基于SPA-Markov的飞行安全态势评估与预测研究

为提高航空公司飞行安全风险控制和预测水平,利用QAR数据作为支撑,结合集 对分析和马尔科夫理论建立飞行安全态势评估模型。该模型以QAR超限事件为评估指标 ,采用集对分析中的联系度来描述安全风险等级;运用马尔科夫理论确定安全状态的转 移概率矩阵,以预测飞行安全动态变化趋势。最后以某公司A320机队6个月发生频率最 高的7类超限事件对模型进行验证。结果表明:该公司2月、6月和预测月份的安全状态 为一般风险,其他月份为低风险;总体安全状态也为一般风险,并有增加趋势。     

我们该吃什么?

赣南“毒猪油”事件、朔州“假白酒”事件、广东“毒大米”事件……近年来,随着食品中毒事件的此起彼伏,人们对食品是否安全产生了担心,有的人甚至发出了“你还敢吃吗”的疑问。事实真的有这么严重吗?答案是否定的。专家认为,这场     

解读鞭炮销售点背后的部门利益链

社会学家孙立平先生有一个论断:政府部门利益化的实质,是政府的公共权力被具有私利的主体所分解.现实生活中,我们也不时见到"政府部门利益化"的个案,看到以法律形式固定下来的部门利益.     

烷基多苷促进污泥水解产酸的研究

采用向污泥中投加生物表面活性剂烷基多苷(APG)的方法,研究了APG投加量和水解时间对剩余污泥水解产酸过程的影响.结果表明,APG显著降低污泥表面张力,强化污泥水解,在最适投加量(以TSS计,下同)0.2 g·g-1下,SCOD、蛋白质和可溶性糖的浓度均在12h内达到最大,分别由初始的4 280.2、1 122.9和246.5 mg·L-1上升到6 481.1、1 639.3和1 205.8mg·L-1,同时短链脂肪酸(SCFAs)浓度由1 309.9 mg·L-1增加为2 221.6 mg·L-1,且SCFA的组分分布随之改变,APG投加量越大,SCFAs达到最大浓度所需时间也随之延长.随着APG投加量的增大,α-葡萄糖苷酶相对活力由1.5升至2.5,而蛋白酶相对活力在低投加量下由1.4升至1.9,高投加量下降至1.5.不论APG是否存在,α-葡萄糖苷酶和蛋白酶的活力在达最高后都随着水解时间的延长而逐渐降低.整个过程中pH均呈现先减小后增大的趋势.     

Sulfur evolution in chemical looping combustion of coal with MnFe2O4 oxygen carrier

Chemical looping combustion （CLC） of coal has gained increasing attention as a novel combustion technology for its advantages in CO2 capture. Sulfur evolution from coal causes great harm from either the CLC operational or environmental perspective. In this research, a combined MnFe2O4 oxygen carrier （OC） was synthesized and its reaction with a typical Chinese high sulfur coal, Liuzhi （LZ） bituminous coal, was performed in a thermogravimetric analyzer （TGA）-Fourier transform infrared （FT-IR） spectrometer. Evolution of sulfur species during reaction of LZ coal with MnFeaO40C was systematically investigated through experimental means combined with thermodynamic simulation. TGA-FTIR analysis of the LZ reaction with MnFe2O4 indicated MnFe2O4 exhibited the desired superior reactivity compared to the single reference oxides Mn304 or Fe203, and SO2 produced was mainly related to oxidization of H2S by MnFe2O4. Experimental analysis of the LZ coal reaction with MnFe2O4, including X-ray diffraction and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy analysis, verified that the main reduced counterparts of MnFe2O4 were Fe304 and MnO, in good agreement with the related thermodynamic simulation. The obtained MnO was beneficial to stabilize the reduced MnFe2O4 and avoid serious sintering, although the oxygen in MnO was not fully utilized. Meanwhile, most sulfur present in LZ coal was converted to solid MnS during LZ reaction with MnFe2O4, which was further oxidized to MnSO4. Finally, the formation of both MnS and such manganese silicates as Mn2SiO4 and MnSiO3 should be addressed to ensure the full regeneration of the reduced MnFe2O4.     

