山西煤矿瓦斯泄漏风险后果预测与影响分析

通过对煤矿瓦斯泄漏主要风险后果的预测和影响分析，对进一步研究瓦斯泄漏风险后果中火灾热辐射、云团爆炸和云团扩散爆炸有更深刻的了解，为煤矿风险评价和制定应急预案提供有力的参考。     

Finding the Teachable Moment: An Analysis of Information-Seeking Behavior on Global Warming Related Websites during the Release of The Day After Tomorrow

This paper investigates how the mass media may influence information-seeking behavior through an analysis of how the release of the movie The Day After Tomorrow, a fictional depiction of global warming causing catastrophic natural disasters, changed the information-seeking behavior of the public on global warming related websites. A “teachable moment” of elevated information-seeking activity was found to extend from 10 days before the release date of The Day After Tomorrow to 19 days after the movie release date. Using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average modeling, a significant positive correlation was found between changes in media coverage of The Day After Tomorrow and changes in information-seeking activity, although the correlation did not support hypothesized time lags. These results are discussed in terms of information-seeking models, and new research directions are proposed to link agenda-setting research with the information-seeking literature.     

有毒气体扩散模型在事故救援中的应用

针对近年来日益增多的危险化学品泄漏事故,对国内外常见的有毒气体扩散模型进行了简要论述,在分析其各自特点的基础上,从事故救援需求的角度,提出了一种基于高斯模型的有毒气体泄漏扩散算法;基于GIS实现了有毒气体扩散的动态仿真,可较好地预测扩散造成的危害范围.实例分析了一定气象条件、地形特征和时间序列下,危险化学品泄漏后有毒气体浓度的分布情况,为辅助救援人员合理划定警戒区域、及时采取有效措施组织抢险救援行动,提供了一种行之有效的方法.     

加油站油气扩散与回收效果的数值分析

加油站排放出的油气是有毒有害的气体。目前控制油品蒸发损耗的有效方法是采用油气回收系统。基于湍流模式理论,采用FLUENT软件,模拟加油站在使用油气回收系统前后空气中油气浓度分布情况及风对油气扩散的影响,得到油气浓度等值面图、直线及点上浓度变化曲线图。模拟结果表明,实施油气回收,其大气净化率可高达95％以上,因此明显减小加油站火灾隐患及环境污染,并可减少经济损失及节约加油站占地面积。另外,风对油气扩散稀释有明显的影响,如距排放口下风侧5 m处,相对于风速１ m/s,风速为5、8 m/s时的大气净化率分别为54％、71％。虽然无法降低油气排放总量,但是随着风速的增加大气净化率随之变大,可以减少油气浓度值过高造成的危害。     

A spatially explicit framework for quantifying downstream hydrologic conditions

Continued improvements in spatial datasets and hydrological modeling algorithms within Geographic Information Systems (GISs) have enhanced opportunities for watershed analysis. With more detailed hydrology layers and watershed delineation techniques, we can now better represent and model landscape to water quality relationships. Two challenges in modeling these relationships are selecting the appropriate spatial scale of watersheds for the receiving stream segment, and handling the network or pass-through issues of connected watersheds. This paper addresses these two important issues for enhancing cumulative watershed capabilities in GIS. Our modeling framework focuses on the delineation of stream-segment-level watershed boundaries for 1:24 000 scale hydrology, in combination with a topological network model. The result is a spatially explicit, vector-based, spatially cumulative watershed modeling framework for quantifying watershed conditions to aid in restoration. We demonstrate the new insights available from this modeling framework in a cumulative mining index for the management of aquatic resources in a West Virginia watershed.     

