沉积物不同有机矿质复合体对磷的吸附特征影响

采用平衡吸附法研究了西辽河沉积物不同有机矿质复合体对磷的吸附特征影响.结果表明,去除腐殖质后的沉积物对磷的吸附能力大大降低,其饱和吸附量(Гm)和吸附分配系数(k)分别只能达到原样的35.62%和9.93%,有机矿质复合体是影响磷在沉积物上吸附特征的主要因素;沉积物中的钙键有机矿质复合体对磷具有孔隙填充方式的吸附,其碳标化饱和吸附量为1157.05mg/kg,相当于原样的1.27倍;沉积物中的铁铝键有机矿质复合体在对磷吸附中发挥重要作用,其碳标化饱和吸附量可达1736.82mg/kg,相当于原样的1.88倍.其吸附机制除孔隙填充方式外,还存在配位吸附;考查沉积物对磷的吸附能力不但要考虑腐殖质的含量,更要考虑腐殖质的复合形态,它也是影响沉积物对磷吸附特征的重要因素.以原样为基准,钙键有机矿质复合体、铁铝键有机矿质复合体携载的吸附态磷可分别按1.27和1.88倍进行估算.     

呼伦贝尔草原植被覆盖度估算的光谱模型

采用美国ASD公司Fieldspec3光谱仪和日本富士数码相机,于2009年7~8月在内蒙古呼伦贝尔草原区进行了植物高光谱和植被覆盖度测定,并运用回归分析方法,建立实测归一化植被指数(ASD NDVI)和植被覆盖度之间的地面光谱模型,分析MODIS/TERRA卫星的NDVI(MODIS NDVI)与ASD NDVI的关系,建立预测植被覆盖度的MODIS光谱模型,并对模型进行精度检验.结果表明所建的MODIS光谱模型是线性函数,该模型预测精度高于亚像元分解模型,标准误差为11.58%,平均预测精度达到88.75%.     

Environmentally Sensitive Productivity Analysis of the Canadian Pulp and Paper Industry, 1959-1994: An Input Distance Function Approach

This study employs a parametric input distance function that incorporates both desirable and undesirable outputs to provide a more complete representation of the production technology from which environmentally sensitive productivity and efficiency measures can be generated. This framework also generates pollution abatement cost estimates that are useful for policy making. An input-based Malmquist index of productivity growth that appropriately credits the producer not only for increases in marketable or desirable outputs but also for the production of improved environmental quality through pollution abatement activities is derived from the input distance function. The method was applied to time series data from the Canadian pulp and paper industry. Our shadow price estimates indicate that the marginal cost to producers of pollution control has been rising. The main conclusion of this study is that productivity improvement, from the social viewpoint, has been stronger than conventional measures would suggest.     

沉积物不同天然有机组分对氨氮吸附特征的影响

为估算沉积物不同天然有机组分吸附态氨氮携载量．采用平衡吸附法研究西辽河沉积物不同天然有机组分对氨氮吸附特征的影响。结果表明,去除有机质后的沉积物对氨氮的吸附能力大大降低,其碳标化饱和吸附量（Гmoc）和吸附分配系数（Koc）分别为重组的55．30％和69．49％,说明有机质是影响氨氮在沉积物上吸附特征的主要因素。氨氮在轻组有机组分上的吸附以分配作用为主（Koc=85．57）;稳结态和紧结态腐殖质是形成沉积物疏松多孔团聚体结构的重要胶结物质,氨氮在重组有机组分上的吸附除分配作用外,还存在孔隙填充方式的吸附;重组有机组分中的紧结态腐殖质（胡敏素）对氨氮吸附起关键作用（Гmoc,=5857．78mg·kg-1）。轻组有机质、稳结态腐殖质和紧结态腐殖质携载的吸附态氨氮可分别按重组（Гmoc=3477．81mg·kg-1）的0．32、1．21和1．68倍估算。关键词：沉积物;天然有机组分;氨氮;吸附;碳标化吸附分配系数;碳标化饱和吸附量     

Long memory and chaotic models of prices on the London Metal Exchange

Many financial time series exhibit irregular behaviour. Economic theory suggests that this irregular behaviour might be due to the existence of nonlinear dependence in the markets. Thus, economic time series are governed by nonlinear dynamics.The purpose of this paper is to investigate price behaviour in the London Metal Exchange market. Thus, this study will test the two most attractive nonlinear models—long memory and chaos—on six metal commodities to ascertain which model is consistent with the observed metal price nonlinear dynamics.Application of long memory and chaos analysis provides new approaches for assessing the behaviour of metal prices. We identified, in tin, a case of chaos. Our empirical results in the case of aluminium support the long memory hypothesis. A short memory model explains the underlying processes of the nickel and lead returns series, while zinc returns reflect an anti-persistent process. To our knowledge, this is one of the first attempts to apply long memory and chaos analysis in the evaluation of the behaviour of metal prices.     

