基于MGWR的土壤pH值空间建模及其影响因素分析

以安徽、河南、江苏和山东省为研究区,利用599个土壤样点数据,从地形、气候和生物等方面选取与土壤pH相关的9个环境因子,采用多尺度地理加权回归（MGWR）、混合地理加权回归（Mixed GWR）、地理加权回归（GWR）和多元线性回归（MLR）这4种模型对研究区土壤pH空间分布进行建模,并结合MGWR与分位数回归揭示环境因子对土壤pH作用的空间差异性.结果表明：①研究区土壤pH在不同空间距离上呈不同程度的显著全局和局部空间自相关性,聚集特征明显.② 4种模型中MGWR模型最优,MGWR、Mixed GWR、GWR和MLR的建模集R_adj²为0.64、0.62、0.59和0.48.MGWR的残差独立分布性最强,其空间自相关性最弱,全局Moran''s I仅为0.07.③ 3种GWR预测结果显示,研究区土壤pH值空间分布总体由北至南逐渐降低,河南北部最高,安徽南部最低.④ MGWR回归结果表明年均降雨量（MAP）、多尺度谷底平坦度（MRVBF）和海拔对土壤pH的影响较强,且存在较强的空间异质性.在江苏北部和山东大部分地区,MAP对土壤pH的影响较强;在江苏北部和山东西部,MRVBF对土壤pH的正向作用较强;在江苏北部和中部,海拔对土壤pH的负向作用最强.⑤ MAP对不同分位数水平上的土壤pH均呈显著负作用,作用强度随分位数水平增加呈减弱趋势;MRVBF对低分位数水平（θ为0.1~0.4）上的土壤pH呈显著负作用,对高分位数水平（θ为0.5~0.9）的土壤pH作用不显著.研究结果可为利用MGWR开展大区域土壤属性影响因素分析及预测制图提供参考.     

碱处理玉米秸秆与超声预处理污泥混合厌氧消化效果研究

以碱处理玉米秸秆和超声预处理污泥为发酵原料,在恒温35±1℃及底物浓度为15 gVS/L的条件下,采用正常运行的大型沼气池沼液作为接种物,研究不同配比(VS污泥:VS秸秆分别为1:0、2:1、1:1、1:2、1:4)对混合厌氧消化效果的影响.研究表明,VS污泥:VS秸秆的比例为1:2时累积产气量最高,VS产气率达到了472.33 mL·g-1,甲烷产量在发酵稳定后达到了60.52%.进一步研究得出,将超声预处理污泥与碱处理玉米秸秆按一定比例混合发酵可以将产气高峰提前.     

金昌市PM2.5及PM10短期暴露对成人血压水平的影响

为探索西北地区颗粒物(PM)短期暴露对人群血压(BP)水平的影响,基于金昌队列研究平台,收集甘肃省金昌市2011~2017年颗粒物污染数据及队列人群血压测量数据,在调整相关混杂因素基础上,采用线性混合效应模型分析PM_2.5和PM₁₀短期暴露对收缩压(SBP)、舒张压(DBP)、平均动脉压(MAP)、脉压(PP)和Mid-BP (SBP和DBP的均值)的影响.结果显示,随着PM_2.5浓度的增加,人群SBP,MAP,PP和Mid-BP均呈上升趋势,该效应值分别在累积滞后05,03,07和05d最大.随着PM₁₀浓度的增加,5种BP指标也均呈上升趋势,效应最大值均出现在累积滞后07d.PM_2.5和PM₁₀对BP产生的影响分别在吸烟和男性人群中更为显著.此外,沙尘天气和气态污染物(SO₂和NO₂)对PM-BP效应存在一定的修饰作用.因此,在该队列人群中,PM_2.5和PM₁₀短期暴露对人群血压具有一定影响,吸烟者和男性人群可能是颗粒物影响血压效应的易感人群.     

Cu-Mg-Al催化剂上NOx储存及分解性能研究

采用共沉淀方法制备了Cu-Mg-Al水滑石混合氧化物催化剂,并对该催化剂及其前驱物进行了XRD表征.使用等温吸附、程序升温脱附以及C₃H₆程序升温表面反应分别考察了催化剂上NO_x储存及分解反应性能.结果表明,由于Cu-Mg-Al催化剂中CuO组分发挥了NO氧化作用,促进了进气中NO_x以硝酸盐方式吸附在催化剂上,因此该催化剂具有很好的NO_x储存性能;在富燃条件下,C₃H₆能够显著降低催化剂上硝酸盐的热稳定性,在160～360 ℃温度范围内,这些硝酸盐会迅速分解成气态NO_x,同时随着C₃H₆加入量的提高,C₃H₆也可以将少量气态NO_x进行还原.     

层次分析法在闽南沿海山地混交林优化模式选择上的应用

采用层次分析法(AHP)对闽南沿海山地各混交经营模式进行层次决策选择,从层次选择模型和判断矩阵的构建入手,对评价因子和混交优化模式进行排序并经一致性检验,结果表明,所构建的判断矩阵的随机一致性比率=0.0646<0.10,总排序的=0.0516<0.10,均具有满意的一致性和可靠性,选择出的优化模式与现实生产实际相吻合,说明层次分析法在混交林经营模式的定量化选择上的应用是可行的.     