基于Web GIS的四川省自然保护区信息管理系统

本文简要介绍了四川省自然保护区信息管理系统的设计思路、框架结构及运行界面。以ArcGIS Server为开发平台,使用SQL Server管理属性数据,采用四川省1∶25万基础地理数据,设计并开发四川省自然保护区信息管理系统,在地图服务的基础上,实现对四川省自然保护区的浏览、查询,为自然保护区的管理提供一个科学、准确的决策支持。     

Anal gland secretion codes for family membership in the beaver

We investigated how information about family membership is coded by the individually specific anal gland secretion (AGS) in the beaver, Castor canadensis. Because beavers live in strict family units and relatives share more features in the AGS profile than non-relatives, family members share more AGS features than non-family members. Therefore, family recognition seems to be a natural consequence of the more specific kin recognition. Multivariate statistical analyses revealed two possibilities in coding for family membership using the multi-component AGS: either two (female) to three (male) AGS compounds or many compounds were used, but we were not able to determine which possibility is more likely. Compounds were not equally important in coding family membership information, and the interactions among compounds were complex. We attempted to reconstruct a lineage tree for the relationship among different families using two–three or many compounds. We found there was no significant difference for trees constructed by using few or many compounds in either males or females. However, the trees derived from male compounds and female compounds lacked good congruence. Received: 10 December 1998 / Accepted after revision: 13 July 1998     

Accuracy assessment of a small-area method for estimating the spatial distribution of the degree of tree damage

Tree damage, gauged by the amount of defoliation, is one of the basic criteria used to determine treatments for protected and economic forests. Monitoring should include an assessment of the degree of tree damage in different spatial scales. Therefore, in addition to the commonly applied large-area methods, small-area methods should be used. The aim of the paper is to present the results of the accuracy assessment of a small-area method, proposed by Podlaski (2005) [Podlaski, R. (2005). Inventory of the degree of tree defoliation in small areas. Forest Ecology and Management, 215, 361–377], for monitoring the degree of tree damage. The degree of tree damage was shown in sub-blocks P₃ of the system of information on natural environment (SINUS). To estimate the spatial distribution of the degree of tree defoliation, survey sampling, based on simple random sampling with replacement (SRSWR), was used. The degree of damage to fir (Abies alba Mill.) and beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) was analysed in the Święty Krzyż forest section in the Świętokrzyski National Park. The maximum total estimation errors for the proportion of trees with a degree zero of damage, and with second and third degrees of damage together (for α = 0.05) were at most 30.8% for fir and 24.3% for beech trees. For standard, small-area evaluations, these are satisfactory values. In the Święty Krzyż forest section, the number of P₃ sub-blocks with 0.00–5.00% of undamaged trees and with 80.01–100.00% of moderately- or severely-damaged trees was significantly greater for fir than for beech. These results indicate that the fir population was unhealthier than the beech group in the study area. P₃ sub-blocks of the SINUS system, in which the proportion of the healthiest trees was highest, were situated at the forest margin, bordering on meadows and arable fields (in the case of fir) and forming dense patches consisting of several sub-blocks, or occurring singly in the whole study area (in the case of beech). The results show the significant differentiation of forest tree health in small areas.     

Comparative study of different advective schemes: Application to the MECCA model

A 3-D version of the MECCA model (Model of Estuarine and Coastal Circulation Assessment) is used to simulate the dynamics of the Eastern part of the English Channel. This area is characterized by a strong tidal turbulent regime and a frontal zone identified near the French coast by a low-salinity band. The model uses the upwind scheme to approximate the advective terms. Results show that the model overestimates the band width of the frontal zone and that this anomaly is definitely caused by the numerical diffusion introduced by the so-called upwind scheme (first-order approximation). In this paper, we study the flux-limiter schemes as an alternative to the upwind method in order to reduce this non-physical diffusion. To illustrate the improvements provided by this type of schemes, a comparison in 2-D schematic cases is made between the upwind and centered scheme with more recent higher-order schemes combined with limiter namely Minmod, Superbee, Van Leer and Monotonized Centered (MC) (called also MUSCL scheme). Respecting the CFL condition, our numerical simulations show that the flux-limiter schemes reduce the numerical diffusion and eliminate the oscillations caused by the non-limited higher-order schemes. For the schematic and realistic cases, the Superbee limiter is a good compromise between shape preservation and computational cost.