Best policy response to environmental shocks: Applying a stochastic framework

The paper develops a general framework for the analysis of environmental shocks in growing economies. Endogenous capital investments allow identifying the dual role of capital as a buffer against shocks and a source of pollution. We study the effects of recurring natural disasters on optimal growth and efficient environmental policies. Emissions may cause continuous fluctuations, entail discrete and recurring jumps, or trigger so-called “tipping points” with large costs to the economy. Closed-form solutions are provided for all the model variants. We discuss possible applications in environmental economics and identify current research gaps.     

热分层油品中气泡浮升动态过程的数值实验

本文应用数值分析方法研究热分层油品中气泡浮升运动的动态过程。同时，分析气泡在热分层油品中上升时引起的气泡长大及气泡振荡现象，得到了物理趋势合理的结果。     

THERMAL AND DISSOLVED OXYGEN CHARACTERISTICS OF A SOUTH CAROLINA COOLING RESERVOIR1

ABSTRACT: Temperature and dissolved oxygen concentrations were measured monthly from January 1971 to December 1982 at 1-m depth intervals at 13 stations in Keowee Reservoir in order to characterize spatial and temporal changes associated with operation of the Oconee Nuclear Station. The reservoir water column was i to 4°C warmer in operational than in non-operational years. The thermo-dine was at depths of 5 to 15 m before the operation of Oconee Nuclear Station, but was always below the upper level of the intake (20 m) after the station was in full operation; this suggests that pumping by the Oconee Nuclear Station had depleted all available cool hypolimnetic water to this depth. As a result summer water temperatures at depths greater than 10 m were usually 10°C higher after plant operation began than before. By fall the reservoir was nearly homothemious to a depth of 27 m, where a thermocine developed. Seasonal temperature profiles varied with distance from the plant; a cool water plume was evident in spring and a warm water plume was present in the summer, fall, and winter. A cold water plume also developed in the northern section of the reservoir due to the operation of Jocassee Pumped Storage Station. Increases in the mean water temperature of the reservoir during operational periods were correlated with the generating output of the power plant. The annual heat load to the reservoir increased by one-third after plant operations began. The alteration of the thermal stratification of the receiving water during the summer also caused the dissolved oxygen to mix to greater depths.     

Recreation demand analysis under truncation, overdispersion, and endogenous stratification: an application to Gros Morne National Park

Using on-site survey data from Gros Morne National Park in Newfoundland, this paper estimates and compares several truncated count data models of recreation demand. The selected model accounts not only for the truncated and overdispersed nature of the data but also for endogenous stratification due to the oversampling of avid users. Moreover, the model that allows for a flexible specification of the overdispersion parameter dominates on the basis of goodness of fit. The results are used to estimate the users' value of access to the park.     

Stratification and Circulation in a Shallow Turbid Waterbody

Shallow waterbodies are often assumed to be well mixed in the vertical. However, when they are characterised by high turbidity levels, absoption of solar heating within a relatively thin surface layer can produce thermal stratification. Results from an intensive monitoring program have been combined with three-dimensional circulation modelling to examine the diurnal stratification cycles in a small turbid waterbody. The waterbody, known as Rushy Billabong, is located in southeastern Australia and its high turbidity coupled with forcing by wind and solar radiation resulted in regular diurnal cycles of stratification and overturning. Under conditions of light wind and high solar radiation, the model results were generally consistent with the observed temperature field. However, under stronger winds, preferential cooling and sinking of shallow water around the edge of the lake began to contribute significantly to the interior stratification. Model estimates then became more sensitive to the detailed bathymetry and the choice of turbulence parameterisation. The level of stratification is also shown to influence the circulation in the billabong by trapping the wind-driven flow near the surface. Insights provided by the observations and modelling may have broader implications for the management of small turbid systems such as settling ponds, aquaculture ponds, and some natural wetlands.     

