中国水土资源本底匹配状况研究

论文以中国水资源二级区为基本单元,利用单位面积水资源量法和基尼系数法,以二级区水资源总量和潜在可开垦耕地面积为数据基础,评价中国水土资源本底匹配状况,为中国水土资源优化配置提供科学依据。首先根据适宜农作物耕种的高程、坡度和土壤类型条件,得到中国潜在可开垦耕地分布;然后,计算单位潜在可开垦耕地面积水资源量,评价中国水土资源本底匹配分布状况;最后,绘制水土资源洛伦兹曲线,计算基尼系数,对中国水土资源本底匹配总体状况进行评价。研究结果表明： 1）中国北部区域潜在可开垦耕地较多,西南部和南部沿海区域分布较少,未来具有较大耕地开发潜力的区域主要分布在北方; 2）中国本底水资源和潜在可开垦耕地资源空间分布存在严重错位; 3）较之已有研究成果中依据水资源量和耕地面积计算的基尼系数0.566,论文以本底水资源和潜在耕地为基础数据计算的基尼系数0.712要大很多,表征中国本底水土资源不匹配程度要严重得多,中国80%的水资源服务不到23%的潜在可开垦耕地。     

博尔塔拉蒙古自治州近20年土地生态安全评价与趋势分析

土地生态系统是陆地生态系统的重要组成部分,但在快速城市化的背景下,区域、国家和全球尺度上的土地生态系统发生退化现象,因此为保障土地生态系统的可持续发展,有必要对当前土地生态安全进行评价。选用压力-状态-响应-自然-社会-经济(PSR-NSE)评价指标体系,利用熵权法对指标重要性进行排序,建立了博州土地生态安全突变评价模型。结果表明:1)博州的土地生态安全等级自1994年的0.83(Ⅴ)持续改善至2012年的0.98(Ⅱ);2)博州是西北干旱生态脆弱区,仅通过人为调节并不能保证区域土地生态安全,应着手区域的均衡发展和区域生态保障措施的实施;3)基于突变级数法构建突变模型,分析了系统潜在的突变特性和土地生态安全的发展趋势,表明博州近20年土地生态安全水平虽呈逐年上升趋势,但整体水平不高,土地生态系统整体状态仍待改善。     

Examination of factors associated with use rates after transition from a universal to partial motorcycle helmet use law

Objectives: Motorcycle riders account for a disproportionately high number of traffic injuries and fatalities compared to occupants of other vehicle types. Though research has demonstrated the benefits of helmet use in preventing serious and fatal injuries in the event of a crash, helmet use has remained relatively stable in the United States, where the most recent national estimates show a 64% use rate. Use rates have been markedly lower among those states that do not have a universal helmet law for all riders. In 2012, the state of Michigan repealed its longstanding mandatory helmet use law. In order to gain insights as to the effects of this legislative change, a study was conducted to examine short-term changes in helmet use and identify factors associated with use rates.

Methods: A statewide direct observation survey was conducted 1 year after the transition from a universal helmet law to a partial helmet law. A random parameters logistic regression model was estimated to identify motorcyclist, roadway, and environmental characteristics associated with helmet use. This modeling framework accounts for both intravehicle correlation (between riders and passengers on the same motorcycle) as well as unobserved heterogeneity across riders due to important unobserved factors.

Results: Helmet use was shown to vary across demographic segments of the motorcyclist population. Use rates were higher among Caucasian riders, as well as among those age 60 and above. No significant difference was observed between male and female riders. Use was also found to vary geographically, temporally, and with respect to various environmental characteristics. Geographically, helmet use rates tended to be correlated with historical restraint use trends, which may be reflective of riding environment and general differences in the riding population. To this end, rates were also highly variable based upon the type of motorcycle and whether the motorcyclist was wearing high-visibility gear.

Conclusions: The study results demonstrate the short-term reduction in helmet use following transition from a universal to partial motorcycle helmet law. The reduction in use is somewhat less pronounced than has been experienced in other states, which may be reflective of general differences among Michigan motorcyclists because the state has also generally exhibited higher use rates of seat belts and other forms of occupant protection. The study results also highlight potential target areas for subsequent education and public awareness initiatives aimed at increasing helmet use.     

An observational study of child safety seat use in an international safe community: Tehran,Iran

Objective: Despite strong evidence of the effectiveness of child safety seats in reducing injuries, the use of these devices in some communities is still rare. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of child safety seat use and the factors influencing its use in the safe community of Tehran.

Methods: This roadside observational study was conducted in 2015 and 2,178 personal cars with a child under 12 years aboard were observed on Tehran's streets in regard to use of child safety seats. Other variables such as the gender of the driver, driver's age group, type of street, region of municipality, time of day, and day of the week were also collected.

Results: Prevalence of child safety seat use was 4.3% and was significantly higher among women drivers, on freeways, and in municipal regions 1, 4, and 7.

Conclusions: The prevalence of child safety seat use in Tehran as a most populous member of the international safe community was very low and most children commuted in insecure situations in the vehicle. Therefore, it is proposed that plans should be made to increase the use of child safety seats in international safe communities.     

