A behavioral rebound effect

Pro-environmental behaviors are an important avenue for mitigating environmental impacts. Technological improvements are also a vital tool for reducing environmental damage from consumption. However, their benefits are partially offset by the direct rebound effect, whereby a consumer rationally responds to an increase in resource use efficiency by consuming more. This paper investigates whether technological improvement might also reduce behaviorally motivated mitigation of environmental damage. A behavioral rebound effect operates through two channels. First, pro-environmental effort is reduced after a decrease in marginal environmental damage. Second, moral licensing reduces pro-environmental effort further when technological change is endogenous. I develop a novel real effort laboratory experiment to identify these behaviors. I find a positive behavioral rebound effect. I also find evidence consistent with moral licensing, which is strongest among subjects with a higher degree of pro-environmental attitudes and beliefs. Subjects’ baseline level of pro-environmental effort is driven by beliefs about social norms.     

Prospect theory and energy efficiency

Investments in energy efficiency entail uncertainty, and when faced with uncertainty consumers have been shown to behave according to prospect theory: preferences are reference-dependent and exhibit loss aversion, and probabilities are subjectively weighted. Using data from a choice experiment eliciting prospect theory parameters, I provide evidence that loss-averse people are less likely to invest in energy efficiency. Then, I consider policy design under prospect theory when there are also externalities from energy use. A higher degree of loss aversion implies a higher subsidy to energy efficiency. Numerical simulations suggest that the impact of prospect theory on policy may be substantial.     

取代苯甲醛衍生物的定量结构-活性关系(QSAR)研究

本文研究了反应性化合物取代苯甲醛衍生物对大型蚤(Daphnia magna)的48h急性毒性,建立了定量结构-活性关系模型,探讨了其毒性作用机制,发现其毒性主要取决于笨环上取代基的Hammett电效应常数.模型预测结果与实验结果基本一致     

Modelling the Karenia mikimotoi bloom that occurred in the western English Channel during summer 2003

Observations from space and in situ from the R.V. Corystes 8/03 Cruise show that a massive Karenia mikimotoi bloom occured during summer 2003 in the western English Channel. Due to exceptional climatoligical conditions that occured in June 2003, the installation of a very strong thermocline enhanced the development of a massive bloom over 1 million cells l⁻¹ in the Central English Channel. This paper presents the application of a mathematical model of this species, previously developed in for the Bay of Biscay, into a general 3D model of the primary production of the English Channel and southern Bight of the North Sea. Allelopathic interactions exerted by K. mikimotoi on other phytoplankton species and the role of agitation in the mortality of this species are taken into account. The model includes the dynamics of the bloom and consequently reproduces with good agreement the geographical distribution of the K. mikimotoi bloom both surface and subsurface. The model suggests that the apparent transport of the bloom towards the French coasts as inferred from the satellite observation was not due to advection but was only caused by the establishment of suitable conditions. The sensivity of the K. mikimotoi distribution to boundary conditions, initialization and the role of turbulence is discussed.     

闭环回旋控尘技术的三维数值模拟研究

针对输煤皮带转载点粉尘污染大的问题,提出一种新型粉尘控制技术。以霍州煤电集团木瓜煤矿为例,以气固两相流理论的颗粒轨道模型为基础,结合现场实际粉尘扩散规律,三维数值模拟皮带转载点的粉尘逸散规律。根据粉尘颗粒在皮带转载点的运移规律,提出了闭环回旋控尘技术,通过气固两相流和颗粒碰撞理论的三维数值模拟对该技术的控尘机理进行研究,并在木瓜煤矿进行试验应用。结果表明:闭环回旋控尘技术能有效控制粉尘扩散和降低粉尘颗粒动能,其降尘效率达到88%以上,同时,该技术无需任何动力,是未来节能型除尘产品的发展方向。     

基于不同岩层组合对底板阻水效应的流固耦合机理研究

为了探究不同岩层组合底板对承压水的阻隔效果,以淮北矿区下组煤底板为研究 对象,建立了三种不同组合特征底板模型。基于FISH语言对FLAC3D软件进行二次开发, 对流固耦合条件下不同组合特征底板采动应力及围岩渗透性进行了综合分析。结果表明 :流固耦合条件下,底板采后应力转换点深度较不考虑底板水压条件下加深,且底板深 部出现了明显的卸压现象;硬软型底板采后卸荷程度及应力转换点降幅最大,而软硬相 间型底板受最小;硬软型底板采后渗透性提高4.5倍,而软硬相间型底板仅提高1.4倍, 研究结果揭示出软硬相间岩层组合底板阻水效果最好,而硬软型底板最差。     

消费品风险评价的伤害情景与三维矩阵集成方法

通过对比分析美国、欧盟及中国的消费品质量安全风险监管和评估现状,得出我国在消费品法律及标准、伤害监测与事故信息平台及公开、消费品风险辨识及评价程序等方面有待深化研究;基于2012年欧美等国家、地区对我国出口消费品的通报数据的统计分析,识别了主要消费品的隐患及危害类型,给出了伤害情景与三维矩阵集成的消费品风险评价方法,为消费品安全评价提供了新方法、新途径,并以婴儿车为例,进行了应用分析,检验了该方法的可行性。     

受限透视角度下超声波CT温度场诊断技术

超声波CT一种热测量方法,具有不接触、对温度场不干扰的优点。本文发展一种新的超声波CT再现方法,用于解决受限透视角度所产生的信息量不足的问题。新的超声波CT再现算法建立在逆矩阵变换的基础上,它不同于通常的采用SL过滤器的所谓FBPCT再现方式。论文中描述了三种CT迭代再现算法,用计算机模拟结果和三维温度场测量实验数据验证了再现算法的可靠性。同时根据计算和实验结果,建议在受限的透视角度情况下,迭代方法采用修正的正则最小二乘法CGM是合适的。     

复杂形态井巷工程三维激光扫描与MIDAS-FLAC3D耦合建模稳定性分析研究

受井巷工程空间形态的复杂性及探测技术的局限性影响,部分人员无法进入的复杂形态井巷工程的实际空间形态往往很难准确获得,复杂井巷工程的数值分析往往很难进行建模或建立模型与实际误差较大,而在此基础上进行的稳定性分析结果可靠性往往较差。采用三维激光扫描技术对复杂形态井巷工程进行三维激光点云扫描,基于点云数据运用MIDAS软件建立精确形态的复杂井巷工程模型,通过耦合技术建立最终可以在FLAC3D中进行运算并且与实际形态相一致的数值模型。最后以某矿山主溜井为工程实例,利用三维激光精确扫描技术获取该井巷工程的实际空间形态,在此基础上进行MIDAS与FLAC3D耦合方法的建模分析,对该复杂井巷工程的稳定状况进行了稳定性分析。     

投影角度受限制的超声波CT温度测量

本研究在投影角度受限制的情况下利用超声波CT完成三维温度测量。新CT再构成算法的主要特征如下：在考虑到投影数据之间的相关性的同时、在傅里叶变换基础之上利用外插手法来补全不完整的投影数据。我们运用计算机模拟计算以及建立实验系统对上述算地的可靠性进行检验。根据计算机模拟计算和实验的结果,我们认为本研究所提出的CT算法可以有效地处理受投影角度限制的投影数据。