基于事故数据分析推导的全国及化工行业可接受风险标准基准值研究

为了探索行业风险可接受现状,印证已颁布的可接受风险标准中标准基准值选取的可行性,基于可接受风险标准理论,通过搜集、分析及估算全国及化工行业最近10 a的基础事故数据,采用平均个人风险值法（AIR）和事故累计概率-死亡人数曲线（FN曲线）法的运算思想,确定了全国及化工行业的死亡、受伤及职业病风险个人/社会可接受标准基准值,并通过数据范围的选择将其分为宽松型、通用型及严格型3种不同“严格”程度的基准值以备不同条件下选用。研究结果表明:死亡标准基准值通过与已颁布的标准基准值进行对比后发现2者均处于同一量级（10-4）,印证了彼此的可行性,受伤及职业病标准基准值可为后期该领域的研究提供参考。     

生物效应比(BER)技术预测我国水生生物基准探讨

基于中国与美国间生物敏感性的差异,对生物效应比(BER)技术预测我国水生生物基准值进行了研究.首先,对中美共有的且急性生物毒性数据符合3门8科的污染物进行筛选,然后,依据两国物种的敏感性与代表性建立基于不同生物组合的BER技术,最后,对不同生物组合BER技术预测水生生物急性基准值与实测基准值进行比较与分析,筛选出预测效果较好的BER技术.结果表明:共筛选出9个中美共有且毒性数据丰富的污染物(As(III)、Cr(VI)、Hg、Cu、Zn、Pb、对硫磷、毒死蜱和三丁基锡),依据本土生物毒性数据推导出该9种污染物的我国水生生物急性基准值分别为201.72、2.64、0.74、1.32、55.83、92.25、0.12、0.36和0.38μg/L.此外,在对7种生物组合方式BER技术的预测效果进行分析比较的基础上,初步提出基于同属或科的生物组合方式的BER技术可较好地对9种污染物的本土水生生物急性基准值进行预测.研究结果可为在本土生物毒性数据缺乏时充分利用现有毒性数据或进行少量毒性试验的基础上对我国水生生物急性基准值的预测提供帮助.     

3种有机磷农药对水生生物的乙酰胆碱酯酶抑制效应的物种敏感度分析初探

通过筛选敌敌畏、马拉硫磷和对硫磷3种有机磷农药对水生生物的急性毒性数据和乙酰胆碱酯酶抑制效应数据,构建物种敏感度分布曲线进行了比较分析。结果表明,敌敌畏对水生生物的急性毒性和乙酰胆碱酯酶抑制效应的大小顺序为:酶体内抑制效应酶体外抑制效应急性毒性;马拉硫磷和对硫磷的乙酰胆碱酯酶抑制效应数据不足但趋势相似,顺序为:酶体内抑制效应急性毒性酶体外抑制效应。敌敌畏的急性毒性和酶体外抑制效应的5%危害浓度(HC5)分别为2.07μg·L~(-1)和1.53μg·L~(-1),两者相差1.4倍。在水质基准推导中,乙酰胆碱酯酶抑制效应数据对有机磷农药的水生生物基准具有重要的参考价值。     

Treatment of biologically treated effluents from baker's yeast industry by membrane and ozone technologies

This paper presents pilot‐scale membrane treatment results performed on biologically treated effluents from fermentation industry and ozone oxidation on concentrates from the same membrane treatment system. The results obtained from the ultrafiltration (UF) and/or the reverse osmosis (RO) systems indicate that membrane treatment are very effective for COD, Color, NH₃‐N and conductivity removal. Ozone oxidation of the membrane concentrates was tested to increase biodegradability of the wastes. The initial ratios of Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD₅) to Chemical oxygen demand (COD) were increased significantly by applying chemicaloxidation with O₃ and O₃ + H₂O₂.     

Problems associated with ecological assessment of packaging

Current trends in the development of the world packaging market and the place of ecological tendencies in them suggest the need to analyse the present status of studies on the ecological assessment of packaging materials and packaging. The aim of this study is to present some aspects of ecological assessment of packaging. The methods and criteria of ecological assessment of packaging, including Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) and ecological classification of packaging proposed by COBRO (Polish Packaging Research and Development Centre) in Warsaw were used. The considerations presented in the paper related to the general assumptions of ecological assessment of packaging materials and packaging point to the complexity of the problem and, at the same time, to the immediate interest and importance of studies in this field, particularly in terms of implementing a specific environmental protection policy.     

电力行业多污染物协同控制的环境效益模拟

为定量分析电力行业多污染物协同控制与区域复合型大气污染之间的定量关系,评估不同控制情景下的环境质量效益,应用CMAQ空气质量模型分别对2008年基准排放情景、2015年和2020年目标控制情景的硫、氮沉降及PM_2.5污染状况进行模拟. 结果表明:2015年和2020年我国陆地硫沉降总量将由2008年的678.87×104 t分别降至602.02×104和578.26×104 t,降幅分别为11.32%和14.82%,平均每减排1 t SO₂可减少0.2～0.3 t硫沉降;2015年和2020年的陆地氮沉降总量将由2008年的1 064.67×104 t分别降至1 042.02×104和1 037.06×104 t,仅分别降低了2.13%和2.59%,但重度氮沉降区域明显缩小,2015年和2020年氮沉降强度大于5 g/m2的区域将比2008年分别降低17.12%和22.01%;2015年和2020年ρ(PM_2.5)年均值超过GB 3095─2012《环境空气质量标准》二级标准(35 μg/m3)的国土面积分别仍将高达289.14×104和286.68×104 km2,与2008年(298.99×104 km2)相比,降幅分别为3.29%和4.12%,但重污染区域显著减少,并且ρ(PM_2.5)年均值超过70 μg/m3的区域将比2008年减少9.31%和12.41%.      

