基于系统动力学的食品企业安全生产监管博弈研究

为了研究食品安全生产及监管的内在机理、影响因素及监管模式,采用演化博弈论方法建立了政府监管部门与食品企业之间的博弈模型,运用复制动态方程和系统动力学方法深入分析了食品安全生产中相关主体的决策选择。结果表明:食品企业在追求利益最大化的前提下须主动重视食品安全问题,食品企业的策略选择受安全生产投入成本、处罚成本和声誉收益的影响;政府监管部门的监管行为受监管成本、外部负效益及社会成本等多方因素的影响。因此,增大监管部门惩处力度、降低监管成本、完善社会公众监督机制、强化声誉效应是食品安全问题得以解决的有力保障。     

Implementing wildlife-management strategies into road infrastructure in southern Ontario: a critical success factors approach

Wildlife-road conflict has profound negative impacts on both wildlife populations and society. Despite a long-held understanding of this problem, in most regions the wildlife-management strategies (WMS) available to mitigate this conflict are still relatively underutilized. This study examines the implementation of these strategies into road infrastructure, using Southern Ontario as a case study, in order to develop an understanding of what leads to successful WMS implementation. The project management concept of critical success factors was applied and interviews with project decision-makers and key stakeholders were conducted. Nine factors were identified and a comparison between a ‘smooth’ and ‘rough’ project is used to illustrate the cumulative effects that these factors, and their interrelationships, have on project implementation success. Practitioners can use these findings to evaluate WMS projects based on likelihood of success and allocate resources accordingly, ultimately leading to increased chances of implementation and overall benefit to conservation and society.     

Yield and Water Productivity of Winter Wheat under Various Irrigation Capacities

The Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator model validated in a prior study for winter wheat was used to simulate yield, aboveground crop biomass (BM), transpiration (T), and evapotranspiration under four irrigation capacities (ICs) (0, 1.7, 2.5, and 5 mm/day) with two nitrogen (N) application rates (N1, 94 kg N/ha; N2, 160 kg N/ha) to (1) understand the performance of winter wheat under different ICs and (2) develop crop water production function under various ICs and N rates. Evaluation was based on yield, aboveground crop BM, transpiration productivity (TP), crop water productivity (WP), and irrigation WP (IWP). Simulation results showed winter wheat yield increased with increase in N application rate and IC. However, the rate of yield increase gradually reduced with additional irrigation beyond 2.5 mm/day. A 5 mm/day IC required a total of 190 mm irrigation and produced a 5%–16% yield advantage over 2.5 mm/day. This indicates it is possible to reduce groundwater use for wheat by 50% incurring only 5%–16% yield loss relative to 5 mm/day. The TP and IWP for grain were slightly higher under IC of 1.7 mm/day (15.2–16.1 kg/ha/mm and 0.98–1.6 kg/m³) when compared to 5 mm/day (14.7–15.5 kg/ha/mm and 0.6–1.06 kg/m³), respectively. Since TP and IWPs are relatively higher under lower ICs, winter wheat could be a suitable crop under lower ICs in the region. Relationship between yield–T and yield–ET was linear with a slope of 15–16 and 9.5–10 kg/ha/mm, respectively. Editor's note : This paper is part of the featured series on Optimizing Ogallala Aquifer Water Use to Sustain Food Systems. See the February 2019 issue for the introduction and background to the series.     

巷道冲击地压模拟试验及其过程动态演示

以巷道冲击地压灾害为典型案例,通过对巷道类冲击地压事故机理的分析,设计了一项巷道冲击地压试验装置,通过视频剪辑和动画制作技术,实现了对冲击地压试验的全程记录,并利用分频、字幕说明等形式对冲击地压试验动态过程进行了演示和说明。结果表明,该试验装置结合了巷道冲击地压发生原理,以动画方式演示,具有直观、简洁、易于理解的特点,为揭示冲击地压过程及其发生机制提供了一种新方法。     

“二级厌氧-微氧-好氧”组合工艺处理模拟碳纤维生产废水

对模拟碳纤维生产废水进行“厌氧-好氧”静态小试,根据COD的去除效果确定该碳纤维废水的可生化性。采用“二级厌氧-微氧-好氧”组合工艺进行动态中试,考察废水的处理效果及系统的抗冲击性能。试验结果表明：该工艺对碳纤维生产废水的处理效果较好;系统具有厌氧池出水pH增大的特点,且抗冲击能力较强;在厌氧池水温为28~38 ℃、好氧池水温不低于15 ℃、废水流量为100 L/h、进水COD为660 mg/L、进水ρ（氨氮）为4.9 mg/L的条件下,出水COD稳定在50 mg/L以下,ρ（氨氮）稳定在5 mg/L以下,能够满足GB 8978-1996《污水综合排放标准》的要求。     

