国内车辆可靠性强化试验技术的现状与发展趋势

车辆可靠性强化试验属于可靠性强化试验的一个应用分支.首先论述了车辆可靠性强化试验技术的理论基础;然后介绍了车辆试验场及试验道路的研究现状,综述了确定强化系数的各种方法.最后,指出车辆强化试验技术的今后的发展趋势.     

基于环境保护的机动车税优化建议

当前区域性大气污染问题突出,机动车使用造成的污染问题不可忽视。为解决区域性的大气污染问题,机动车税费的污染减排调控功能日益被政府和学者重视。研究围绕"如何使机动车税更好发挥环境保护的效果"的问题,比较了中日机动车税的结构和性质,分析了在购买、保有和使用等不同环节的机动车税的特点以及环保效果,并基于问卷调查分析中国私家车主不同环节机动车税的负担情况。研究表明,在机动车使用环节征收的成品油消费税污染调控效果要优于其他环节的税收;对商业用途的机动车使用征税仅有收入功能没有调控功能,建议将机动车相关税的作用重心从购买环节转移到使用环节上,并对商业用途和私人用途的机动车实施差别税率。     

低碳背景下河北省机动车污染防治对策研究

通过对河北省机动车污染防治现状进行分析,论述了河北省机动车防治存在黄标车淘汰难、环保检验和环保标志核发工作滞后、新能源机动车所占比例低等问题。进一步提出了严把年检关、提高机动车污染排放成本、运用先进的实时监测技术、建立机动车管理综合平台、大力发展公共交通等防治措施。     

A Multi‐Scale Analysis of Single‐Family Residential Water Use in the Phoenix Metropolitan Area

Studies that evaluate determinants of residential water demand typically use data from a single spatial scale. Although household‐scale data are preferred, especially when econometric models are used, researchers may be limited to aggregate data. There is little, if any, empirical analysis to assess whether spatial scale may lead to ecological fallacy problems in residential water use research. Using linear mixed‐effects models, we compare the results for the relationship of single‐family water use with its determinants using data from the household and census tract scales in the city of Phoenix. Model results between the household and census tract scale are similar suggesting the ecological fallacy may not be significant. Common significant determinants on these two spatial scales include household size, household income, house age, pool size, irrigable lot size, precipitation, and temperature. We also use city/town scale data from the Phoenix metropolitan area to parameterize the linear mixed‐effects model. The difference in the parameter estimates of those common variables compared to the first two scales indicates there is spatial heterogeneity in the relationship between single‐family water use and its determinants among cities and towns. The negative relationship between single‐family house density and residential water use suggests that residential water consumption could be reduced through coordination of land use planning and water demand management.     

机动车尾气对人体健康的危害

随着城市机动车保有量的不断增加,机动车尾气已经成为影响我国城市大气环境的主要问题之一。本文以儿童和交通警察两类人群为例,分析了机动车尾气污染给人体呼吸系统、免疫系统、心脑血管系统等造成的危害。结果表明,由于儿童的呼吸带与机动车尾气排放带非常接近,交警在机动车尾气环境中暴露事件太长,导致这两类人群的呼吸系统极易遭到破坏,发生支气管炎等疾病的概率大大增加;而免疫球蛋白水平和血压发生改变导致了抵抗能力的下降。最后建议通过采取发展公共交通、加强城市交通管理、完善检查维修制度等有效措施加强机动车尾气治理,减少对人体健康产生的危害。     

车载电子电器设备的温度变化试验

ISO16750《道路车辆电气及电子设备的环境条件和试验》系列国家标准转化已进入报批阶段。系列标准的第4部分《气候负荷》引用IEC 60068-2-14规定的试验N：温度变化（GB/T2423.22）中的试验Na：规定转换时间的温度快速变化和试验Nb：按规定温度变化速率的温度变化试验。2009年1月,IEC对60068-2-14进行了技术性改版。将IEC 60068-2-33《温度变化导则》（GB/T2424.13）的内容并入;对试验及温度变化容差的描述和要求、编辑和插图都做了修改和修订。等同采标的GB/T2423.22的改版修订工作已在进行,估计2010年稍晚就可以发布。这里就当前国际标准和将发布等同国标的试验方法对车载电子电器设备的温度变化试验进行描述,同时对试验要素和及其应用要素作一些介绍。ISO16750《道路车辆电气及电子设备的环境条件和试验》系列国家标准转化已进入报批阶段。系列标准的第4部分《气候负荷》引用IEC 60068-2-14规定的试验N：温度变化（GB/T2423.22）中的试验Na：规定转换时间的温度快速变化和试验Nb：按规定温度变化速率的温度变化试验。2009年1月,IEC对60068-2-14进行了技术性改版。将IEC 60068-2-33《温度变化导则》（GB/T2424.13）的内容并入;对试验及温度变化容差的描述和要求、编辑和插图都做了修改和修订。等同采标的GB/T2423.22的改版修订工作已在进行,估计2010年稍晚就可以发布。这里就当前国际标准和将发布等同国标的试验方法对车载电子电器设备的温度变化试验进行描述,同时对试验要素和及其应用要素作一些介绍。     

