Endogenous growth,asymmetric trade and resource dependence

The aggregate income of oil-exporting countries relative to that of oil-poor countries has been remarkably constant in recent decades, despite the existence of structural gaps in productivity growth rates. This stylized fact is rationalized in an endogenous growth model of asymmetric trade where resource-poor and resource-rich economies display productivity differences but stable income shares due to terms-of-trade dynamics. The model yields two testable predictions that deserve empirical scrutiny: (i) the asymmetric impact, between exporters and importers, of national taxes on resource use on income shares and (ii) the inverse relation between terms-of-trade dynamics and total factor productivity growth.     

建设用地使用权分层设立研究

由于历史、经济等各方面原因,我国建设用地使用权分层设立方面的研究刚刚起步,这方面的法律法规仍是空白,不足以保障我国土地空间资源分层开发利用的顺利进行.在对分层建设用地使用权内涵、性质进行深入阐述的基础上,在对我国建设用地使用权分层设立中可能产生的具体问题进行深入剖析,就建设用地使用权分层中存在的问题提出了切实可行的对策,以期对完善我国建设用地使用权分层设立的研究有所帮助.     

2016年冬季寿县一次边界层低空急流对污染物扩散的影响

利用安徽寿县地区2016年12月16~17日的观测资料与模拟资料,分析了一次夜间边界层低空急流对PM_2.5扩散的影响.此过程中,急流分布范围广,强度大,最大风速可达10~12m/s,而且风向随高度有明显转向,高低层风向差可达90°.急流发展过程中,急流轴基本位于200m以下,急流的最小风速高度出现在400~800m之间.通过分析可知,对于不同高度,急流对污染物扩散的影响存在明显差异.地面至急流轴范围内,PM_2.5总体减少.急流的出现使湍流混合明显增强,在湍流作用下污染物向上混合,使该层PM_2.5显著减少,净质量通量的峰值可达-103×10^-3μg/(m²·s).急流的水平输送可带来上风方较为清洁气团,同样减少了该层的PM_2.5浓度.但与湍流作用相比其影响较小,净质量通量仅为-2.9×10^-3μg/(m²·s).急流存在时,还会加强向下的垂直风速,在垂直输送作用下,上层污染物向下输送,增加了该层PM_2.5浓度,净质量通量约为11×10^-3μg/(m²·s).急流轴至风向转变高度之间,PM_2.5总体增加.这是由于湍流作用将低层高浓度污染物输送至该层,使PM_2.5浓度增加,净质量通量约为23.9×10^-3μg/(m²·s);水平输送作用使该层PM_2.5浓度略有增加,净质量通量约为2.3×10^-3μg/(m²·s);而垂直输送作用带来了高处较为清洁的气团,减少了PM_2.5浓度,净质量通量约为-6.6×10^-3μg/(m²·s).风向转变高度至LLJ最小风速高度之间,PM_2.5总体增加.湍流作用仍占主导,净质量通量约为17.8×10^-3μg/(m²·s);垂直输送作用稍有贡献,净质量通量约为1.4×10^-3μg/(m²·s);而水平输送起减少作用,净质量通量约为-3.7×10^-3μg/(m²·s).     

