城市公园的冷岛效应研究——以常州市为例

在长江三角洲地区快速城市化的常州市内研究公园组成与冷岛效应的量化关系.基于Landsat 8TIRS和天地图高分辨率遥感影像提取公园指标以及冷岛效应指标.使用辐射传输方程法反演研究区的地表温度,使用ArcGIS的缓冲区分析和分段回归的方法研究每个公园的地表温度、降温范围和降温幅度作为冷岛效应指标;提取公园的周长、面积,并计算融合指数作为公园组成指标,在天地图高清遥感影像中提取公园的绿地覆盖率、水体覆盖率、不透水面覆盖率以及乔木覆盖率作为公园地表覆盖指标.通过相关性分析和回归模型研究,发现公园的面积为26hm²、周长阈值为3600m,公园的面积和周长在阈值范围内能够发挥较强的降温效率,超过阈值则降温效率下降.公园的融合指数与冷岛效应呈线性相关关系,融合指数较小的公园能获得较大的降温幅度.公园的乔木覆盖率、水体覆盖率与公园内部的地表温度呈显著相关关系,不透水面覆盖率、绿地覆盖率与公园内部的地表温度相关性不显著.公园规划设计需要结合公园的面积、周长阈值,融合指数的数值以及乔木、水体的覆盖率,充分发挥公园的冷岛效应.     

南水北调大型渡槽结构抗震安全性研究

阐述了南水北调中大型渡槽的抗震问题,分别介绍了基于常微分方程求解器(ODE)和有限元方法的大型渡槽动力计算模型、动力特性分析和设置铅芯橡胶支座(LRB)的隔震分析。研究表明,基于ODE求解器的解析和半解析方法有很好的精度和可靠性,可用于大型渡槽的初步设计。结合所得的研究成果,对南水北调的渡槽抗震提出了合理化建议。     

液/固相单一离子吸附体系的动力学预测模型

对四种液/固相单一离子吸附体系的动力学研究结果表明:吸附速率不仅随时间变化,也与起始离子浓度(C0)和吸附剂浓度(W0)有关;Lagergren准二级方程在给定的起始离子浓度及吸附剂浓度下具有很高的模拟精确度,但其参数随起始离子浓度和吸附剂浓度的变化而变化,且无法确定其间的函数关系;结合四组分离子吸附模型,提出了新的动力学方程,实验结果表明,新方程具有较高的模拟精确度,其参数与C0和W0具有相对稳定的函数关系,可作为液/同相单一离子吸附体系中给定C0,W0条件下吸附动力学过程的预测模型.     

事件概率计算机中的一个恒等式

本文提出了一个恒等式,并讨论了它的应用。实践证明,该恒等式可作为一个公式,且非常实用。     

A Bayesian approach to multi-source forest area estimation

In efforts such as land use change monitoring, carbon budgeting, and forecasting ecological conditions and timber supply, there is increasing demand for regional and national data layers depicting forest cover. These data layers must permit small area estimates of forest area and, most importantly, provide associated error estimates. This paper presents a model-based approach for coupling mid-resolution satellite imagery with plot-based forest inventory data to produce estimates of probability of forest and associated error at the pixel-level. The proposed Bayesian hierarchical model provides access to each pixel’s posterior predictive distribution allowing for a highly flexible analysis of pixel and multi-pixel areas of interest. The paper presents a trial using multiple dates of Landsat imagery and USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis plot data. The results describe the spatial dependence structure within the trial site, provide pixel and multi-pixel summaries of probability of forest land use, and explore discretization schemes of the posterior predictive distributions to forest and non-forest classes. Model prediction results of a holdout set analysis suggest the proposed model provides high classification accuracy, 88%, for the trial site.

Pseudomonas fluorescens Z1999降解邻苯二甲酸酯的二级动力学特征

通过驯化富集培养,从处理焦化厂废水的活性污泥中分离获得一株可以在好氧条件下利用邻苯二甲酸酯(PAEs)作为唯一碳源和能源的荧光假单胞菌(Pseudomonasfluorescens编号Z1999),研究了P.fluorescensZ1999对PAEs的降解条件,揭示了P.fluorescensZ1999降解PAEs的动力学特征.试验结果表明,P.fluorescensZ1999对PAEs降解的最佳条件为pH65—80,温度20—35℃,菌种量002—45%,富集驯化时间18—24h.P.fluorescensZ1999可有效降解邻苯二甲酸二甲酯(DMP)、邻苯二甲酸二乙酯(DEP)和邻苯二甲酸二丁酯(DnBP).在初始浓度为100—750mg·ml-1范围内,DMP,DEP,DnBP的降解反应遵循二级反应动力学方程∶-dS/dt=K2S2 K1S K0,r2=09686—09997.随PAEs浓度和支链烷基碳数的增加,P.fluorescensZ1999对PAEs的最大降解速率p下降,半衰期T1/2增大,抑制作用增强.     

