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991.
992.
广西漓江洪涝灾害及防御对策研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用GIS信息系统和降水实况资料,对发生在广西漓江的洪涝情况进行分析。通过对洪涝灾害进行实地调查,利用灾害风险评估技术,对漓江洪涝灾害进行风险区划,对洪涝灾害的防御措施进行探讨。漓江上游是广西的暴雨中心,汛期暴雨常造成漓江洪涝灾害,特别是5-6月份,每年基本上都有2~3次大面积的洪灾;沿江两岸都是洪涝灾害的高风险区;漓江洪水具有来得快,消得也快的特点;造成漓江致洪暴雨的天气形势主要是华南静止锋;加强上游降水量的监测和预报,加强上游水库蓄水错峰的调控能力,完善低洼地段防洪堤坝建设,可以有效地防御洪涝灾害。 相似文献
993.
Md Nazmul Azim Beg Ehab A. Meselhe Dong Ha Kim James Halgren Adam Wlostowski Fred L. Ogden Trey Flowers 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2023,59(2):257-280
Operational forecast models require robust, computationally efficient, and reliable algorithms. We desire accurate forecasts within the limits of the uncertainties in channel geometry and roughness because the output from these algorithms leads to flood warnings and a variety of water management decisions. The current operational Water Model uses the Muskingum-Cunge method, which does not account for key hydraulic conditions such as flow hysteresis and backwater effects, limiting its ability in situations with pronounced backwater effects. This situation most commonly occurs in low-gradient rivers, near confluences and channel constrictions, coastal regions where the combined actions of tides, storm surges, and wind can cause adverse flow. These situations necessitate a more rigorous flow routing approach such as dynamic or diffusive wave approximation to simulate flow hydraulics accurately. Avoiding the dynamic wave routing due to its extreme computational cost, this work presents two diffusive wave approaches to simulate flow routing in a complex river network. This study reports a comparison of two different diffusive wave models that both use a finite difference solution solved using an implicit Crank–Nicolson (CN) scheme with second-order accuracy in both time and space. The first model applies the CN scheme over three spatial nodes and is referred to as Crank–Nicolson over Space (CNS). The second model uses the CN scheme over three temporal nodes and is referred to as Crank–Nicolson over Time (CNT). Both models can properly account for complex cross-section geometry and variable computational points spacing along the channel length. The models were tested in different watersheds representing a mixture of steep and flat topographies. Comparing model outputs against observations of discharges and water levels indicated that the models accurately predict the peak discharge, peak water level, and flooding duration. Both models are accurate and computationally stable over a broad range of hydraulic regimes. The CNS model is dependent on the Courant criteria, making it less computational efficient where short channel segments are present. The CNT model does not suffer from that constraint and is, thus, highly computationally efficient and could be more useful for operational forecast models. 相似文献
994.
Impacts of Human Behavioral Heterogeneity on the Benefits of Probabilistic Flood Warnings: An Agent‐Based Modeling Framework 下载免费PDF全文
Erhu Du Samuel Rivera Ximing Cai Laura Myers Andrew Ernest Barbara Minsker 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2017,53(2):316-332
Flood forecasts and warnings are intended to reduce flood‐related property damages and loss of human life. Considerable research has improved flood forecasting accuracy (e.g., more accurate prediction of the occurrence of flood events) and lead time. However, the delivery of improved forecast information alone is not necessarily sufficient to reduce flood damage and loss of life, as people have varying responses and reactions to flood warnings. This study develops an agent‐based modeling framework that evaluates the impacts of heterogeneity in human behaviors (i.e., variation in behaviors in response to flood warnings), as well as residential density, on the benefits of flood warnings. The framework is coupled with a traffic model to simulate evacuation processes within a road network under various flood warning scenarios. The results show the marginal benefit associated with providing better flood warnings is significantly constrained if people behave in a more risk‐tolerant manner, especially in high‐density residential areas. The results also show significant impacts of human behavioral heterogeneity on the benefits of flood warnings, and thus stress the importance of considering human behavioral heterogeneity in simulating flood warning‐response systems. Further study is suggested to more accurately model human responses and behavioral heterogeneity, as well as to include more attributes of residential areas to estimate and improve the benefits of flood warnings. 相似文献
995.
Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf Masoud Tajrishy Nasrin Alamdari 《Journal of Environmental Planning and Management》2016,59(8):1397-1417
This study presents an innovative approach for the integration of flood hazard into the site selection of detention basins. The site selection process is conducted by taking into account multiple criteria and disciplines. Hydraulic modeling results derived from stormwater management model are employed by Technique for the Order of Prioritization by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to determine flood hazard score. The score generated by TOPSIS is used in a spatial multi-criteria decision-making site selection framework. Applying the framework, a suitability map is generated in which primary locations for detention basin placement are determined. The method is demonstrated through the case study of Darakeh River Catchment, which is located in northern Tehran, Iran. The presented framework can be easily utilized for site selection of other stormwater management techniques, such as low impact development and best management practices, due to its versatility. 相似文献
996.
Andrew Rumbach Carrie Makarewicz Jeremy Németh 《Journal of Environmental Planning and Management》2016,59(11):2045-2063
Recovery is an important but understudied phase in the disaster management cycle. Researchers have identified numerous socio-demographic factors that help explain differences in recovery among households, but are less clear on the importance of place, which we define as a household's locality and local governance. In this paper, we examine the influence of place on disaster recovery through a study of the 2013 Colorado floods. Our findings are based on data collected from interviews, observation of recovery meetings, and a survey of 96 flood-affected households. We show that place shapes a household's disaster recovery by structuring: (1) physical exposure to hazards; (2) which local government has jurisdiction over recovery decisions; (3) local planning culture and its approach to citizen participation; and (4) the strength of social capital networks. Our findings expand the recovery literature and show that place-level variables should be taken into consideration when conceptualizing household recovery and resilience. 相似文献
997.
998.
洪水灾害间接经济损失评估研究进展 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
受全球气候变化及人类活动的影响,洪水灾害发生的频率和损失越来越大,洪灾直接经济损失评估研究不断深入,但是,洪灾间接经济损失评估研究相对薄弱。为了能综合地对洪水灾害间接经济损失进行科学的评价,回顾了国内外洪水灾害间接经济损失评估的研究现状,综述了洪水灾害间接经济损失的内涵及组成(减产停产损失、产业关联损失和投资溢价损失),分析了他们之间的关系及相应的评估方法特点。指出洪水灾害间接经济损失主要指产业关联损失,投入产出法是间接经济损失评估的适用方法,但该方法的使用必须作适应性改进,上述观点可供洪灾间接经济损失评价参考。 相似文献
999.
Peter E. Black 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2012,48(2):244-255
Black, Peter E., 2012. The U.S. Flood Control Program at 75: Environmental Issues. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 48(2): 244‐255. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752‐1688.2011.00609.x Abstract: Recent, recurring, and increased magnitude floods adversely challenge long‐held and erroneous concepts of flood control. This article focuses on the environmental issues with comprehensively reviewed essentials of the United States (U.S.) riverine Flood Control Program, including news reports, scientific articles, books, and landmark treatises. For the past three‐quarters of a century, U.S. floods have continued (and will continue) to occur, causing increasing property damage with growing fiscal loss. Reasons include inattention to fundamental principles of physics, hydrology, and ecology. There are also important challenges involving environmental policy, economics, and common sense. Measures afforded by the existing program encourage and enable investment in floodplains while violating a variety of natural principles that make the situation worse. This detailed review includes the questionable (actually untrue) justification in the document‐setting policy for the 1936 Omnibus Flood Control Act. The well‐documented evidence is overwhelming. An alternative approach is presented that would enable and celebrate natural floods, managing their ecological and hydrological values, and not attempting to control them. 相似文献
1000.
Lynn Mandarano 《Journal of Environmental Planning and Management》2010,53(2):183-196
This paper describes an applied research project that used a sustainable land-use planning approach to examine flood hazard mitigation alternatives in a 536-acre developed office park complex. A watershed-wide assessment including floodplain remapping and modelling of low-impact and large stormwater improvements throughout the upper watershed revealed limited impact on reducing flooding downstream in the environs of the office park during large storms. Thus emphasis had to be given to recommending retroactive sustainable land-use development actions such as relocating buildings and roadways out of the 100-year floodplain, which involves creating a mixed-use overlay district on high elevations, and restoring the floodplain. 相似文献