天目湖沙河水库热分层变化及其对水质的影响

为揭示亚热带水库热分层的季节性变化特征、影响因素及水质效应,以最大水深11 m的江苏溧阳天目湖沙河水库为例,基于对水库坝前区(TM1)3~11月逐时的水温监测及对该水库2009~2016年相关水质和气象指标监测,分析了该水库热分层的形成和消失时间、驱动因素及其对水质的影响.结果表明,天目湖沙河水库呈典型的亚热带单循环混合模式:春季随着太阳辐射的增强,水温逐渐升高,当表层水温升至21℃左右时,热分层稳定形成,在整个5~9月期间水体热分层十分稳定;秋季随着太阳辐射的减弱,水温逐渐降低,当表层水温降至19℃左右时,热分层基本消失,在10~4月期间水体呈混合状态.热分层期间,表层和底层的水温差随太阳辐射的增强而增加;日均气温超过30℃的情况下,水体热分层更加稳定;夏季强降雨过程降低了水体表层的温度、减弱了上层5 m水体的温度分层,但对5 m以下深度的热分层状况基本无影响.水温分层对水库水质产生一定的影响:热分层期间,底层水体处于厌氧状态,底层水体氨氮浓度明显增加;热分层消失后,底层水体溶解氧、总磷及悬浮颗粒物含量均增加.研究表明,对于四季分明的亚热带中等深度的水库而言,水体热分层主要受太阳辐射的控制,稳定的热分层有利于蓝藻门相关种属藻类的生长,热分层形成及消散阶段改变了沉积物的营养盐释放及供给水体的强度,对水体水质形成冲击.在水库水质监控及生态保护管理中,应关注热分层过程的不利影响,并探索相关灾害的防控技术.     

Destratification and oxygenation efficiency of a water-lifting aerator system in a deep reservoir: Implications for optimal operation

Thermal stratification is a common phenomenon in lakes and reservoirs and has a significant influence on water quality dynamics.Heihe Reservoir is a canyon-shaped reservoir in Shaanxi Province with strong thermal stratification.Therefore,eight water-lifting aerators(WLAs) were installed in this reservoir,which could overcome thermal stratification and increase oxygenation with gas flows between 20 and 50 m3/hr,and oxygenate the hypolimnion with gas flows less than 20 m3/hr.To examine the destratification efficiency of the WLA system,we used a threedimensional hydrodynamic module based on MIKE 3 to simulate the thermal structure of Heihe Reservoir and compared the simulations with measured data.Results showed that operation of the WLA system promoted water mixing and effectively oxygenated the hypolimnion.Through the established energy utilization assessment method,the energy utilization efficiency of the WLA system was between 5.36% and 7.30%,indicating the capability of the technique for destratification in such a large reservoir.When the surface water temperature dropped to the theoretical mixed water temperature calculated by the energy utilization assessment method,reducing gas flow could save energy.This would prevent anaerobic conditions from occurring in the bottom water and maintain good water quality in Heihe Reservoir.     

天津污染天气边界层温度层结变化特征及预报阈值确定

针对天津市大气污染防治需求,基于2016年4月1日—2017年3月31日天津255 m气象塔观测资料及数值模拟,开展天津地区污染天气边界层温度层结变化特征及预报阈值研究.结果表明:(1)天津地区10~250 m高度的气温递减率为0.56℃/100 m,当日均气温递减率小于0.4℃/100 m时,垂直扩散条件不利于大气污染物扩散,出现中度以上污染概率为64%,重污染概率为47%.从温度廓线和逆温频率统计分析,贴地逆温占所有逆温的55%,除贴地逆温以外逆温底部最易出现在160 m的高度,大量脱地逆温的出现不利于高架源夜间的排放.(2)每年10月—次年2月天津逆温频率为20%,冬季需要关注逆温情况对大气污染物扩散的影响.如秋、冬季8:00逆温仍然存在,重污染天气出现概率高达56%,中度及以上污染出现概率为72%,是重污染天气辨识的重要指标.(3)7:00—10:00在逆温消散或者日均气温递减率由0.6℃/100 m向0.4℃/100 m变化时,任何细微变化对大气垂直扩散有显著影响.基于天津地区PM_(2.5)污染情况下,数值模拟显示10~250 m的气温递减率由于气溶胶的存在可减少0.06℃/100 m,在25个重污染过程中,日均气温递减率平均下降0.18℃/100 m,对大气垂直扩散条件产生显著影响.因此,在空气污染预报分析时使用不考虑气溶胶辐射效应的天气模式分析温度层结,需要适当调整阈值,尤其是在7:00—10:00逆温消散及垂直温度递减率由0.6℃/100 m向0.4℃/100 m变化时.     

