Misoperation monitoring and early warning during startup and shutdown of petrochemical units

Most petrochemical units run under extreme conditions, such as high temperatures, pressures, and speeds. Consequently, the equipment operators may commit errors because the startup and shutdown processes usually involve complicated operation steps; moreover, the operators may lack experience in handling abnormal situations. Misoperation can lead to accidents, including fires and explosions. Thus, risk analysis for process operations and the development of preventive measures have become an effective means of avoiding misoperation-related accidents. However, it is challenging to ensure the comprehensiveness of risk-analysis results. In this paper, we present a method for misoperation monitoring and early warning in the startup and shutdown processes of petrochemical units. The mechanisms of misoperation occurrence are summarized based on investigations of serious accidents in the recent past. Knowledge regarding the mechanisms of misoperation is crucial for the risk analysis of petrochemical units. The potential risk information, such as causes, adverse consequences, key monitoring parameters, and prevention control solutions, should be acquired and be employed to construct an early-warning knowledge database. Furthermore, misoperation judgment rules need to be formulated to identify misoperations. The data obtained from the monitoring module, misoperation judgment rules, and analysis results can aid in developing schemes to avoid possible abnormal situations. This paper reports a misoperation monitoring and early-warning system for a hydrogenation unit. As demonstrated, conducting risk analysis to determine the potential operational risks and formulating misoperation judgment rules to analyze the process data are essential for enabling early warning. The application of this method will contribute to operational guidance, economic loss reduction, and accident avoidance.     

基于Bayesian网络的常减压装置设备故障概率分析

为分析影响常减压蒸馏装置平稳运行的设备失效模式及故障部件,基于1 151条设备故障数据,采用Bayesian网络分析方法,分别对离心泵、压缩机、电动机构建基于Bayesian网络的设备故障概率分析模型,分析故障部件、失效模式、故障后果之间的定量概率关系。研究结果表明：离心泵、压缩机、电动机停运的关键致因部件分别为轴承箱密封故障、活塞环故障、轴承故障,同时得到导致设备停运的故障部件敏感度排序。研究结果有助于提高设备故障风险防范及检维修工作效率,同时可为备件优化方案提供思路。     

中美两国经济发展与铜消费量对比研究

发达国家的发展过程表明,经济增长与铜消费量密切相关。本文由IPAT方程推导了铜消费指标与GDP间的关系式,得出GDP的年增长率（g）的单位GDP铜消费量的年下降率（t）是影响铜消费量变化的两个重要参数。给出了中、美两国铜消费指标与GDP间的关系曲线;中国1960-2004年间单位GDP的铜消费量并未形成明显的上升或下降趋势;美国1941-2004年间单位GDP铜消费量的变化总体上逐年降低,1941年为17.80kg/10^4USD,2003年为2.56kg/10^4USD,单位GDP的铜消费量降低近7倍。对应不同的单位GDP铜消费量年下降率的假设,估计了未来25年内中国经济增长与铜消费指标间的关系以及单位GDP铜消费量降低的倍数。     

巢湖和太湖春季微囊藻毒素动态差异及与环境因子的关系

为探究春季巢湖和太湖水体中胞内微囊藻毒素(IMCs)动态变化时空差异及其关键影响因子,于2019年3—5月对两湖不同湖区进行采样分析。结果表明:春季巢湖和太湖的IMCs呈现明显的时空分布特征,IMCs浓度逐月增加,在富营养化水平高的湖区明显高于富营养水平低的湖区;两湖IMCs的异构体均以IMC-LR为主,占比分别为65.10%和58.10%;3—5月两湖IMCs浓度差异明显,巢湖月均IMCs浓度(0.077、0.238、0.632 μg/L)明显高于太湖(0.021、0.031、0.166 μg/L),单位生物量IMCs及其异构体LR的毒性(IMCs/Chla和IMC-LR/Chla)也明显高于太湖。相关性分析表明,总氮(TN)、总磷(TP)浓度和TN/TP是影响IMCs浓度和单位生物量IMCs毒性的关键环境因子,同时产毒藻的丰度和产毒能力也可能是造成此差异的重要原因。     

