Model-based analysis of the influence of ecological processes on forest point pattern formation—A case study

Many different spatio-temporal individual-based models (IBM) for forests have been developed for studying the development of trees in space and time. Such models typically depend on various numerical parameters that represent the ecological processes of growth (G), inter-plant competition (C) and birth-and-death (B&D; also called regeneration and mortality). Until now little work has been done to systematically trace the influence of these processes and their model parameters on the spatial structure of forest ecosystems.This paper attempts to fill this gap by addressing an important aspect of forest structure, spatial variability, characterised by the mark variogram as a summary characteristic. The model used was inspired by components of various well-established IBMs including a shot-noise competition field. Time series data from monospecies forests in three different countries of the northern hemisphere provided ecological reference scenarios. Though a case study, the paper's methodology is rather general and can be applied to any model and forest ecosystem.Methods of sensitivity analysis revealed that only a small number of model parameters is crucial for forming spatial variability. Particularly important is the range of competition between trees; with increasing range the variability increases. Growth processes have considerable importance particularly with short observation periods and in young forests, whereas mortality processes become more influential in the long-term. Naturally, these statements depend upon the initial structure and on the length of the observation period.     

Integrating spatial support tools into strategic planning—SEA of the GMS North–South Economic Corridor Strategy and Action Plan

The GMS countries, supported by the Asian Development Bank, have adopted a holistic, multidimensional approach to strengthen infrastructural linkages and facilitate cross border trade through (i) the establishment of a trans-boundary road connecting two economic nodes across marginalised areas, followed by 2) facilitation of environmentally and socially sound investments in these newly connected areas as a means to develop livelihoods. The North–South Economic Corridor is currently in its second phase of development, with investment opportunities to be laid out in the NSEC Strategy and Action Plan (SAP). It targets the ecologically and culturally sensitive border area between PR China's Yunnan Province, Northern Lao PDR, and Thailand. A trans-boundary, cross-sectoral Strategic Environmental Assessment was conducted to support the respective governments in assessing potential environmental and social impacts, developing alternatives and mitigation options, and feeding the findings back into the SAP writing process. Given the spatial dimension of corridor development—both with regard to opportunities and risks—particular emphasis was put in the application of spatial modelling tools to help geographically locate and quantify impacts as a means to guide interventions and set priorities.     

What does it mean to transform knowledge into action in falls prevention research? Perspectives from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research

Introduction

The concept of knowledge translation as defined by the Canadian Institutes for Health Research and the Knowledge to Action Cycle, described by Graham et al (Graham et al., 2006), are used to make a case for the importance of using a conceptual model to describe moving knowledge into action in the area of falls prevention.

Method

There is a large body of research in the area of falls prevention. It would seem that in many areas it is clear what is needed to prevent falls and further syntheses can determine where the evidence is sufficiently robust to warrant its implementation as well as where the gaps are that require further basic research.

Conclusion

The phases of the action cycle highlight seven areas that should be paid attention to in order to maximize chances of successful implementation.     

基于大气退化物理模型恢复算法的露天矿车辆助驾技术

露天矿汽车运输是大型露天矿主要运输方式之一,是影响露天矿生产能力和经济效益的关键因素。本文分析了露天矿车辆运输事故原因,针对露天矿卡车运输道路环境特点与天气因素,通过安装于车体外的高清CCD摄像设备,来消除卡车盲区的安全隐患,并基于大气退化物理模型恢复算法,实现了在雨、雪、雾、灰尘等恶劣天气条件下的露天矿车辆运输道路环境探测影像增强技术,提高露天矿卡车司机的可视距离,降低事故发生率。本文的研究对于提高露天矿车辆运输安全,降低露天矿事故发生率具有重要意义,并以某大型露天煤矿为应用实例验证了其可行性。     

黄河三角洲石油开采区盐渍化农田土壤多环芳烃的分布特征与源解析

采集黄河三角洲石油开采区滨州市89个土壤样品(其中:83个农田土壤样品,6个石油开采区土壤样品),采用气相色谱-质谱仪(GC-MS)分析土壤中的16种EPA优控的多环芳烃(PAHs)组成与含量,运用主成分分析(PCA)和正定矩阵因子法(PMF)模型判断农田土壤中多环芳烃的来源.结果表明,农田土壤中16种PAHs总含量(以干重计)范围31. 5～1 399. 4μg·kg~(-1),其平均值为149. 8μg·kg~(-1). PAHs组成特征表明,该地区农田土壤中主要以4～6环多环芳烃为主,单体PAH间大多呈显著相关(P 0. 01),表明采样区某些单体PAH的污染来源具有一定的相似性.两种源解析方法对多环芳烃的来源判定有相似的结果,农田土壤中PAHs主要来源于燃煤、生物质燃烧、化石燃料燃烧以及柴油燃烧; 4类源的贡献率依次是汽油燃烧(24. 05%)、柴油燃烧(6. 17%)、低温热解过程(60. 67%)与煤燃烧(9. 11%).     

A novel approach combining bootstrapped non-intrusive reduced order models and unscented transform for the robust and efficient CFD analysis of accidental gas releases in congested plants

The risk assessment for safety-critical, complex systems is a very challenging computational problem when it is performed with high-fidelity models, e.g. CFD, like in the case of accidental gas releases in congested systems. Within this framework, a novel CFD approach, named Source Box Accident Model, has been recently proposed to efficiently model such phenomena by splitting the simulation of the gas release and its subsequent dispersion in the system in two steps. In this view, the present paper proposes a non-intrusive, Proper Orthogonal Decomposition-Radial Basis Functions reduced order model that exploits the two-step nature of the SBAM approach, to mimic the behaviour of the original, long-running CFD model code at a significantly lower computational cost. Moreover, the paper presents a methodology combining the bootstrap and unscented transform approaches to efficiently assess the ROM uncertainty in the safety-critical simulation output quantities of interest, e.g. the flammable volume. The results obtained in a test case involving a high pressure, accidental gas release in an off-shore Oil & Gas plant are in very satisfactory agreement with those produced by CFD, with a relative error smaller than 10% and a reduction in the computational time of about three orders of magnitude.     

人工湿地污染物降解模型研究

近年来,人工湿地作为一种绿色、高效的污水处理技术,得到了长足发展和广泛应用。文章综述了人工湿地数学模型的研究进展,重点介绍国内外已成功应用的“箱式”模型和基于过程的模型的开发情况。同时分析了这两类模型的优缺点。建模的目的在于深入理解湿地内部污染物去除过程,从而优化设计参数,指导人工湿地在国内的实践应用。但现阶段,人工湿地去除污染物的内部机制尚未得到定量化,可见湿地模型的未来发展趋势在于对湿地内部过程的深入理解。     

地价模型在农用地基准地价评估中的应用——以宿州市埇桥区为例

以埇桥区农用地为研究对象，基于农用地分等定级成果，建立不同的地价模型并进行统计检验，得到农用地综合质量和农用地价格之间的最佳关系模型，揭示农用地的综合质量和农用地价格的统计规律。研究认为，在市场交易案例很少的情况下，建立地价模型进行基准地价的评估是科学的，在此基础上对农用地基准地价进行评估和实证分析。     

基于工业代谢的工业生态链梯级循环物质流研究

以工业代谢为理论基础,运用系统分析与建模的方法对工业生态系统中的企业及其所构建的工业生态链进行理论分析与描述,揭示了工业生态系统中物质代谢及循环流动机理,并提出了简化的工业生态链的梯级循环物质流模式及其数学表达模型,对我国开展工业生态研究具有一定的参考价值和指导意义。