Groundwater conditions under a reconstructed prairie chronosequence

Chronosequences are useful to evaluate long-term changes in ecosystem services but assessing groundwater quality changes using this approach has rarely been done. In this study, groundwater level and quality comparisons were made in a watershed-scale reconstructed prairie chronosequence that extended back in time approximately 13 years at the Neal Smith National Wildlife Refuge (NSNWR) near Prairie City, Iowa. Our objectives were to determine whether groundwater conditions varied significantly across the chronosequence and quantify the rate of nitrate concentration reduction when row crop fields are replaced by prairie. We installed 19 groundwater wells at upland locations selected to provide similar soil type, landscape position and slope. Water samples were collected on five occasions in 2006 and 2007 and analyzed for field parameters, anions and NO₃-N, NH₄-N and PO₄-P. Significant groundwater changes were primarily associated with groundwater levels, and groundwater nitrate and chloride concentrations. The groundwater was deeper under the older prairie plantings but fluctuated similarly among all well sites. Groundwater nitrate and chloride concentrations decreased 0.58 and 0.52 mg/l per year over the 13-year chronosequence, respectively. Results are seen to provide some guidance to land managers regarding possible nitrate concentration reductions achievable from converting cropland to perennial land cover in similar geomorphic settings.     

黄土高原沟壑区小流域土壤有机碳与环境因素的关系

研究不同环境要素共同作用下的土壤有机碳分布特征及其与环境因素的关系对于全面准确评估黄土高原地区土壤有机碳状况和土壤碳循环具有重要意义.结合野外调查和室内分析,研究了黄土高原沟壑区典型小流域土壤不同组分有机碳分布特征及其与地形条件、土地利用方式和土壤类型之间的关系.结果表明,黄土沟壑区小流域土壤总有机碳变异较小(变异系数为34%),高活性有机碳变异较大(变异系数为43%),有机碳的变异性随其活性的增强而增大.各组分有机碳之间极显著正相关,而且在不同环境条件下的含量顺序一致.各组分有机碳在不同地形条件下以塬面土壤最高,沟道土壤最低:在不同土地利用方式下以林地和农田土壤较高,草地土壤较低;在不同土壤类型中则以黑垆土最高,红土最低.不同环境条件下各组分有机碳之间的关系分析表明,环境条件不但直接影响有机碳的分布,还通过影响有机碳不同组分之间的关系来改变其分布特征.研究区总有机碳与活性有机碳之问的关系受环境条件影响最大,中活性与高活性有机碳之间的关系受环境条件影响最小.     

水库出流对水库环境容量的影响研究

水库的出流是影响水库流场的重要因素,也是影响水库水环境容量的重要因素。文章以某水库为例,利用计算流体力学及水质计算软件计算了水库在不同泄流宽度下出流的流量,并根据不同泄流宽度下水库的流场和浓度场计算了对应的水库环境容量值,分析了出流宽度、出流流量和水环境容量三者之间的关系。     

盐城滨海湿地海堤演化与土地利用变化分析

滨海湿地是全球环境变化最为敏感的地区之一,了解其海堤演化和土地利用变化可为湿地资源的可持续利用和管理提供依据。利用1983年的1∶5万土地利用图和2001年的ETM遥感影像为基础数据源,分析了1983年和2001年该区海堤的演化和土地利用的变化情况。研究结果表明,1983年和2001年海岸带从南到北呈现由淤涨型向侵蚀型过渡的变化特征,海堤长度呈缩短状态;土地利用类型以光滩、耕地及盐田为主,变化趋势是盐田、芦苇地和耕地逐渐在增加,盐蒿滩、园林地逐渐在减少。通过分析,表明人类活动对滨海湿地土地利用格局的影响明显。     

层次分析法在功能区噪声监测点位优选中的应用

运用层次分析法对功能区噪声进行优选,各功能区噪声监测点位个数分配根据功能区面积和复杂性、各功能区噪声监测点位确定根据专家比例标度赋值进行评定。     

华北油田二连分公司蒙古林作业区生态环境质量状况研究

本文选取二连油田蒙古林作业区生态环境质量为研究对象,对该区域内的土地利用／覆盖状况、植被状况、景观类型及其破碎度进行定性、定量研究。结果表明：（1）2008年,该区域土地利用类型主要为有林地、中覆盖度草地、低覆盖度草地、工矿交通建设用地和盐碱地等;工交建设占地明显。（2）该区2008年主要植物群落类型有：克氏针茅＋羊草＋杂类草、克氏针茅＋锦鸡儿＋杂类草、羊草＋针茅＋杂类草等;受到气候变暖等原因影响,小针茅已经在本区广泛分布。（3）该区2008年主要景观类型为针茅＋锦鸡儿草原景观、针茅草原景观、羊草草原景观、林地景观、人工建设区景观和道路景观;景观破碎度较高,人为干扰较为严重。建议相关单位足够重视并采取切实可行的措施,防止本区生态环境恶化。