城市街道峡谷内机动车排放污染物的扩散规律

街道峡谷中机动车排放污染物的扩散取决于屋顶风向和风速,并受街道峡谷宽高比、峡谷两侧街区建筑物高度的对称性和高度分布及街区形状等因素的影响.街道峡谷宽高比接近1时,递升型峡谷以及宽阔街道有利于污染物的扩散;可以通过改变街道线源附近街区内建筑物的高度来明显降低污染物浓度.城市建筑规划中若科学考虑上述影响可以减少街道峡谷内污染物的积聚.      

Factors associated with driving under the influence of alcohol

Objective: This study examined the risk factors of driving under the influence of alcohol (DUI) among drivers of specific vehicle categories (DSC). On the basis of this research, the variables related to DUI and involvement in traffic crashes were defined. The analysis was conducted for car drivers, bicyclists, motorcyclists, bus drivers, and truck drivers.

Method: The research sample included drivers involved in traffic crashes on the territory of Serbia in 2016 (60,666). Two types of analyses were conducted in this study. Logistic regression established the correlation between DUI and DSC and the The Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (Multi-criteria decision making) method was applied to consider the scoring and explore the potential for the prevalence of DUI on the basis of 2 data sets (DUI and non DUI).

Results: The study results showed that driver error and male drivers were the 2 most significant risk factors for DUI, with the highest scores and potential for prevalence. The nonuse of restraint systems, driver experience, and driver age are the factors with a significant prediction of involvement in an accident and an insignificant prediction of DUI.

Conclusions: Following the development of the logistic prediction models for DUI drivers, testing of the model was conducted for 3 control driver groups: Car, motorcycle, and bicycle. The prediction model with a probability greater than 50% showed that 77% of car drivers were under the influence of alcohol. Similarly, the prediction percentage for motorcyclists and bicyclists amounted to 71 and 67%, respectively. The recommendation of the study is that drivers whose DUI probability is above 50% should be potentially suspected of DUI. The results of this study can help to understand the problem of DUI among specific driver categories and detect DUI drivers, with the aim of creating successful traffic safety policy.     

基于多商品流理论与成本效益分析的公路危险品运输路径优化研究

风险是危险品运输区别与普通货物运输的基本要素,因此,危险品运输既要实现经济目标,又要满足安全的需要。危险品运输其路径优化问题的关键在于在经济性与安全性间取得平衡。为此,在运输成本与风险值间引入权重参量,并充分考虑到路网容量及个别路段最大期望风险等限制因素,运用多商品流理论建立了基于运输成本和运输风险最小化的双目标路径优化模型。进一步地,运用成本效益分析法,并从全局角度对不同解所对应的路径优化方案进行比较,提出了相应的比选准则。最后,通过算例分析证明了该方法的有效性。     

IVE机动车排放模型应用研究

对IVE模型进行了系统分析和介绍,以北京市为研究对象给出了模型的主要输入参数的确定方法和思路,运用IVE模型对北京市不同车型车队的排放进行计算。结果显示：公交车和卡车的排放因子明显较高,特别是颗粒物排放因子,分别为普通轻型车的14和44倍。北京市机动车的CO、VOC、NOx和PM的平均日排放总量分别为2767.4、182.5、353.8和7.1t。对于CO和VOC,普通轻型车的分担率分别为42.0%和34.7%;对于NOx和PM而言,卡车的贡献率最高,分别达到66.3%和83.0%。此外,比较了IVE模型与MOBILE6模型的方法和计算结果,讨论了IVE模型在我国的主要应用优势。