二龙山水库流域生态环境与小气候的关系研究

根据不同的植被覆盖率,对二龙山水库流域进行分区,并在春季组织小气候观测,研究不同小区的小气候综合特征.分析结果表明,二龙山水库流域生态环境与小气候综合特征之间存在密切关系.      

黑河中下游防风固沙功能时空变化及影响因子分析

黑河中下游是我国重要的防风固沙生态功能区,分析该区域的防风固沙功能时空变化,明确其主要的影响因子贡献,对于指导荒漠化防治、维护流域生态安全十分重要.该研究基于修正风蚀方程(revised wind erosion equation,RWEQ)、一元线性回归斜率分析、灰色关联分析和GIS技术,分析了2000—2017年黑河中下游防风固沙功能动态变化及其影响因子.结果表明:①2000—2017年,黑河中下游年均防风固沙量为3.2×109 t,年均防风固沙功能约为2.44×104 t/km2;防风固沙量总体呈增强趋势,年均增加6.67×107 t,年均变化率为1.85%.②区域防风固沙功能呈现中游较强,向下游递减的空间分布特征,防风固沙功能较高区约占研究区面积的31.54%,一般区占20.77%,较低区(北部荒漠区)占47.69%;甘肃省张掖市和嘉峪关市防风固沙功能呈增加趋势,回归方程系数(slope)为0~26.29%,占总面积的12.51%;额济纳旗东北部和甘肃省高台县中部防风固沙功能呈下降趋势,回归方程系数为-17.17%~0,占总面积的23.30%.③防风固沙功能主要影响因子中,风力因子最主要,贡献率为30.04%,其次为积雪覆盖、土壤湿度、植被覆盖,贡献率分别为24.57%、24.26%和21.13%.研究显示,防风固沙工程应综合考虑气候变化、植被覆盖、土壤特性及人类活动的复合影响,实行具有空间差异化的方案.      

光合细菌黑暗好氧降解2-氯酚的特性研究

研究了光合细菌PSB-1D在黑暗好氧条件下处理2-氯苯酚时的降解规律和影响因素。考察了不同培养时间、碳源、氮源、初始pH值、PSB-1D接种量、摇床转速、不同初始2-氯苯酚浓度等因素对PSB-1D生长和2-氯苯酚处理效果的影响。结果表明:以葡萄糖、硫酸铵和酵母膏作为最佳碳氮营养源,初始pH值为7.0、接种量为10%、摇床转速为130r/min为最佳工艺条件,在此条件下PSB-1D处理2-氯苯酚降解率可达61.50%。黑暗好氧条件下光合细菌PSB-1D降解2-氯苯酚的规律符合一级降解动力学模型。随着初始2-氯苯酚的浓度逐渐由20mg/L提高到150mg/L,半衰期由39.36h延长为92.88h,也即2-氯苯酚浓度越高,降解所需的时间越长,降解速率常数Kb亦逐渐减小,由0.01754mg(/L·h)降到0.007458mg(/L·h)。     

Structural equation model of the influence of noise annoyance on miners’ unsafe behavior in coal mines

Miners' unsafe behavior (UB) is the main cause of coal mine accidents. Previous research has suggested that excessive noise in tunnels impacts miners' temperaments and safe production behavior. To explore the influence of noise on UB, four different dimensions of noise annoyance were identified: cognitive, emotional, communication, and physical mechanism annoyance. The coal mine noise annoyance scale, miners' unsafe behavior intention (UBI) scale, and miners’ UB scale were developed according to different dimensions. In the first survey, a total of 200 questionnaires were distributed in the two coal mines, and 193 valid questionnaires were recovered. Exploratory factor analysis was conducted, and invalid items were removed according to the analysis results to form the final scale. Then, 500 final scales were distributed in two Chinese coal mines, and 482 valid questionnaires were collected. Confirmatory factor analysis was conducted by collating the data of the second questionnaire. Based upon the structural equation model (SEM), the SEM of the influence of noise annoyance degree on UB and the path analysis with latent variable path analysis with the latent variables (PA-LVs) mediating model of the effect of UBI on UB were established, and the path coefficients with fitting data of the model were analyzed. The results indicated that the four dimensions of coal mine noise annoyance had a strong positive impact on UB, which was reduced by less noise annoyance. In addition, the Bootstrap method was used to verify the mediating method among the four dimensions of noise annoyance, cognitive annoyance, emotional annoyance, with communication annoyance indirectly affecting UB through UBI. The research results provide theoretical support for reducing the UB of miners and improving coal mine safety levels.