塔里木河干流土地利用监测尺度分析

以塔里木河流域为研究靶区,选取20世纪50年代1:100000地形图52幅和2000年TM影像10景,解译得1:100000精度的土地利用数据,分别用1:2000000,1:1000000,1:500000,1:250000,1:100000,1:50000,1:25000,1:10000和1:5000比例尺的网格切割,运用面积频率统计和归一化尺度方差探讨20世纪50年代和2000年塔里木河干流土地利用总体和4个主要类别的最佳尺度,并分析各地类对尺度变化的敏感度。结果显示:塔里木河干流斑块面积相差悬殊,小到0.0001km2,大至19121km2;面积频率统计符合正态分布;归一化尺度方差显示50年代和2000年塔里木河干流适宜尺度都是1:50000比例尺,有林地、灌木林地、盐碱地的最佳尺度也在1:50000比例尺上,而沙地的适宜尺度在1:100000比例尺上;对尺度变化敏感度由高到低依次是灌木林地、有林地、盐碱地和沙地,2000年的敏感度高于50年代。     

基于欧洲航天局“哨兵-2A”卫星的太湖蓝藻遥感监测

欧洲航天局(ESA)2015年6月23日成功发射"哨兵-2A"卫星,该卫星搭载的多光谱成像仪(MSI)在可见光(VIS)至短波红外(SWIR)波长区间配置了多种光谱波段/地面分辨率组合,可以获取大范围、较短重访周期、较高空间分辨率(10 m)的遥感影像。以太湖2016年6月13日MSI数据为例,在完成大气校正的基础上,分析了太湖典型地物类型光谱特征,采用归一化植被指数(NDVI)结合叶绿素反射峰强度(ρchl)构建的综合阈值法对贡湖湾的蓝藻水华信息进行了提取实验。结果表明:"哨兵-2A"卫星MSI影像质量清晰,可精细地反映植被、蓝藻、水体等典型地物类型的光谱特征;ρchl指数对中-高蓝藻聚集区与水生植被、轻度蓝藻聚集区与混合水体具有较好的分离能力;利用综合阈值法提取贡湖湾中-高蓝藻聚集区面积为60.37 km2,主要分布在贡湖北部沿岸、湖心和南部沿岸。"藻-水"混悬体面积为79.49 km2,贡湖湾东部蓝藻水华相对较轻。     

Energy intensities and the impact of high energy prices on producing and consuming sectors in Malaysia

The increase in oil prices has put pressure on the global economy. Even economies that have a high degree of self-sufficiency concerning oil products are experiencing rising production costs and price increases for households energy use. Therefore, changes in energy policies are under consideration for countries highly dependent on imported energy as well as countries with a high degree of self-sufficiency. Examination of dependence on cheap energy sources for economic growth in different economic sectors is becoming more important as countries are trying to promote activities that are less energy intense. Among the policy changes under consideration, the adjustment of domestic energy subsidies is of particular interest. The effect of high energy prices on a fast growing economy, such as in Malaysia, is considerable, as the country will shift from being a net exporter of energy to a net importer in less than 10 years. Malaysia until recently has experienced increasing overall energy intensity and the growth up to 2,000 was quite high, especially for electricity intensity. A continued rise in energy intensity will be quite problematic in this new high oil price regime. This paper investigates the impact of rising energy prices on production costs for the different sectors of the Malaysian economy. Input–output (I–O) calculations demonstrate that the impact on the exporting component of the manufacturing sectors is less than for the average production. Therefore the production cost increase caused by, for example, an adjustment in electricity prices of 25% will result in less than 1/2% increase. As the competing countries in world markets are experiencing the same rise in energy costs, including electricity based on fossil fuels, there is no vital argument for not allowing domestic energy prices to adjust to the international price changes.

土地供给、房价与中国人口半城镇化

近十多年来,中国房价快速上涨,人口半城镇化率也随之迅速上升。针对这一现象,本文首次将土地供给、房价与人口半城镇化置于同一框架下进行系统分析,采用两阶段最小二乘法,以土地出让面积作为房价的工具变量,有效克服模型的内生性,从理论和实证两个方面研究了房价上涨对人口半城镇化的影响。结果发现:土地供给减少导致房价上涨,进而推升了人口半城镇化率,抑制了农村转移人口市民化。房价每上涨一个百分点,人口半城镇化率大约上升0.189 4个百分点。在未考虑内生性的情况下,房价对人口半城镇化的影响严重被低估。而2003年后土地供给政策收紧且向中西部地区偏移是导致东部房价上涨进而推升人口半城镇化率的重要根源。另外,还发现对外开放程度提高以及人力资本积累均有利于降低人口半城镇化率,相反,财政负担能力和户籍制度改革则产生了不利影响。因此,为了降低人口半城镇化率,有序促进农村转移人口市民化,提出如下三点政策建议:(1)调整土地供给政策,并且健全住房供应体系,防止房价上涨过快。为此,需要增加东部地区以及大城市的土地供给,使土地供给与人口流动方向以及经济发展需求相匹配,同时增加廉租房和保障房的供应。(2)大力发展工业、服务业,并提高对外开放程度,以创造更多就业机会,增加居民收入,进而促进地区人口城镇化。(3)深化户籍制度,切实放宽农村转移人口的落户条件,同时还需要深化财政制度改革,增加地方公共服务并努力促进公共服务均等化。     

Unpacking the spaces and politics of energy poverty: path-dependencies,deprivation and fuel switching in post-communist Hungary

This paper focuses on the embeddedness of energy poverty – understood as the inability to secure a socially and materially necessitated level of energy services in the home – in the socio-technical legacies inherited from past development trajectories, as well as broader economic and institutional landscapes. Using Hungary as an example, we explore the recent expansion of energy poverty across different demographic and income groups. While much of the mainstream literature focuses on cases where energy poverty affects distinct social groups and issues, our analyses examine the systemic implications of a form of deprivation that involves a much wider range of social and spatial strata. We develop a framework that highlights the different ways in which inadequate access to energy services has resulted in the emergence of new political reconfigurations among a variety of actors, while prompting the articulation of household strategies with far-reaching structural consequences.