The transition from dirty to clean industries: optimal fiscal policy and the environmental Kuznets curve

This paper investigates privately and socially optimal patterns of economic development in a two-sector endogenous growth model with clean and dirty goods. We consider a second-best fiscal policy framework in which distortionary taxes jointly influence economic growth and environmental quality. In this policy setting, three conditions produce an Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC): (i) dirty output is bounded; (ii) clean output grows endogenously; and (iii) growth in the dirty sector reduces growth in the clean sector. These conditions do not arise with a consumption externality, but can emerge with a production externality. Endogenous labor supply implications are also investigated. Although not necessary for producing an EKC, endogenous labor supply provides additional linkages that produce an EKC under circumstances in which it would otherwise not appear.     

Vertical Buoyant Jets in a Linearly Stratified Ambient Cross-Stream

In this study a numerical simulation is performed to investigate the effect of ambient density stratification on the characteristic of a vertical buoyant jet in a stably linearly stratified ambient cross-stream. Based on the ensemble integral method, the theoretical formulation for such a flow field consists of a set of elliptic Reynolds-averaged equations incorporating with the k– transport equations for the turbulence closure. An oscillating motion can be observed in the computed jet trajectory, and the corresponding alternative variation of dominant quantities for the induced momentum and buoyancy of the jet are examined by direct integration on a cross-section along the jet axis. The influences on the jet development both by the ambient cross-stream and the stratification are investigated. The oscillation characteristic shows that a linear relation holds between the wavenumber of jet trajectory, crossflow velocity and the Brunt–Väisälä frequency of ambient stratification. Computational results indicate that the formation of the secondary and a third pairs of vortices, which are not induced in the unstratified environment, causes the jet flow oscillation from its maximum height-of-rise in the flowing direction. The ambient stratification prohibits the growth of the plume radius and reduces the mixing rate as well as the plume rise. The developed flow indicates the transformation of entrainment mechanism in stratified crossflow.     

Modelling the motion of an internal solitary wave over a bottom ridge in a stratified fluid

A series of laboratory experiments has been carried out to investigate the passage of an internal solitary wave of depression over a bottom ridge, in a two-layer fluid system for which the upper and lower layer is linearly-stratified and homogeneous respectively. Density, velocity and vorticity fields induced by the wave propagation over the ridge have been measured simultaneously at three locations, namely upstream, downstream and over the ridge crest, for a wide range of model parameters. Results are presented to show that wave breaking may occur for a sufficiently large wave amplitude and a strong ridge blockage factor, with accompanying mixing and overturning. Density field data are presented (i) to illustrate the overturning and mixing processes that accompany the wave breaking and (ii) to quantify the degree of mixing in terms of the wave and ridge parameters. For weak encounters, good agreement is obtained between the laboratory experimental results (velocity and vorticity fields induced by the wave propagation) and the predictions of a recently-developed fully nonlinear theory. Discrepancies between theory and experiment are discussed for cases in which breaking and mixing occur.     

Turbulence closure models and their application in RAMS

Turbulence closures are fundamental for modelling the atmospheric diffusion in numerical codes and the resulting eddy diffusivities are key parameters in describing the transport and dispersion in the boundary layer. In this work, four turbulence closure schemes have been applied for reproducing a neutral flow over schematic complex terrain using the meteorological model RAMS. Two of the closures, a one-equation (E-l) and a two-equations (E-) model, have been implemented in RAMS in alternative to the ones originally available. In these cases, an analytical method based on the similarity theory for the atmospheric surface layer and boundary layer is adopted to calculate the empirical constants of the turbulence closures. Some examples of numerical studies performed to simulate the flow and turbulence over a 3-D hill in wind-tunnel experiment in neutral stratification are presented and discussed. An intercomparison of simulations related to different closures is considered by analysing the main features of the flow over the hill and by comparing calculated vertical profiles of turbulent kinetic energy with measured ones.