改性兰炭末对硝基苯生产废水的吸附处理

采用H_2O_2溶液对兰炭末进行改性,并将改性后的兰炭末用于硝基苯生产废水(COD为560 mg/L)的吸附处理。对改性前后的兰炭末进行了表征,考察了吸附效果的影响因素,并对吸附前后改性兰炭末的燃烧热进行了测定。表征结果显示,兰炭末经改性后比表面积和孔径均增大。实验结果表明:在改性兰炭末投加量为0.2 g/m L、吸附时间为180 min、吸附温度为30℃的条件下,废水的COD去除率为93.4%,处理出水达到GB 8978—1996《污水综合排放标准》中规定的排放标准;改性兰炭末对废水中COD的吸附过程符合准二级动力学方程和Freundlich等温吸附模型;吸附后的改性兰炭末燃烧热值增大。     

城陵矶综合枢纽工程建设对洞庭湖水动力影响模拟研究

受流域降雨量偏枯以及三峡工程蓄水运行等综合影响,洞庭湖季节性干旱问题近年来日益突出.为缓解洞庭湖旱情,湖南省和湖北省政府提出了建设城陵矶综合枢纽工程.枢纽工程的建设,将改变洞庭湖水动力特征,影响湖区生态环境.该研究基于MIKE 21模型构建了洞庭湖二维水动力模型,模拟预测了枢纽工程建设前后洞庭湖湖体水位、流速等水动力参数变化特征.验证结果显示:水动力模拟结果与实测值吻合较好,模型计算结果有效可靠.模拟结果显示:城陵矶综合枢纽调度运行后,能够有效抬升全湖水位0.78~1.06 m,增加湖泊面积5.96%~10.84%,增加湖容31.18%~39.69%.枢纽工程对缓解洞庭湖秋季旱情、春季旱情作用明显,能够在一定程度上解决洞庭湖枯水期提前、枯水期延长、枯季水位偏低等问题.随着水位的抬升,湖体流速有不同程度的减小,退水期、枯水期平均流速由0.30 m·s-1和0.23 m·s-1降至0.28m·s-1和0.19 m·s-1,分别降低了6.67%、17.39%.城陵矶综合枢纽运行后,水流速度减缓、水体滞留时间延长,将加大湖体富营养化风险.     

南水北调东线（江苏段）沿线污染物总量达标研究

基于江苏省2010年污染源普查资料和统计年鉴,选取化学需氧量（ COD）和氨氮（ NH4－N）为研究因子,统计南水北调东线江苏段污染物排放量并计算入输水干线污染物量;根据南水北调办治污工程规划,计算污染物削减量;根据2012年江苏省水环境功能区划,核定研究区域限排总量;结果污染物量COD、氨氮削减量分别为33114吨、2935吨,污染源结构中城镇生活源比例从23．34％降到9．10％,工业企业源比例从15．13％降到8．96％,污染源点源呈下降趋势,面源呈增长趋势,污染物入输水干线总量达到2015年限排总量要求。     

油气长输管道施工企业清洁生产研究

清洁生产在油气长输管道施工领域涉及较少,观念和方法还未完全推广。油气长输管道施工企业与传统生产型企业有许多不同之处,以某企业清洁生产审核为例,就如何通过清洁生产审核挖掘清洁生产潜力来做探索性、建议性的研究。实践证明,该企业清洁生产机会的突破口为柴油消耗,通过柴油消耗平衡图的建立和重点耗油设备运行状况的调查,找到了降低柴油消耗的清洁生产方案,使企业达到了“节能、降耗、减污、增效”的目的。     

基于投影寻踪的资源环境综合绩效评估方法研究

资源环境综合绩效评估是建设节约型社会的一项基础工作.在传统的资源环境综合绩效指数中,各种资源消耗和污染物排放绩效的权重相等,导致综合评价结果的合理性受到影响.针对该问题,通过构建投影指标函数和采用遗传算法对投影方向进行优化,提出了基于投影寻踪的资源环境综合绩效评估方法,并应用于2007年中国各省、直辖市和自治区的资源环境绩效评估.研究结果表明,中国资源环境绩效水平空间差异明显,呈现东部高西部低的特征,因此必须合理调整西部地区的经济结构,提高资源利用效率和加强环境保护,实现可持续发展.该方法的权重取值较为客观和科学,评估结果合理,值得推广应用.