22% of the original saturated thickness occurs between the two cases before the base of the aquifer is encountered. Approximately 25% more time is required to dewater the layered aquifer. Thus, vertical variations of lithology in an aquifer such as the Ogallala should be considered when prediction is made relative to groundwater management.     

成渝地区大气污染生命统计价值评价研究——基于单边界二分式的条件价值法

大气污染生命统计价值是进行大气污染造成的人体健康损失核算和大气污染防治政策成效评估的关键指标。本文运用条件价值方法的单边界二分式函数模型,对成渝地区降低大气污染健康风险的平均支付意愿和生命统计价值进行了计算。主要结论如下:①成渝地区大气污染的平均支付意愿是1974.2元,生命统计价值为394.8万元。其中,四川部分地区和重庆地区的生命统计价值分别为402万元和392.8万元。②性别、家庭年收入和自我认知的身体健康状况等指标对平均支付意愿影响较大。③在生命价值评估方法中,国内普遍使用人力资本法,而国外主要使用条件价值法。条件价值法计算的生命统计价值高于人力资本法计算的结果,但与发达国家相比,我国成渝地区的生命统计价值相对较低。     

Assessment and mapping of environmental quality in agricultural soils of Zhejiang Province, China

Heavy metal concentrations in agricultural soils of Zhejiang Province were monitored to indicate the status of heavy metal contamination and assess environmental quality of agricultural soils. A total of 908 soil samples were collected from 38 counties in Zbejiang Province and eight heavy metal （Cd, Cr, Pb, Hg, Cu, Zn, Ni and As） concentrations had been evaluated in agricultural soil. It was found 775 samples were unpolluted and 133 samples were slightly polluted and more respectively, that is approximately 14.65% agricultural soil samples had the heavy metal concentration above the threshold level in this province by means of Nemerow＇s synthetical pollution index method according to the second grade of Standards for Soil Environmental Quality of China （GB15618- 1995）. Contamination of Cd was the highest, followed by Ni, As and Zn were lower correspondingly. Moreover, Inverse Distance Weighted （IDW） interpolation method was used to make an assessment map of soil environmental quality based on the Nemerow＇s pollution index and the soil environmental quality was categorized into five grades. Moreover, ten indices were calculated as input parameters for principal component analysis （PCA） and the principal components （PCs） were created to compare environmental quality of different soils and regions. The results revealed that environmental quality of tea soils was better than that of paddy soils, vegetable soils and fruit soils. This study indicated that GIS combined with multivariate statistical approaches proved to be effective and powerful tool in the mapping of soil contamination distribution and the assessment of soil environmental quality on provincial scale, which is beneficial to environmental protection and management decision-making by local government.     

国际土地利用/覆盖变化模型研究综述

国际上对土地利用/覆盖变化的研究由来已久,近年由于土地利用/覆盖变化对全球变化的贡献及响应,预测土地利用/覆盖变化成为必然。由此,越来越多的科学家致力于研究土地利用/覆盖变化模型,并取得了积极进展。论文介绍了目前国际上土地利用/覆盖变化模型的一些相关问题:①土地利用/覆盖变化模拟的尺度依赖性;②土地利用/覆盖变化模拟的数据问题;③预测土地利用/覆盖变化的位置与数量。回顾了已有的5种主要的土地利用/覆盖变化模型:①基于行为者的土地利用/覆盖变化模型;②经验统计模型;③最优化模型;④混合/综合模型;⑤动力模拟模型。最后总结了现有模型中存在的问题,并探讨了今后土地利用/覆盖变化模型发展的方向。     

基于DPSIR框架理论的环境管理能力分析

鉴于完善的环境管理政策和法律法规对于保护和改善当前的环境状况的重要性，在DPSIR理论框架的基础上，分析了环境管理社会能力的概念，建立了环境管理社会能力的评价指标体系。并通过调查问卷获取数据，对数据进行整理，利用相关软件进行统计分析，得出北京市当前环境管理现状和未来发展方向。其中应用了DPSIR框架理论反映环境管理中各基本要素间的因果关系，采用了类似“服务质量”的概念体现能力估算时环境管理的质量。     

松桃河流域氨氮和锰污染特征及生态风险评价

以地处"锰三角"核心区的松桃河流域为研究对象,应用统计学方法对2011～2019年松桃河流域17个监测断面的18个水质指标进行统计分析,重点研究松桃河流域主要污染物氨氮和锰污染特征、时空变异及来源解析,利用商值法、安全阈值法对松桃河流域氨氮和锰的生态风险进行评价.结果表明:松桃河流域主要受到氨氮和锰污染,两者在P<0....     

数据清洗对污水处理厂生物建模可靠性影响研究

为应对污水处理厂出水水质要求的不断提升,通过生物建模技术降低污水处理厂碳源、除磷药剂投加量,实现达标排放同时降低运营成本已成为必要手段.然而,数据质量是影响模型可靠性的关键因素.为提高建模数据质量,本研究在生物建模过程中提出了系统性3步清洗方法：统计分析法标定可疑数据;物料平衡计算法剔除大误差并闭合流量平衡;污泥特征分析法修正污泥组分.应用该方法成功对天津宁河芦台桥北污水处理厂2019年1—7月历史水质数据、SCADA在线流量数据及补充采集的3日水质数据实现有效的清洗,并完成基于Biowin-ASDM活性污泥模型的生物建模案例研究.通过与直接利用原始数据进行模拟拟合的对比结果表明,应用清洗后的数据进行建模可有效提升模型可靠性,不但校正参数趋于合理,更可实现生化段主要污染物TSS、TCOD、TN、TP去除率的模拟误差≤3%.     

生物滞留池用于城市雨水径流控制研究现状和展望

生物滞留池是一种采用分散方法,从源头削减雨水和控制污染物迁移的高效LID措施。从水文效应、水质处理及模型建立三方面回顾了国外生物滞留池的研究现状,对生物滞留池用于国内城市雨水径流控制展望如下:在满足水量负荷下对溶解性N和颗粒悬浮物去除的研究;生物滞留池长期运行稳定性研究,包括填料的二次污染和自然再生等;生物滞留池水力模型和水质模型的研究必须与理论研究相结合,以减少试验周期和优化试验参数。