复杂环境样品中未知组分峰的跟踪识别方法

以垃圾焚烧飞灰中的持久性组分分析为例,研究了不同程序升温条件下用于峰识别的拟合定量方法.通过不同程序升温条件下气相色谱拟合峰的准确保留时间,计算色谱峰的保留参数,并预测任意柱温条件下的保留时间.通过与实验值的对比证明预测结果是准确的.     

SPATIAL ANALYSIS FOR MONTHLY RAINFALL IN SOUTH FLORIDA1

ABSTRACT: Several methods have been developed to interpolate point rainfall data and integrate areal rainfall data from any network of stations. From previous studies, it can be concluded that models for spatial analysis of rainfall are dependent on topography, area of analysis, type of rainfall, and density of gauging network. The purpose of this study is to evaluate a set of six appropriate models for point and areal rainfall estimations over a 4000 square mile area in South Florida. In this study, a case of developing spatial continuity model for monthly rainfall from a database that had various lengths of records and missing data is documented. The spatial correlation and variogram models for monthly rainfall were developed. Six methods of spatial interpolation were applied and the results validated with historical observations. The results of the study indicate that the multiquadric, kriging, and optimal interpolation schemes are the best three methods for interpolation of monthly rainfall within the study area. The optimal and kriging methods have the advantage of providing estimates of the error of interpolation. The optimal interpolation method uses the spatial correlation function and the kriging method uses the variogram function. The two spatial functions are related. Either of the two methods provide good estimates of monthly point and areal rainfall in the study area.     

Simulation and control strategy for the variational influent of WWTP

With the development of activated sludge model, the simulation software for the design and operation of wastewater treatment plant （WWTP） was produced and has been widely used. The dynamic change of the quality and flow of influent are major factors causing the unstable operation of wastewater treatment process. As a basic model, ASMI model was used for the simulation of activated sludge process, and double exponential model was selected for the simulation of secondary sedimentation tank. The influences of influent change to the aeration tank and secondary sedimentation tank were investigated, and the relationship among influent change, the quality of effluent and the level of sludge blanket in secondary sedimentation tank was established. On the basis of the simulation results, the operation of the WWTP could be adjusted under the dynamic change of the influent. Furthermore, the controlling strategy combined the feed-forward on the influent flow and the feedback on the level of sludge blanket in the secondary sedimentation tank was studied.     

Use of Maryland Biological Stream Survey Data to Determine Effects of Agricultural Riparian Buffers on Measures of Biological Stream Health

This study was undertaken to determine the importance of riparian buffers to stream ecology in agricultural areas. The original Maryland Biological Stream Survey (MBSS) data set was partitioned to represent agricultural sites in Maryland's Coastal Plain and Piedmont regions. ANOVA, multiple linear regression (MLR), and CART regression tree models were developed using riparian and site catchment landscape characteristics. MBSS data were both stratified by physiographic region and analyzed as a combined data set. All models indicated that land management at the site was not the controlling factor for fish IBIs (FIBI) at that site and, hence, using FIBI to evaluate site-scale factors would not be a prudent procedure. Measures of instream habitat and location in the stream network were the dominant explanatory factors for FIBI models. Both CART and MLR models indicated that forest buffers were influential on benthic IBIs (BIBI). Explanatory variables reflected instream conditions, adjacent landscape influence, and chemistry in the Coastal Plains sites, all of which are relatively site specific. However, for Piedmont sites, hydrologic factors were important, in addition to adjacent landscape influence, and chemistry. Both Coastal Plain and Piedmont CART models identified several hydrologic factors, emphasizing the dominant control of hydrology on the physical habitat index (PHI). Riparian buffers were a secondary influence on PHI in the Coastal Plain, but not in the Piedmont. Between 40% and 70% of the variation in FIBI, BIBI, and PHI was explained by the “easily obtainable” variables available from the MBSS data set. While these are empirical results specific to Maryland, the general findings are of use to other locations where the establishment of forest buffers is considered as an aquatic ecosystem restoration measure.     