基于主体建模的废物交换模型与仿真分析

作为产业共生中一种重要的关系,废物交换不仅能解决废物处置的难题,还可以降低原料供给的成本与风险. 企业进行废物交换的动力主要来源于经济利益的驱动. 从交换的市场机制出发,运用基于主体建模的方法构建了废物交换的模型框架,并且基于Swarm平台进行了仿真分析. 结果表明:系统的废物交换价格指数在仿真开始后10个周期内迅速降至4左右,并在之后的周期内缓慢下降;系统中单个废物的价格波动较大,但这种波动并未反映到整体的价格指数中;系统中的废物交换量和参与交换的企业数量均呈上升的趋势,但废物交换量的增长呈先慢后快的态势,在第200个周期时达到25×104 t. 而参与交换企业数量的增长呈先快后慢态势并逐渐稳定在100家左右. 示范企业的选取对于系统的废物交换量有一定的影响,选取规模较大的企业作为示范企业比随机选取更能促进系统中的废物交换,在第200个周期时比随机选择下的交换量高出约50%.      

太湖生物区系研究及与北美五大湖的比较

研究太湖水生生物区系特征,分析各类生物区系的变化及其原因,并与北美五大湖相应的水生生物区系进行了比较. 结果表明:太湖共有水生生物146科442种,其中鱼类25科107种,占24.2%; 底栖动物21科66种,占14.9%; 浮游动物37科103种,占23.3%; 浮游植物29科81种,占18.3%; 水生植物34科85种,占19.2%. 总体上太湖各类水生生物的种数和科数差别都不大,鱼类和浮游动物稍多. 北美五大湖各类水生生物的种数分别为鱼类134种、底栖动物165种、浮游动物132种以及浮游植物1 456种,除浮游植物种类较多外,其他3类水生生物的种数与太湖大致相当. 五大湖鱼类以鲑科和鲤科鱼类为主体,分别占鱼类总数的18.7%和20.1%,其中除伊利湖外其他4个湖都是鲑科占优势; 太湖鱼类以鲤科为主体,占鱼类总数的56.1%,这是太湖鱼类区系的主要特征,也是我国淡水鱼类的主要特征,所以鲤科是我国水质基准推导的优先选择物种. 太湖和五大湖中鱼类、底栖动物和浮游动物3类生物所占比例差别不大.      

保护淡水水生生物硝基苯水质基准研究

以硝基苯为研究对象,在分析美国和中国2种类型水生态系统和生物区系特征的基础上,分别筛选两国水生生物物种的毒性数据,运用物种敏感度分布曲线法、毒性百分数排序法和评价因子法分别推导了2个国家保护淡水水生生物水质基准;同时,结合国内外主要水体ρ(硝基苯)分布特征,对地表水体中硝基苯生态风险进行了初步评价.结果表明:由于生物区系不同,同样方法得到的美国水质基准值明显高于中国水质基准值,其中物种敏感度分布曲线法得出的基准值最为合理.用物种敏感度分布曲线法得到中国硝基苯急性基准值为0.572mg/L,慢性基准值为0.114mg/L;美国硝基苯急性基准值为7.271mg/L,慢性基准值为2.031mg/L.风险表征结果显示,中国主要地表水体中硝基苯不存在潜在的生态风险.      

A multi-mutualist simulation: Applying biological market models to diverse mycorrhizal communities

We present a cellular automaton that simulates the interaction between a host tree and multiple potential mycorrhizal symbionts and generates testable hypotheses of how processes at the scale of individual root tips may explain mycorrhizal community composition. Existing theoretical biological market models imply that a single host is able to interact with and select from multiple symbionts to organize an optimal symbiont community. When evaluating the tree–symbiont interaction, two scales must be considered simultaneously: the scale of the entire host plant at which carbon utilization and nutrient demands operate, and the scale of the individual root tip, at which colonization and carbon-nutrient trade occurs. Three strategies that may be employed by the host tree for optimizing carbon use and nutrient acquisition through mycorrhizal symbiont communities are simulated: (1) carbon pool adjustment, in which the plant controls only the total amount of carbon to be distributed uniformly throughout the root system, (2) symbiont selection, wherein the plant opts either for or against the interaction at each fine root tip, and (3) selective carbon allocation, wherein the plant adjusts the amount of carbon allocated to each root tip based on the cost of nutrients. Strategies were tested over various nutrient availabilities (the amount of inorganically and organically bound nutrients). Success was defined on the basis of minimizing carbon expended for nutrient acquisition because this would allow more carbon to be utilized for growth and reproduction. In all cases, the symbiont selection and selective carbon allocation strategies were able to meet the nutritional requirements of the plant, but did not necessarily optimize carbon use. The carbon pool adjustment strategy is the only strategy that does not operate at the individual root tip scale, and the strategy was not successful when inorganic nutrients were scarce since there is no mechanism to exclude suboptimal symbionts. The combination of the symbiont selection strategy and the carbon pool adjustment resulted in optimal carbon use and nutrient acquisition under all environmental conditions but result in monospecific symbiont assemblages. On the other hand, the selective carbon allocation strategy is the only strategy that maintained successful, multi-symbiont communities. The simulations presented here thus imply clear hypotheses about the effect of nutrient availability on symbiont selection and mycorrhizal community richness and composition.