某湖滨路拓宽改造工程的稳定性分析及处理方案研究

针对某湖滨路的拓宽改造工程,选取地基土层最不利的断面进行数值模拟,并采用强度折减法研究其整体稳定性。数值分析结果表明,加宽后的新路基稳定性较差,安全储备不能满足要求,需要采取加固措施。对初步设计提出的仅采用土工格栅和采用土工格栅+水泥搅拌桩这两种不同加固处理方案进行了数值分析。计算结果表明,相比仅采用土工格栅,采用土工格栅+水泥搅拌桩进行软基处理可以有效地减小不均匀沉降、提高路堤的整体稳定性。本文的实例研究可供类似工程参考和借鉴。     

Social and Ecological Change over a Decade in a Village Hunting System,Central Gabon

Despite widespread recognition of the major threat to tropical forest biological diversity and local food security posed by unsustainable bushmeat hunting, virtually no long‐term studies tracking the socioecological dynamics of hunting systems have been conducted. We interviewed local hunters and collected detailed hunting data to investigate changes in offtake and hunter characteristics over 10 years (2001–2010) in Dibouka and Kouagna villages, central Gabon, in the context of hunter recollections of longer term trends since the 1950s. To control for changes in hunter behavior, such as trap location and characteristics, we report hunting offtake data per trap. Our results suggest the hunting area was already highly depleted by 2001; local hunters reported that 16 large‐bodied prey species had become rare or locally extirpated over the last 60 years. Overall, we observed no significant declines in hunting offtake or changes in species composition from 2001 to 2010, and offtakes per trap increased slightly between 2004 and 2010. However, trapping distance from the villages increased, and there was a switch in hunting techniques; a larger proportion of the catch was hunted with guns in 2010. The number of hunters declined by 20% from 2004 to 2010, and male livelihood activities shifted away from hunting. Hunters with the lowest hunting incomes in 2004 were more likely than successful hunters to have moved away from the village by 2010 (often in response to alternative employment opportunities). Therefore, changes in trap success (potentially related to biological factors) were interacting with system‐level changes in hunter number and composition (related to external socioeconomic factors) to produce a relatively static overall offtake. Our results highlight the importance of understanding the small‐scale context of hunting to correctly interpret changes or apparent stasis in hunting effort and offtake over time. Cambio Social y Ecológico a lo Largo de Una Década en un Sistema de Cacería Aldeana, Gabón Central     

二元混合液体闪点的计算

以混合溶液纯组分易燃液体闪点的饱和蒸气压为基础,应用乌拉尔定律、双液系的气-液相平衡理论,运用Le Chatelier方程和安托因方程导出二元混合液的闪点计算方法。并例举易燃液体与易燃液体组成的理想混合液、易燃液体与易燃液体组成的非理想混合液、易燃液体与不燃液体组成的非理想混合液的计算过程。乙醇溶液闪点的计算结果与现有的文献资料比较,误差在允许范围内。计算数据用Excel处理,快捷准确,用于确定二元混合液体的火灾危险性。     

Modeling Species' Distributions to Improve Conservation in Semiurban Landscapes: Koala Case Study

Abstract:  Models of species' distributions are commonly used to inform landscape and conservation planning. In urban and semiurban landscapes, the distributions of species are determined by a combination of natural habitat and anthropogenic impacts. Understanding the spatial influence of these two processes is crucial for making spatially explicit decisions about conservation actions. We present a logistic regression model for the distribution of koalas (  Phascolarctos cinereus ) in a semiurban landscape in eastern Australia that explicitly separates the effect of natural habitat quality and anthropogenic impacts on koala distributions. We achieved this by comparing the predicted distributions from the model with what the predicted distributions would have been if anthropogenic variables were at their mean values. Similar approaches have relied on making predictions assuming anthropogenic variables are zero, which will be unreliable if the training data set does not include anthropogenic variables close to zero. Our approach is novel because it can be applied to landscapes where anthropogenic variables are never close to zero. Our model showed that, averaged across the study area, natural habitat was the main determinant of koala presence. At a local scale, however, anthropogenic impacts could be more important, with consequent implications for conservation planning. We demonstrated that this modeling approach, combined with the visual presentation of predictions as a map, provides important information for making decisions on how different conservation actions should be spatially allocated. This method is particularly useful for areas where wildlife and human populations exist in close proximity.     

土壤种子库特征及与地上植被的关系——以福建省三明市杉木人工林为例

以杉阔混交林和杉木人工纯林为研究对象,采用野外调查、取样和室内种子萌发法,研究土壤种子库的物种组成、密度、垂直分布特征及其与地上植被的关系.结果表明：混交林土壤种子库由24科30属的30种植物组成,纯林由20科24属的24种植物组成,种子密度分别为656.94±89.59粒/m²和486.11±77.66粒/m²,物种组成均以草本植物为主.两林分土壤种子库中的种子主要集中于0~2cm和2~5cm土层,占69.0%~75.2%.乔木种子主要分布于凋落物层中,灌木、草本和藤本植物的种子主要分布于0~2cm土壤层中.混交林和纯林土壤种子库与各自地上植被的相似性指数分别为0.40和0.33,整体相似程度较低.总体而言,杉木纯林和杉阔混交林林内种源充足,可满足林下植被更新的需求,混交林林下草本植被的更新潜力大于纯林.杉木种源不是其更新障碍的主要因素,林内较厚的凋落物以及林下较弱的光照可能是主要障碍因素,但尚需进一步研究.