人与自然和谐是构建和谐社会的物质基础

在剖析和谐社会及人与自然和谐基本内涵的基础上。通过分析资源短缺、生态破坏和环境污染对社会和谐的破坏作用。阐明了人与自然和谐是构建和谐社会的基本前提；通过分析加强环境保护、合理开发利用资源可以促进民主法治和公平正义。促使社会充满活力、安定有序。促进经济繁荣和持续发展。阐明了以人与自然和谐推进和谐社会的构建。进而全面论述了人与自然和谐是构建和谐社会的物质基础。     

基于可持续发展的我国现代化进程中能源需求预测

在简要介绍1980年以来我国能源消费状况．对我国全面建设小康社会奋斗目标和现代化战略目标分析的基础上，遵循可持续发展原则．本文采用能源强度法并设计三种方案对我国未来能源的消费量和消费结构进行了预测和分析。预测结果表明，2020年我国的能源消费量将达到21．16亿-24.90亿,2050年为26.64-37．68亿,今后必须大幅度降低备产业特别是第二、三产业能源强度，促进我国实现可持续发展。     

Analysis on the Evolution of Regional Economic Disparity in the West Coast of the Strait

With the implementation of reform and opening-up, the overall economy of China has made brilliant achievements; meanwhile, however, the economic disparity has been enlarging among some regions, and between the city and the countryside. The existence and evolution of this kind of economic disparity is concerned with social stability, sustainable development and the construction of harmonious society, which has gradually become the hotspot in social economic development. The West Coast of the Strait （WCS） located in southeast littoral areas is adjacent to the Pearl and Yangtze River Delta in the south and north and faces Taiwan Province in the east. The stability and development of this region has vital political and economic meaning in the social economic development of our country. It has important theoretical meaning and practical value to research the form, characteristics and evolution of regional economic disparity in the WCS. Based on insightful analysis on existing study results on the WCS, the paper defines the connotation and extension. By a series of absolute and comparative relative evaluation indexes and taking the WCS since 1992 as the study object, the paper makes analysis on different scales including three regions, four regions, 20 cities and 152 counties, quantitatively evaluates the level, characteristics and evolution of the regional economic disparity and compares the regional economic disparity on different scales. The main conclusions are as follows： the variation trend of the absolute disparity of the whole region is obvious and stable, which has presented an inflating trend; the comparative variation trend on a large scale has waved, The comparative disparity of the three regions increased annually from 1992 to around 2000, which had a decreasing trend from around 2000 to 2005; the comparative variation trend on a small scale was not stable, which showed an annual increase of four regions, 20 cities and 152 counties from 1992 to around 2003 and a decrease from around 2003 to 2005; the     

品牌经济与“两型”社会的建设——基于Hotelling模型的推导

改革开放三十年来以代工贸易为主的经济增长,在创造大量国民财富的同时,也来造成了严峻的资源短缺和生态破坏.因此,中国政府把建设"资源节约"和"环境友好"的"两型"社会,提升到国家未来发展战略的高度予以重视.而建设"两型"社会的关键,在于设立合理的制度安排,以实现企业行为与社会可持续发展的目标保持一致.就传统手段而言,这种制度安排主要依赖政府所设立的生态补偿机制.但是,这一机制在实践中存在诸多问题,大有完善的空间.本文基于Hotelling模型关于企业间博弈的相关主张,从企业理性行为的角度,寻求一条不同于政府被动监管行为的路径,来实现"两型"社会的建设蓝图.模型推导认为,品牌经济的发展模式可以有效激励企业采取长期导向、追求价值差异和关注公司声誉,进而实现资源节约及环境友好的社会福利改进.并且,由于这种机制兼顾了企业的盈利动机,因而更能够在实践当中行之有效,能指导各个地区实现经济发展模式的转型与升级.     

