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The aim of this work is (1) to discuss approaches and tools to set management goals using operational indicators for coastal management (i.e., indicators that are easy to measure, understand and predict) and validated predictive models and (2) to discuss remedial strategies for sustainable coastal management regarding water quality and the abundance of fish, waterfowl and large aquatic plants. These approaches are exemplified using data from Ringkøbing Fjord, Denmark, which has undergone two major regime shifts during the last decades. This work discusses the changes taken place during the period from 1980 to 2004 (when there are good empirical data). For Ringkøbing Fjord, which is a very shallow, well-oxygenated lagoon dominated by resuspension processes, we have targeted on the following operational indicators, which are meant to reflect seasonal median values for the entire defined coastal area (the ecosystem scale) and not conditions at individual sites or data from shorter time periods: Secchi depth (as a standard measure of water clarity) and chlorophyll-a concentrations (as a key measure of algal biomass). The operational indicators are regulated by a set of standard abiotic factors, such as salinity, suspended particulate matter (SPM), nutrient concentrations (N and P), coastal morphometry and water exchange. Such relationships are quantified using well-tested, general quantitative models, which illustrate how these indicators are interrelated and how they reflect fundamental aspects of coastal ecosystems. We demonstrate that the regime shift in the lagoon can be modelled and quantitatively explained and is related to changes in salinity and nutrient inflow. A very important threshold is linked to increased salinities in the lagoon. For example, when the mean annual salinity is higher than about 9.5‰, large numbers of saltwater species of clams can survive and influence the structure and function of the ecosystem in profound ways. The model also illustrates the dynamic response to changes in nutrient loading. We have presented several management strategies with the goal of keeping the Secchi depth at 2 m, which would stimulate the growth of higher aquatic plants, which are fundamental for fish production and bird abundance in the lagoon. Given the fact that the Secchi depth depends on many variable factors (temperature, TP-inflow from land, salinity, changes in biomasses of macrophytes and clams, which are accounted for in these simulations), our results indicate that in practice it will likely be very difficult to reach that goal. However, it would be realistic to maintain a Secchi depth of 1.5 m if the variability in salinity is minimized and the mean salinity is kept at about 10.2‰. 相似文献
203.
Crowding and Experience-Use History: A Study of the Moderating Effect of Place Attachment Among Water-Based Recreationists 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Effective recreation resource management relies on understanding visitor perceptions and behaviors. Given current and increasing
pressures on water resources, understanding crowding evaluations seems important. Beyond crowding, however, variables that
possibly relate to or influence crowding are of interest and in particular, place attachment and experience-use history (EUH).
As EUH is related to place attachment and likely affects crowding, this study explored the moderating effect of place attachment
dimensions on the relationships between EUH and visitor crowding evaluations. Water based recreationists at a U.S. Army Corps
of Engineers site were contacted onsite and asked questions related to experience-use history, crowding evaluations, place
attachment, and activity participation. Anglers and campers at the site identified similar crowding perceptions and place
attachments. Only one of eight models tested revealed a moderating effect. Specifically, place identity moderated the relationship
between the total times visited in the past twelve months and expected crowding among anglers. As such, the quest continues
to understand the relationship among these important variables. 相似文献
204.
在明确FMEA分析方法意义的基础上,本文对某装备进行故障模式及影响分析,并得出相应结论,以有助于该装备的研制与使用。 相似文献
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为探究城市建设用地集聚对城市建设用地利用效率的作用机理,文章基于2003—2017年中国278个地级及以上城市面板数据,通过构建多产出随机前沿生产函数模型测度城市建设用地利用效率,采用时间-空间双固定的空间杜宾模型探讨了不同程度的城市建设用地集聚对利用效率的影响机理与差异。结果表明:(1)从时空特征上来看,样本考察期内中国城市建设用地利用效率总体上呈稳步提升趋势,东部城市建设用地效率最高,西部次之,中部最低。(2)从全国维度的空间计量模型回归结果来看,城市建设用地集聚所带来的规模效应和外溢效应对城市建设用地利用效率具有改进作用,有利于利用效率进一步提升。(3)从不同城市建设用地集聚度分群回归结果来看,高集聚城市(东部发达地区)的直接效应显示随着城市建设用地集聚度的提高,利用效率也不断提高;间接效应中,建设用地集聚度的提高对周边城市的利用效率产生先带动后抑制的"倒U"形作用。低集聚城市(中西部欠发达地区)的直接效应和间接效应均显示,随着城市建设用地集聚的提高,其利用效率存在"先降后升"的"U"形曲线特征。可见,在城市发展的不同阶段,城市建设用地集聚对城市土地利用效率存在差异化影响。因此,中国城市发展应立足当前发展阶段特征,制定差别化的供地政策,促进城市建设用地集聚,针对性地提升区域要素利用效率,支撑经济社会进一步发展。 相似文献
209.
太湖地区“禁磷”措施的效果及在富营养化控制中的作用 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
通过太湖地区采取“禁磷”措施前后城市生活污水、主要入湖河水和湖体水域中磷浓度与富营养化指数变化的分析 ,证实“禁磷”措施对降低居民生活污水中磷浓度的作用较为明显 ,降幅为 2 4 %左右 ,但对入湖河道和湖体水域中磷浓度与水体富营养化的影响则不明显。表明太湖富营养化的改善 ,除了实施“禁磷”措施外 ,尚需结合流域内其它污染治理措施 ,进行综合治理 ,才能取得较好的效果。 相似文献
210.
乌鲁木齐市硫酸盐化速率关键影响因子分析 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
对硫酸盐化速率与大气中污染物质浓度和气象因素的分析结果表明,硫酸盐化速率不仅取决于SO2的浓度,还与PM10显著相关,是因为PM10表面为SO2的催化氧化提供了载体。气压和空气相对湿度对硫酸盐化速率有积极的促进作用,空气中的气态H2O具有凝结污染物质的能力,而降水对污染物质的冲刷效应降低了硫酸盐化速率。影响硫酸盐化速率的是空气中气态H2O而非降水。气温通过影响逆温层和风速共同影响着污染物浓度的扩散和稀释,从而决定着硫酸盐化速率的增减。 相似文献