Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability

The combined mark-recapture and line transect sampling methodology proposed by Alpizar-Jara and Pollock [Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 3(4), 311–327, 1996; In Marine Mammal Survey and Assessment Methods Symposium. G.W. Garner, S.C. Amstrup, J.L. Laake, B.F.J. Manly, L.L. McDonald, and D.C. Robertson (Eds.), A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands, pp. 99–114, 1999] is used to illustrate the estimation of population size for populations with prominent nesting structures (i.e., bald eagle nests). In the context of a bald eagle population, the number of nests in a list frame corresponds to a pre-marked sample of nests, and an area frame corresponds to a set of transect strips that could be regularly monitored. Unlike previous methods based on dual frame methodology using the screening estimator [Haines and Pollock (Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 5, 245–256, 1998a; Survey Methodology, 24(1), 79–88, 1998b)], we no longer need to assume that the area frame is complete (i.e., all the nests in the sampled sites do not need to be seen). One may use line transect sampling to estimate the probability of detection in a sampled area. Combining information from list and area frames provides more efficient estimators than those obtained by using data from only one frame. We derive an estimator for detection probability and generalize the screening estimator. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the Chapman modification of the Lincoln–Petersen estimator to the screening estimator. Simulation results show that although the Chapman estimator is generally less precise than the screening estimator, the latter can be severely biased in presence of uncertain detection. The screening estimator outperforms the Chapman estimator in terms of mean squared error when detection probability is near 1 wheareas the Chapman estimator outperforms the screening estimator when detection probability is lower than a certain threshold value depending on particular scenarios.     

关于风景评价中心理物理学方法局限性的探讨

由于对西方风景评价理论和方法缺乏足够的了解和深入的研究，现今国内对其中的心理物理学方法及其作用产生了一些误解。本文在扼要介绍了心理物理学派的主要方法思路之后，着重对该学派所存在的重大理论缺陷和方法局限性做了较深入的分析。     

分光光度法测定痕量铅

本文实验了Pb~(2+)—kI—丁基罗丹明B显色体系在阿拉伯胶和聚乙烯醇共同存在时的超高灵敏显色反应。缔合物最大吸收波长605nm,表观摩尔吸光系数ε=1.04×10~6L·mol~(-1)·cm~(-1)。结合巯基棉分离技术,测定了尿液和城市废水、嘉陵江水中的痕量铅,结果满意。     

环境优先污染物的筛选原则、程序和方法

确定环境优先污染物,是控制和防治化学品污染的带有战略性的一项基础性工作。本文根据研究编别区域环境优先污染物名单中的实践,并借鉴国内外有关经验,就筛选环境优先污染物的有关原则、程序和方法进行探讨。     

基于负压法炮弹气密性检测方法研究

目的 实现炮弹气密性检测及其自动化、智能化设备的开发.方法 提出了一种基于负压法的炮弹气密性检测方法.首先,阐述了负压法气密性检测工作原理和实施流程,并对炮弹检测设备的用例模型和检测设备功能框架进行了讨论.其次,针对工程实际,详细给出了测量腔安装密封性计算、测量腔泄漏的压差泄漏率计算、测量腔的初始测量压力值计算、炮弹气体泄漏量计算等检测算法和判定方法.结果 基于负压法的炮弹气密性检测方法的灵敏度比正压法高.结论 本方法可为实现对全弹的气密性检验提供参考,同时也可促进和指导炮弹气密性检验设备的研制,将有效保障炮弹气密性检验自动化设备开发效率和有效性.     

三维铝型材挤压模多参数优化

以一个导流组合模为例,利用神经网络建立模具参数的数学模型,用遗传算法对参数优化。其中由正交法设计得到实验样本,由软试模提取模具的SDV值,将其作为优化目标。最终实验结果与优化值吻合,为建立和控制挤压模参数提供了一种行之有效的手段。     

离子选择电极法与离子色谱法测量低浓度氟化物比较

用离子选择电极法、离子色谱法两种方法对氟化物国家标准样品进行测量,通过比较发现两种方法测量国家标样低浓度样品时有显著差异.     

《立体构成》课程建设中教学方法的改革与实践

本文通过对《立体构成》课程教学对象的分析，探讨了该课程在理论与实践教学环节教学方法的改进。实践证明，这些改进对于充分发掘学生潜力，激发学生的求知欲望，提高教师业务水平，促进《立体构成》课程教学改革具有重要意义。     

内电解法预处理甲基氯化物生产废水的研究

用内电解法预处理有机磷农药中间体甲基氯化物生产废水，结果表明是可行的，废水CODcr，有机磷，硫化物的去除率分别达到62.43%，60.62%，76.37%，出水的BOD5／CODcr由0.107上升至0.302，为后续的生化处理创造了良好的条件。实验确定的操作条件为铁碳比铁碳比2、废水pH值5.5,反应温度＞50℃，停留时间＞7h，CaO用量200mg/L。     

Conditions for successful environmental justice mobilizations: an analysis of 50 cases

ABSTRACT

The environmental justice (EJ) literature can benefit from comparative analysis that helps to identify conditions for more and less successful outcomes. A data set of 50 EJ cases in the U.S. was developed with high and low remediation as the outcome. Causal conditions were selected on theoretical grounds, and included five mobilizing strategies (local and state government coalitions, federal government attention, civil disobedience, litigation, and national NGO support) and three general conditions (absence of industry counter-mobilization, presence of water pollution, and proposed or new siting). Qualitative comparative analysis and other analyses indicated that all causal conditions were found in the high-remediation cases but that some conditions (water pollution and local–state coalitions) were more consistently associated with the high-remediation outcome. The analysis points to the value of systematic studies of the factors that affect local EJ outcomes and to the need for better case study collections.