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根据二 英类物质在常温大气环境中的固相吸附态比例约为90%~100%的特性,提出以颗粒物TSP和PM10为载体模拟二 英类物质扩散迁移过程,并采用AERMOD模型进行模拟.结果表明,100%和80%的气-固分配系数设置对二 英类物质扩散迁移落地点浓度和距离影响不显著,颗粒物粒径分布系数影响较明显.二 英类物质实测浓度值为0.23~1.66 pg I-TEQ/m3.以TSP为载体AERMOD模拟浓度值为0.13~1.81 pg I-TEQ/m3,以PM10为载体模拟浓度为0.15~1.68 pg I-TEQ/m3.两参数对模拟结果产生的平均总不确定性分别为24.31%和12.43%.AERMOD模型模拟值与实测值相对差比值为0.01~0.89,PM10模拟浓度值比TSP模拟浓度值更接近于实测值. 相似文献
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Air quality model can be an adequate tool for future air quality prediction, also atmospheric observations supporting and emission control strategies responders. The influence of emission control policy (emission reduction targets in the national "China’s 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015)") on the air quality in the near future over an important industrial city of China, Xuanwei in Yunnan Province, was studied by applying the AERMOD modeling system. First, our analysis demonstrated that the AERMOD modeling system could be used in the air quality simulation in the near future for SO2 and NOx under average meteorology but not for PM10. Second, after evaluating the simulation results in 2008 and 2015, ambient concentration of SO2, NOx and PM10 (only 2008) were all centered in the middle of simulation area where the emission sources concentrated, and it is probably because the air pollutions were source oriented. Last but not least, a better air quality condition will happen under the hypothesis that the average meteorological data can be used in near future simulation. However, there are still heavy polluted areas where ambient concentrations will exceed the air quality standard in near future. In spatial allocation, reduction effect of SO2 is more significant than NOx in 2015 as the contribution of SO2 from industry is more than NOx. These results inspired the regulatory applications of AERMOD modeling system in evaluating environmental pollutant control policy 相似文献
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固定源排放污染物健康风险评价方法的建立 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
将AERMOD模型应用于健康风险评价中,建立固定源排放污染物的健康风险评价方法,直接预测污染源排放毒性污染物通过某种暴露途径引起的健康风险.以兰州市三大电厂在采暖期和非采暖期排放可吸入颗粒物(PM_(10))中多环芳烃(PAHs)和其中的苯并[a]芘(Ba P)对不同年龄、不同性别的人群在呼吸暴露下的健康风险(包括致癌风险值和非致癌危险指数)为例,结合兰州市采样点处PM_(10)中PAHs的实测数据,分析三大电厂排放PM_(10)中PAHs和Ba P对人群呼吸暴露下的健康风险在采样点处的贡献率.结果表明贡献率与性别和年龄无关,与时间段和风险类别有关,非采暖期的贡献比采暖期的大,非致癌危险指数的贡献比致癌风险值的大.通过与传统方法的对比验证该方法的可靠性.该方法适用于所有固定源排放毒性污染物的健康风险评价以及环境影响评价中环境风险的评价. 相似文献
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本文根据阳高县城2012年、2013年采暖季SO2、NO2监测浓度,结合2013年集中供热所替代土小采暖炉灶减排的污染物排放量,采用AERMOD模式进行预测验证,并对模式参数取值进行了探讨,以期对模型的同类型应用提供参考。 相似文献
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利用AERMOD模型预测了我国东部某电厂"上大压小"项目污染物排放对评价区域大气环境的影响。结果发现,受厂址东南山体影响,SO2、NO2小时最大落地浓度分别为环境空气质量二级标准的552.00%和1223.33%,NO2日均最大落地浓度为环境空气质量二级标准的117.50%。据统计,SO2小时贡献值超过标准时次为1次;NO2小时贡献值超过标准时次为5次,超标发生的概率均较低。预测超标原因主要与预测模型中烟羽遇到山体后的烟羽分层简化处理与实际烟羽运行状况存在一定差异有关。 相似文献
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