论灾害管理与经济发展的辩证关系

本文以ＡＢＣ分类法说明了减轻地震灾害的重要意义，指出了地震灾害绝对损失数额一般会随社会经济发展而逐渐增大这一客观事实。文中提出了表达地震灾害危险性、防抗灾工程投资和社会经济发展关系的一般数学模型，对灾害管理与经济发展的辩证关系进行了讨论。     

MUNICIPAL WATER USE AND WATER RATES DRIVEN BY SEVERE DROUGHT: A CASE STUDY1

ABSTRACT: This paper synthesizes and interprets data pertaining to the evolution of average water revenue, water use, and the average cost of water supply in the City of Santa Barbara, California, from 1986 to 1996, a period which included one of the most devastating droughts in California this century. The 1987–1992 drought hit the study area particularly hard. The City of Santa Barbara was dependent exclusively on local sources for its water supply. That made it vulnerable as the regional climate is prone to extreme variability and recurrent droughts. The 1986–1992 drought provided a rare opportunity to assess the sensitivity of municipal water use to pricing, conservation, and other water management measures under extreme drought conditions. Our analysis indicates that the average cost of water rose more than three-fold in real terms from 1986 to 1996, while the gap between the average cost of supply and the average revenue per unit of water (= 100 cubic feet) rose in real terms from $0.14 in 1986 to $ 0.75 in 1996. The rise of $3.08 in the average cost of supplying one unit of water between 1986 and 1996 measures the cost of hedging drought risk in the study area. Water use dropped 46 percent at the height of the drought relative to pro-drought water use, and remains at 61 percent of the pre-drought level. The data derived from the 1987–1992 California drought are unique and valuable insofar as shedding light on drought/water demand adaptive interactions. The experience garnered on drought management during that unique period points to the possibilities available for future water management in the Arid West where dwindling water supplies and burgeoning populations are facts that we must deal with.     

安全管理职业化与职业安全管理队伍建设

提出了安全管理职业化的概念，并就建立职业安全管理队伍的措施以及安全管理社会化服务问题进行了讨论。     

系统安全性评价的AHP方法及在热处理作业系统中的应用

介绍了系统安全评价的ＡＨＰ方法，叙述了该方法的基本步骤，并以某公司热处理分厂评忏为实例，证明了该方法的有效性和实用性。     

矿井重大灾害危险性评价的改进灰色统计法

用灰色统计理论［１］研究了矿井四大灾害即冒顶、水灾、火灾和瓦斯爆炸的危险性预评价问题，提出了一种新的评价方法──灰色统计综合法。同时，从应用的角度出发对灰色统计的算法作了改进，改进后的算法便于记忆和应用。     

矿井通风系统模糊可靠性研究

定义模糊可靠度为一个服从正态分布的模糊数，并以模糊数作为通风系统的各风路可靠度，进而提出了矿井通风系统的模糊可靠度计算方法。同时在置信水平上，确定矿井通风系统的普通可靠度置信区间。若＝１，则模糊可靠度计算转化为可靠度计算。     

论冲压设备机械伤害事故的成因与预防

任何事故的发生都离不开人的不安全行为和物的不安全状态，作为危险性较大的冲压设备机械的伤害事故的产生也不例外。为此，从冲压设备机械伤害事故的两起案例入手，具体分析形成事故的因素并提出预防事故发生的有效措施。     

火炸药热自燃点测试及数据自动记录的探讨

简述了所建立的炸药热自燃点测试系统的结构和工作原理，阐明了在多试样热自燃点测试中，采用温度数据自动记录系统的必要性。着重讨论了所研制的多试样火炸药热自燃点自动记录仪的结构和工作原理。     

茶叶及其主要成分防暑效果的研究

实验表明，饮用全茶水者的平均心率增加值明显低于饮用咖啡碱者和白开水者，其平均体温升高值小于饮用茶多酚者和白开水者，其失水量均低于饮用茶多酚者、咖啡碱者和白开水者；而饮用全茶水、茶多酚、咖啡碱或白开水，对手操纵功能无明显影响。     

矿山呼吸性粉尘危害程度评价法研究

矿山呼吸性粉尘危害程度评价法研究侯祺棕（武汉工业大学资源与环境工程系）［摘要］通过对矿山呼吸性粉尘实际危害程度评价法的研究，并经实例检验，推荐两种具有可操作性和足够准确的评价法，这对矿山呼吸性粉尘监测新技术的推广具有重要意义。［关键词］呼吸性粉尘，危...