Determining short chain fatty acids in sewage sludge hydrolysate：A comparison of three analytical methods and investigation of sample storage effects

In anaerobic digestion, the production of short-chain fatty acids （SCFAs） can be beneficial or harmful to the overall process, depending on the concentration of accumulated acids. Therefore, the accurate determination of the SCFA concentration in both fresh and stored sludge hydrolysates is important. To select a suitable method for monitoring SCFAs during the anaerobic digestion of sewage sludge, the accuracy of three available analytical methods, including 5 pH point acid titration （TITRA5）, gas chromatography （GC）, and spectrophotometry, were compared in the present study. The results revealed that TITRA5 and GC displayed better agreement in the achieved measurements and higher precision and accuracy than the spectrophotometric assay, as supported by the application of different statistical models. TITRA5 excelled in titrating unfiltered hydrolysate while simultaneously measuring the alkalinity, whereas the GC method provided detailed information on the contribution of different fatty acids to the total acidity. In contrast, the spectrophotometric assay suffered from many forms of interference, depending on the sample＇s matrix. SCFA production followed the pattern of enzymatic reactions and fitted the Michaelis-Menten model. In addition to promoting TITRA5 as an accurate and robust analytical tool for routine SCFA analyses, this comparative study also demonstrated the possibility of storing hydrolysate samples at different temperatures and durations without altering the SCFA measurements.     

循环型企业“三链”融合发展的途径与政策——以晋江东风橡胶有限公司为例

企业是发展循环经济的主体,循环型企业是建设生态文明的重要力量。从"技术链、产品链、价值链"融合发展的视角,分析循环型企业"三链"融合的概念内涵和重点工作,以福建省晋江东风橡胶有限公司为案例,研究循环型企业"三链"融合发展的实现途径,并从政府经济管理角度,提出推进循环型企业"三链"融合发展的政策体系,为解决循环型企业发展中面临的资源环境压力、技术创新不足等现实问题提供决策参考。     

一株耐镉链霉菌的筛选、鉴定与基本特性分析

微生物在重金属污染治理中具有重要作用.采用微生物纯培养技术从镉污染土壤中分离获得一株在液体培养基和固体培养基中能够分别耐受45 mmol·L~(-1)和50 mmol·L~(-1)Cd~(2+)的细菌,通过形态学、生理生化及分子鉴定,初步鉴定该菌株属于链霉菌(Streptomyces sp.),命名为Streptomyces sp.strain Cd TB01.进一步实验结果表明,耐镉链霉菌Streptomyces sp.strain Cd TB01的优化培养条件为:马铃薯蔗糖培养基,在250m L的三角瓶中装液量为90 m L,培养温度30℃,初始pH=6.0,接种量6.0%,NaCl质量分数0%;湿菌体吸附Cd~(2+)的优化条件为:温度30℃,pH=8.0,NaCl质量分数1.0%,Cd~(2+)浓度500 mg·L~(-1),吸附率为44.78%;干菌粉吸附Cd~(2+)的优化条件为:温度30℃,pH=9.0,NaCl质量分数0%,Cd~(2+)浓度100 mg·L~(-1),吸附率达到70.45%.说明链霉菌Streptomyces sp.strain Cd TB01在重金属污水处理中具有广阔的应用前景.     

新型灾害催生新型管理机制

2008年初,我国南方大部分省份发生了严重的低温雨雪冰冻灾害,造成了巨大的损失。本文运用灾害学的基本理论分析这场灾害,发现它有许多不同于以往自然灾害的新特点。结合风险管理的理论同时参考国外风险与灾害管理的经验,作者认为政府应该在综合风险防范的基础上进行灾害管理,提出了政府成立综合风险与灾害应急管理常设机构以应对类似灾害的建议。