昆山市耕地变化和粮食安全研究

采用粮食自给率结合区域最小人均耕地面积对江苏省昆山市20多年来粮食安全状况进行研究,结果表明:昆山市在2000年从粮食产区转型为粮食销区;2006年的粮食自给率仅有23%;生产力提高和作物种植结构的相互制约导致了最小人均耕地面积呈波动变化。在粮食安全未来发展趋势的分析方面,提出了依据相关社会经济指标对昆山市发展阶段进行聚类分析,然后以最新发展阶段数据进行建模的新思路。分析结果表明:昆山的粮食安全相关的社会经济指标变化确实呈明显阶段性;至2011年,昆山市粮食自给率将下降至11%;最小人均耕地面积降低至0.028 hm2,如果该变化趋势得不到有效控制而持续较长时间,到2016年时,粮食自给率和最小人均耕地面积将分别下降至8%和0.012 hm2。依据这些分析及预测,文章提出了坚持土地集约利用、提升耕地生产力、建立和完善粮食流通网络和拓展并强化与粮食产区之间的合作等保障粮食安全、促进地区可持续发展的对策措施。     

显示触控系统人为因素适航符合性验证技术

为解决传统人为因素适航符合性验证技术对先进驾驶舱显示触控系统设计的不适用性问题,首先,详细阐述显示触控系统的技术特点;然后,依据相关适航条款,确定显示触控系统在人为因素适航审定中需重点考虑的要素和审定计划的条理性方法;最后,结合符合性验证可能产生的问题,给出显示触控系统人为因素符合性验证要求及实现方法.结果 表明:人为...     

民机蒙皮材料紫外老化加速环境谱研究

研究紫外辐射环境对蒙皮材料的性能退化影响,进而对民机的紫外辐射防护设计提供重要依据,并依据其使用环境编制加速环境谱。通过分析民机的任务特点和使用环境,基于民机巡航高度下紫外辐射强度的仿真结果和相关紫外环境试验标准,提出了适用于民机蒙皮材料的紫外老化加速环境谱,给出了各试验条件的确定方法,以及加速环境谱与外场实际使用环境的当量加速关系。以民机机身部位蒙皮试样为例,初步开展了若干周期的紫外老化试验,蒙皮表面材料的形貌改变和性能退化验证了所提出的加速环境谱的可行性。     

中国核损害责任制度的缺陷及立法设想

随着核能和平利用的发展。核能的安全性日益引起人们的关注，核损害及其赔偿已经成为无法回避的问题。我国现行核损害责任制度存在重大缺陷．应该尽快建立和完善我国大陆的核损害责任制度。建议：①在民事基本法的层次上，对核损害责任做出全面而具体的规定。②制定核领域的基本法《原子能法》或《核设施法》。③制定《核损害赔偿法》或《核损害责任法》或《核损害赔偿条例》。最后提出我国大陆核损害责任立法的主要内容。     

长江流域节水型社会建设特点与建设效益初探

长江丰富的水资源不仅是本流域的水源，也是我国水资源配置的战略水源。搞好长江流域节水型社会建设，对保证本流域及全国经济社会可持续发展均具有非常重要的意义。基于流域自然资源、社会经济、环境质量三大背景，对长江流域节水型社会建设特点进行了初步探索，认为“节流减污”和“水资源南北优化”是长江流域节水型社会建设的两大基本特点。从经济、社会和环境3方面对节水型社会建设效益进行了简单地定性和定量分析，初步认定，建设长江流域节水型社会将会取得较大效益。     

The pathway to a sustainable industrial society – initiative of the Research Institute for Sustainability Science (RISS) at Osaka University

While it is widely known that sustainable development is the only sound and viable pathway for humankind’s future, its attainment remains elusive despite intensive efforts and some successes. The current industrial society approach based on product and process innovation in a variety of fields is not providing the expected results in addressing this important issue. In an attempt to carry out this unavoidable task, Osaka University’s Research Institute for Sustainability Science (RISS) introduces an integral and dynamic innovation system where technology plays a key role in fulfilling societal functions. This innovation system adopts a highly solution-driven approach that makes use of backcasting techniques based on long-term visions and mid-term strategic goals. Since technology management is the key to propelling effective innovation towards sustainability, we propose a technology transition management through the interaction of technology push, demand pull and institutional design, along with eight transition principles. RISS will develop this innovation system based on these three components and through the design of dynamic scenarios and their roadmaps.