我国东部地区硫沉降模拟研究──模式应用

利用作者研究的统计箱模式,模拟分析了1990年的硫沉降及其来源。结果表明,SO₂浓度分布与排放源有着密切的关系,而SO^2－₄浓度分布受气象场的影响较明显;干沉降作用对大气中的SO₂是一个重要的清除过程,SO^2－₄在大气中的清除主要通过湿沉降过程实现;硫沉降污染主要集中在华北大部,长江中下游的江浙地区、川贵部分地区和华中地区的武汉、长沙等地附近;直辖市的排硫大部分传输沉降到相邻的省份,其它省份的排硫一半左右沉降在本省,大约三分之一的排硫输送到相邻的省份。     

我国东部地区硫沉降模拟研究──模式开发和性能分析

为满足管理和决策的需要,研究了一个可用于模拟硫化物远距离输送和沉降的二维欧拉统计箱模式。分析结果表明：湿沉降模式计算值和监测值之间具有较好的对应关系,两者的相关系数大于0.7;尽管SO₂、SO²₄－浓度和沉降量对一些参数的变化较为敏感,但模式的主要输出结果硫沉降对参数的变化不敏感,只要参数在适宜的范围内取值,计算结果是合理的。对气象场的年际变化影响分析表明,采用多年统计平均气象场代替单气象场切实可行。     

中等变质程度软硬煤瓦斯放散规律研究

自主设计了煤粒瓦斯吸附-放散试验系统,以郑煤集团告成煤矿普遍存在的中等变质程度贫瘦软硬煤为研究对象,对比分析了贫瘦煤软硬煤前120 min瓦斯解吸规律,试验结果表明,瓦斯解吸初期软煤的解吸速度都大于硬煤的解吸速度,软煤在前30 min解吸量占总解吸累积量的84.07%以上,而硬煤仅为67.76%;对比了多种描述瓦斯解吸-扩散过程的经验公式,发现孙重旭式和文特式拟合效果最好,且相关指数的变化范围较小。     

高层建筑电气火灾隐患因子定量分析方法研究

为了对高层建筑电气火灾隐患排查进行定量化分析,采用解释结构模型构建高层建筑电气火灾隐患因子的复杂逻辑模型;在利用德尔菲法确定隐患因子初始概率的基础上,经过交叉影响分析法求解交叉影响概率矩阵;引入马尔科夫链修正各隐患因子交叉影响后的概率,得到火灾隐患因子的稳态概率矩阵。研究结果表明:各隐患因子的马尔科夫链校正概率比德尔菲法测定的初始概率更加准确,该计算排序结果可明确高层电气火灾隐患排查和管控的重点。     

Impact of Changing Climate and Land Cover on Flood Magnitudes in the Delaware River Basin,USA

Changing climate and land cover are expected to impact flood hydrology in the Delaware River Basin over the 21st Century. HEC‐HMS models (U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center‐Hydrologic Modeling System) were developed for five case study watersheds selected to represent a range of scale, soil types, climate, and land cover. Model results indicate that climate change alone could affect peak flood discharges by ?6% to +58% a wide range that reflects regional variation in projected rainfall and snowmelt and local watershed conditions. Land cover changes could increase peak flood discharges up to 10% in four of the five watersheds. In those watersheds, the combination of climate and land cover change increase modeled peak flood discharges by up to 66% and runoff volumes by up to 44%. Precipitation projections are a key source of uncertainty, but there is a high likelihood of greater precipitation falling on a more urbanized landscape that produces larger floods. The influence of climate and land cover changes on flood hydrology for the modeled watersheds varies according to future time period, climate scenario, watershed land cover and soil conditions, and flood frequency. The impacts of climate change alone are typically greater than land cover change but there is substantial geographic variation, with urbanization the greater influence on some small, developing watersheds.     

应急物资调运的动态协同决策优化建模仿真

为有效解决应急物资调运决策问题,提高应急物资利用率。总结应急物资调运基本流程、管理方法及存在问题,分析应急物资调运系统动静态资源、灾害分布及优先级等因素,借鉴动态调配 Multi Agent方法研究应急救援保障部门间协同作用,对应急物资调运系统供需路径与救援时效进行分析,构建应急物资调运系统高效、及时、低成本的动态调度模型,同时基于多源时间最短路径问题以及Floyd Warshall算法对模型进行求解仿真,得出应急物资最优调运路径和参与调配储存点组合。结果表明:动态调运决策模型可从备选集合中快速搜索应急调运所需最佳方案,能为应急救援提供更加可靠的保障。