流域水质目标管理技术研究(Ⅰ)——控制单元的总量控制技术

对国内外水污染防治技术体系进行了归纳总结,系统地介绍了美国水质管理技术——TMDL计划的技术框架和特点,指出TMDL对我国水质目标管理的借鉴意义. 在“以人为本,保护水生态”以及“分类、分区、分级、分期”理念的指导下,构建了以保持水生态系统健康为目标的流域水质目标管理技术体系,阐述了该体系的内涵和特点,研究了面向控制单元的总量控制技术方法,对水环境生态分区、水质标准体系的建立、水污染控制单元的选取、实际和允许负荷量的计算、污染负荷分配等关键技术进行了探讨,最后就如何实现流域水质目标管理体系提出了建议.       

降低硫黄回收装置烟气CO排放浓度研究

介绍了造成中国石化齐鲁分公司硫黄回收装置烟气CO排放浓度高的原因,并制定了相应的改造方案。对装置目前可实施的运行参数进行了优化调整,个别装置CO排放可达100 mg/m 3以下,其他装置等待检修时改造实施。     

水体微型生物群落参数与水质指标相关性的研究

利用聚氨酯泡沫塑料块(简称PFU)对清华园内某一连续水体中的微型生物群落的变化进行了观测.所研究的微型生物主要包括细菌、真菌、藻类和原生动物,此外也包括一些小型的后生动物,如轮虫等.所考察的水质指标主要有:水温,pH值,DO,COD_Mn,TN,TP以及叶绿素a含量等,并对水体的富营养化程度进行评价,采用层次分析-主要成分分析营养度法(AHP-PCA法)计算出综合营养指数TLI_c值.试验结果表明水体微型生物群落参数(如S_ep,G,T_90%和HI)和水质指标(如TLI_c)之间具有良好的相关性.      

Succession of aquatic microbial communities as a result of the water quality variations in continuous water

The changes of structural and functional parameters of aquatic microbial communities in continuous water on campus of Tsinghua University, China are investigated by polyurethane foam unit(PFU) method. The measured compositions of the communities include alga, protozoa, and some metazoa (such as rotifers). The measured indicators of water quality include water temperature, pH value, dissolved oxygen (DO), potassium permanganate index(CODMn), total nitrogen(TN), total phosphorus(TP) and chlorophyll- a(Chla). The trophic level, expressed by the trophic level indices(TL/c), is assessed with analytic hierarchy process and principal component analysis (AHP-PCA) method. The changing trends of the structural and functional parameters of aquatic microbial communities, such as Margalef index of diversity(D), Shannon-weaver index of diversity (H), Heterotropy index (HI), number of species when the colonization gets equilibrium(Seq), colonizing speed constant(G) and time spent when 90 percent of Seq colonized in PFU ( T90% ), are also analyzed. The experimental results showed the succession of aquatic microbial communities along the water flow is consistent with the water quality changes, so the parameters of microbial community can reflect the changes of water quality from the ecological view.     

非法用工单位伤亡人员一次性赔偿程序的探讨

2004年1月1日生效的《工伤保险条例》规定了非法用工单位向伤亡人员赔偿的标准和争议解决的程序，但是非法用工单位不属于法律上合法的主体，劳动仲裁机关和法院不能对不存在的主体作出裁定和判决，就算作出裁判，也不可能得到执行，从而使得该条例规定的对非法用工单位伤亡人员的赔偿成为一纸空文。为此，笔者从劳动争议和诉讼主体认定，程序保障和伤亡人员及时得到救助三个方面提出建议，以确保条例得到执行。     

生活小区供暖系统的问题及对策

针对神龙襄樊生活小区的供暖现状,结合襄樊基地供热管网的运行情况,就小区普遍存在的供暖个别单体不热、冷暖不均、管网失调、系统存气等问题,作了具体分析,并提出解决办法以供探讨.