滇中城市群发展的SWOT矩阵分析

新时期的经济竞争,转向了以中心城市为核心的城市群综合实力的竞争.在运用SWOT分析法定性分析的基础上,引用QSPM矩阵,对影响滇中城市群一体化进程的内外条件做量化评价.结果表明,滇中城市群尚处于城市群发育的初期阶段.在其影响因素中,优势与劣势都很明显,机遇胜过威胁.从总体作用效能来看,滇中城市群发育的内部动力需要得到进一步强化,外部动力是难得的发展机遇,正在或将会成为滇中城市群成长的助推剂.     

基于Copula函数的成都夏季O3污染潜势模型

利用成都市2016~2019年6~8月O₃浓度的逐时监测数据以及该时段同时次的地面气象观测资料,构建了O₃污染潜势3维(紫外辐射、相对湿度和气温)Copula联合概率分布模型,并开展了模型的适用性研究.首先,通过对SciPy库概率分布函数的优选,确定了不同O₃浓度等级条件下紫外辐射、气温和相对湿度的最优边缘概率分布函数(均通过了显著性水平a=0.05的K-S检验);其次,计算了3种Copula联合概率分布函数的均方根误差(RMSE值)、赤池信息准则(AIC值)、贝叶斯信息量(BIC值),并借助Anderson-Darling检验,发现非对称3维frank Copula联合概率分布函数(M3Copula)可以最佳地表征不同O₃浓度等级条件下紫外辐射、相对湿度和气温的联合概率分布特征;最后,将不同O₃浓度等级条件下M3Copula联合概率密度作为对应O₃浓度等级的隶属度,O₃污染潜势的分类结果对实际O₃浓度等级具有较好的指示意义,模拟的平均准确率为63%,其中优等级、良等级、轻度污染等级以及中度及以上污染等级的模拟准确率分别为82%、64%、48%和75%.     

A multi‐level investigation of psychological contract breach and organizational identification through the lens of perceived organizational membership: Testing a moderated–mediated model

Drawing on the perceived organizational membership theoretical framework and the social identity view of dissonance theory, I examined in this study the dynamics of the relationship between psychological contract breach and organizational identification. I included group‐level transformational and transactional leadership as well as procedural justice in the hypothesized model as key antecedents for organizational membership processes. I further explored the mediating role of psychological contract breach in the relationship between leadership, procedural justice climate, and organizational identification and proposed separateness–connectedness self‐schema as an important moderator of the above mediated relationship. Hierarchical linear modeling results from a sample of 864 employees from 162 work units in 10 Greek organizations indicated that employees' perception of psychological contract breach negatively affected their organizational identification. I also found psychological contract breach to mediate the impact of transformational and transactional leadership on organizational identification. Results further provided support for moderated mediation and showed that the indirect effects of transformational and transactional leadership on identification through psychological contract breach were stronger for employees with a low connectedness self‐schema. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于模糊综合评价方法的通用桥式起重机风险评价

文章通过层次分析法构建了通用桥式起重机评价指标体系,并构建判断一致矩阵,得到了各层次的权重向量,结合由隶属函数得到的隶属矩阵,运算得到综合评价向量.再利用可变模糊集理论中的等级识别法结合未确知测度理论中的置信度准则确定评价对象的安全评价等级.经过实例分析表明,该方法能够充分利用评价信息,极大地减小评价信息在评价过程中的...