基于DRYESM模型的红枫水库水体热分层特征及关键控制因素模拟研究

水温结构是湖库生态系统演化的重要基础,热分层稳定性对深水湖库水体物理、化学和生物演化具有重要影响,因此研究水体热分层特征及关键控制因素具有重要意义。本文运用DYRESM水动力模型模拟了红枫水库2014年全年的水温变化特征,并对影响水体热分层结构的关键控制因素进行了探究。结果表明:1) DYRESM水动力学模型可有效模拟红枫水库的水体热分层特征及时间演化规律,可准确预测水体热分层形成和消亡的时间及去分层强度。2)气温变化对水库水体热分层具有明显影响,增温可加速水体热分层的形成,造成温跃层下潜和去分层延迟;短波辐射的增强(40%)不会对红枫湖水温结构造成明显影响,但可导致去分层发生时间后延;风速是水体热分层稳定性的敏感因素,当风速增加40%后,热分层演化发生较大变化,表现在6～9月份中层及底层水温大幅升高(从9℃上升到14℃),去分层时间提前30天,相应造成分层期缩短。     

水库热分层期藻类水华与温跃层厌氧成因分析

以西安市李家河水库为研究对象,通过对水体理化因子和浮游植物的连续监测,对热分层期藻类垂向分布与温跃层厌氧成因进行了初步分析.结果表明:①6～9月,李家河水库水体稳定指数为2～10 m~(-1),处于稳定热分层状态,水体溶解氧呈明显的垂向以及季节差异,p H、电导率均与溶解氧呈现相同的分层结构;②李家河水体的富营养状态诱导夏季藻类水华暴发;藻细胞密度垂向差异大,集中悬停于水深0～5 m区域内,最高为2. 95×10~8cells·L~(-1),叶绿素a含量最大为46. 42mg·m~(-3);高密度藻类在温跃层内堆积分解,水深5～24 m内出现较大面积的厌氧区,pH下降、电导率和高锰酸盐指数升高;③高密度藻类分解耗氧是夏季分层期温跃层厌氧形成的主要原因.     

Ecological Study of Spring-Early Summer Phytoplankton Blooms in A Semi-Enclosed Estuary

A sampling station in the Eastern Harbour of Alexandria was operated for 51 days between 2 March and 12 June, 1991. the harbour had different wide physical and chemical variations. Six distinct phytoplankton blooms occurred during this period. It is concluded that the physicochemical conditions affected the phytoplankton community structure and species composition. A dense diatom bloom could be maintained in a very weak and/or stabilized water column. A diatom bloom does not necessarily accompany an enhanced nutrient period. the depletion of nutrients and establishment of thermal stratification probably created favourable conditions for dinoflagellate and flagellate species to achieve blooms. the species composition could be shifted over the short term and a dense phytoplankton bloom could possibly dissipate in a few days.     

Exploring barriers to home gardening in Ohio households

Scholars have noted that race and ethnicity, socio-economic status (SES) as well as other socio-demographic factors may limit participation in local food systems based on the historic and structured patterns of inequalities that remain in communities promoting alternative agriculture and food (agrifood) activities. However, few empirical studies have examined the barriers which prevent people from participating in local food system activities. This paper uses survey data from the 2008 Ohio Survey of Food, Agriculture and Environmental Issues to consider whether barriers such as interest, time, financial resources, geography and space impact the participation of households in home gardening. Results from logistic regression show that SES, the availability of space and housing type are important factors which limit or enable household participation in home gardening. This paper contributes to our understanding of the barriers that prevent households from participating in home gardening, a form of food system localisation that, while a potentially powerful way to transform the agrifood system, has been underexamined in its own right.     

向家坝水库水温时空特征及其成因分析

水温是水环境评价的重要因子之一,其对水生态系统中的物理、化学和生物过程起着重要作用。为了分析向家坝水库运行期内的水温分布特征及其成因,本文建立CE-QUAL-W2立面二维水温模型,并基于2014年野外原位监测水温数据对模型可靠性进行了验证,应用其对水温分布进行数值模拟。研究发现向家坝水库水温存在季节性垂向分层,4~6月中上层水体(水深0~60 m)受入流水温和气温回升影响迅速升温,表底温差达10℃,垂向分层加剧;7、8月水库泄洪加快了库区水体交换,底层水温迅速升高,中间等温层水体厚度增加,表底温差减小在2℃内,9月以后表底温差进一步缩小,垂向水温分层逐渐消失。通过分析发现:气象要素、入流水温、电站取水口高程、泄洪方式成为影响向家坝水温分布的主要因素。入流水温的变化只影响水库水温波动范围,对其垂向分层结构影响较低;表层水温受气象条件影响显著;取水口高程和泄洪方式决定了水温的垂向结构。