环境决策支持系统的设计技术及发展趋势

简要论述了环境决策支持系统(EDSS)的发展历程,提出了EDSS开发技术的六大构成部分:应用平台的选择;系统的开发方式的选择;系统的开发工具的选择;系统的组成结构的建立;系统的基本功能的设计;系统的开放接口的设计。对系统设计的关键技术进行了分析,依据EDSS的应用现状,指出EDSS的发展趋势,对实际应用具有一定的指导意义和实用价值。     

基于遗传算法的大气污染总量控制新方法

提出一种利用遗传算法进行大气污染总量控制的新方法,并以柳州市SO2总量控制为例说明这种方法的具体运用.遗传算法具备自适应全局搜索寻优特点,从控制点浓度推算源强分布,该源强分布满足总量控制的根本要求.该方法的具体实现是:将区域内各污染源的排放量编码为染色体,让染色体群体在模拟的进化环境下按生物进化规律进行优胜劣汰的自然选择,经过若干代的进化,最终得到的最优个体即代表最佳的源强分布.研究结果表明,这种方法是有效的和可行的.     

咸海流域地表水变化长期监测及驱动因素分析

咸海流域是绿色丝绸之路经济带的重要枢纽.但是地表水的逐年减少,对咸海流域的生态环境产生了恶劣的影响,严重阻碍了绿色丝绸之路经济带的建设.本文基于Google Earth Engine(GEE)平台上的1992?—?2018年Landsat影像,采用水体频率的方法提取咸海流域地表水信息,对咸海流域地表水的时空变化进行了研...     

沉积物污染特征分析的未确知聚类-对应分析模型

针对现有未确知聚类的不足,将聚类有效性函数引入聚类算法中,通过与对应分析方法的综合集成,建立了未确知聚类-对应分析(UC-CFA)模型,并以加速遗传算法优化计算最佳聚类数目、聚类中心以及聚类点(包括污染指标和采样点)隶属于聚类中心的隶属度. 以安徽巢湖塘西河口湿地为研究对象,采用UC-CFA模型对沉积物污染特征进行聚类分析,将所有聚类点划分为4类,即Cd-有机质联合污染区,高磷污染区,Cu-Zn-Pb-Cr复合污染区以及高氮污染区等. 实例研究表明,对于沉积物污染特征分析,UC-CFA模型具有适用性.      

兰成渝腐蚀管道失效压力的GA-BP 神经网络组合预测方法

为准确掌握管道失效压力,保证管道安全运行,根据神经网络的非线性和良好的函数逼近特性,提出了基于遗传算法（GA）优化的BP神 经网络组合模型的腐蚀长输管道失效压力预测模型。组合模型将最佳组合阀值与权值隐含在网络的连接中,兼具遗传算法、人工神经网络预测 的优点,并克服了原始数据少对预测精度的影响,同时避免了神经网络容易陷入局部寻优的缺陷,也增强了网络的适应性,改善网络的收敛性 ,在客观地反应腐蚀油气管道失效压力变化趋势方面具有一定的优势。通过实例分析,结果表明:BP神经网络的预测值和Modified B31G计算结 果与真实值误差均较大,而GA-BP的预测值与实际结果的相对误差最大为6.12%,有很好的一致性,为管道的预防性维修提供了理论依据。     

基于改进BP神经网络的职业危害预警模型

高危作业职业危害的严重性迫切需要对此建立有效的预警机制。目前的预警方法无法对多种职业危害因素作出综合、系统的评价。本文采用改进的BP神经网络,对多种职业危害因素进行综合预警,该预警模型不受人为因素的影响,在误差允许范围内可实现准确的实时预测。     

混沌粒子群算法在水污染控制系统规划中的应用

针对常用的最优化方法解决水污染控制系统规划问题运算过程较复杂,容易陷入局部极值,且优化解精度不高的情况,尝试利用混沌方法和粒子群算法相结合的混沌粒子群算法(chaos particle swarm optimization,CPSO)求解此类问题。CPSO算法具有原理简单,且能快速获得最优解的特点。在实例应用中与遗传算法和MATLAB优化函数的优化结果做了比较,CPSO算法的性能以及得到的解明显优于后两种方法,验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

Short-Term Hydroscheduling with Discrepant Objectives Using Multi-Step Progressive Optimality Algorithm1

Cheng, Chuntian, Jianjian Shen, Xinyu Wu, and Kwok-wing Chau, 2012. Short-Term Hydroscheduling with Discrepant Objectives Using Multi-step Progressive Optimality Algorithm. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 48(3): 464-479. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00628.x Abstract: With increase in the number and total capacity of hydropower plants in power systems, optimality algorithms with a single objective are not suitable for optimizing the operation of complex hydropower systems to meet complex demands. Hydropower plants should prioritize discrepant objectives, such as peak regulation and maximizing generation during solving of optimal operation problems of hydropower systems. In this article, we present a multi-step progressive optimality algorithm (MSPOA) for the short-term hydroscheduling (STHS) problem to improve the quality of optimal solutions and enhance the convergence speed of progressive optimality algorithm (POA). In MSPOA, the original problem is first decomposed into a sequence of problems with the longer time steps. Next, the problem with the longest time step is solved, and the optimal solution is used as the initial solution for the problem with the second longest time step. This process proceeds until the original problem with the shortest time step is solved. The proposed discrepant-objective method and solution technique are tested for two types of hydroelectric systems. The results show that MSPOA can give better solutions and cost less time than POA due to enlarging feasible range of decision variables and reducing the number of computational stages. Discrepant objectives among hydropower plants can express the operation characteristics of complex hydropower systems more accurately than unique objective or multiple objectives.     

建立洪水灾情等级模型的实用方案

为检验已订的洪水灾情等级标准的合理性,提出了一种新的洪水灾情模型－逻辑斯谛曲线（ＬＯＧ）模型,它的灾级是连续的实数值。根据ＬＯＧ模型参数值可以分析各灾情指标值对灾级的影响程度,从而检验原订灾级标准的合理性;并给出了基于实码遗传算法的ＬＯＧ建模的实施方案。实例研究说明了这套方案是实用和通用的,在其它灾情等级评估中也具有广泛的应用价值。     

A Monitoring Network Design Procedure for Three-Dimensional (3D) Groundwater Contaminant Source Identification

Finding the location and concentration of contaminant sources is an important step in groundwater remediation and management. This discovery typically requires the solution of an inverse problem. This inverse problem can be formulated as an optimization problem where the objective function is the sum of the square of the errors between the observed and predicted values of contaminant concentration at the observation wells. Studies show that the source identification accuracy is dependent on the observation locations (i.e., network geometry) and frequency of sampling; thus, finding a set of optimal monitoring well locations is very important for characterizing the source. The objective of this study is to propose a sensitivity-based method for optimal placement of monitoring wells by incorporating two uncertainties: the source location and hydraulic conductivity. An optimality metric called D-optimality in combination with a distance metric, which tends to make monitoring locations as far apart from each other as possible, is developed for finding optimal monitoring well locations for source identification. To address uncertainty in hydraulic conductivity, an integration method of multiple well designs is proposed based on multiple hydraulic conductivity realizations. Genetic algorithm is used as a search technique for this discrete combinatorial optimization problem. This procedure was applied to a hypothetical problem based on the well-known Borden Site data in Canada. The results show that the criterion-based selection proposed in this paper provides improved source identification performance when compared to uniformly distributed placement of wells.